Trading Signals: GBT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 14, 2016

Trading Signals: GBT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Aug. 12, 2015 - Tue. Oct. 4, 2022)

(Global Blood Therapeutics Inc)
GBT latest price $16.1000 (-5.29%) ($16.0000 - $17.2000) on Wed. Dec. 14, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.08% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $16.1000(-5.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GBT advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GBT declines -5.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GBT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(55%)    IBB(51%)    ARKG(45%)    IWO(42%)    ARKK(40%)
Factors Impacting GBT price   GBT will decline at least -2.54% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-13%)    TLT(-12%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.54% (StdDev 5.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $5.3(-67.08%)
Resistance Level   $17.49
5 Day Moving Average   $16.43(-2.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $16.95(-5.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17.49(-7.95%)
To recent high   -31.5%
To recent low   6.3%
Market Cap   $987m

Global Blood Therapeutics, Inc. is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovering, developing and commercializing novel therapeutics to treat grievous blood-based disorders. It also provides oral medicines for sickle cell diseases. The company was founded by Matthew P. Jacobson, Andrej Sali, Jack Taunton, Charles J. Homcy, Craig D. Muir and David R. Phillips in February 2011 and is headquartered in South San Francisco, CA.

$. GBT price fluctuates within 5.95% (three month std-dev: 5.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 4.4%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.77%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 2.56%(83%) Average negative next three day return: -0.86%(17%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 4.59%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.09%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170114

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_14_2016	18.82	17.49	16.95	16.43	16.57	16.74	16.1(-5.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-15	100	2	-66	0.87	53%	-0.05	-64.5	5.08%	0	-1.3	42	0
2	Dec_13_2016	18.83	17.65	17.25	16.4	16.43	16.68	17(2.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-8	110	7	-52	1	55%	0	-51.5	5.23%	0	-0.6	51	0
3	Dec_12_2016	18.83	17.83	17.4	16.28	16.2	16.4	16.55(1.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-15	70	-1	-55	0.59	55%	-0.11	-33.5	5.25%	0	-1	44	0
4	Dec_9_2016	18.85	17.98	17.56	16.42	16.22	16.19	16.25(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-24	-50	-14	-54	0.44	53%	-0.11	-20.7	5.26%	0	-1.4	44	0
5	Dec_8_2016	18.87	18.11	17.8	16.99	16.8	16.01	16.25(1.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-22	-360	-19	-31	0.85	54%	-0.11	4.7	5.33%	0	-1.6	44	0

6	Dec_7_2016	18.89	18.19	17.96	17.58	17.57	16.24	15.95(-2.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-27	-530	-30	-18	0.57	56%	-0.16	19.5	5.37%	0	-2	37	0
7	Dec_6_2016	18.92	18.22	18.12	18.22	18.35	17.59	16.4(-4.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-21	-270	-25	-7	1.92	56%	-0.11	29.1	5.4%	0	-1.7	33	0
8	Dec_5_2016	18.94	18.25	18.28	18.67	19.02	18.91	17.25(-9.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-4	20	-5	0	1.64	56%	0.05	38.2	5.37%	0	-0.9	32	0
9	Dec_2_2016	18.93	18.24	18.33	18.83	18.95	19.1	19.1(-0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	70	3	-2	0.27	60%	0.16	37.8	5.27%	0	0.8	47	0
10	Dec_1_2016	18.9	18.05	18.17	18.72	18.68	19.14	19.2(0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	6	170	11	-10	0.48	60%	0.11	18.2	5.27%	0	0.9	53	0

11	Nov_30_2016	18.88	17.97	18.06	18.42	18.45	18.8	19.15(2.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	9	140	17	-14	0.49	57%	0.05	5.7	5.31%	0	0.9	59	0
12	Nov_29_2016	18.87	17.91	18.07	18.02	17.95	18.23	18.65(3.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	100	6	-14	0.24	57%	0.05	-9.1	5.3%	0	0.6	64	0
13	Nov_28_2016	18.86	17.85	18.24	17.85	17.74	18.09	18.05(-2.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	120	6	2	0.41	57%	0.05	-14.2	5.28%	0	0.2	60	0
14	Nov_25_2016	18.85	17.83	18.38	17.75	17.66	17.68	18.55(4.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	10	-10	8	15	0.18	57%	0.16	-20.9	5.27%	0	0.6	61	0
15	Nov_23_2016	18.82	17.82	18.38	17.55	17.51	17.39	17.7(3.21%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	2	-50	-6	24	0.34	55%	0.05	-25.8	5.24%	0	-0.1	66	0

16	Nov_22_2016	18.81	17.9	18.4	17.66	17.7	17.64	17.15(-3.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-3	-20	-12	26	0.4	55%	-0.05	-18.2	5.23%	0	-0.6	51	0
17	Nov_21_2016	18.82	17.9	18.34	18.13	18.03	17.63	17.8(1.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-4	-170	-16	31	0.3	55%	0	-2.8	5.21%	0	-0.2	51	0
18	Nov_18_2016	18.82	18.02	18.25	18.71	18.56	17.76	17.55(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-1	-330	-18	49	0.64	55%	0.05	11.7	5.21%	0	-0.4	53	0
19	Nov_17_2016	18.81	18.09	18.19	19.11	19.19	18.43	17.55(-3.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	4	-260	-15	61	0.4	53%	0.11	25.6	5.22%	0	-0.4	52	0
20	Nov_16_2016	18.79	18.14	17.98	19.35	19.46	19.36	18.25(-6.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	12	-20	-2	55	0.74	53%	0.11	33.1	5.31%	0	0.1	50	0

21	Nov_15_2016	18.77	18.13	17.92	19.2	19.31	19.96	19.5(-5.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	250	21	50	0.75	55%	0.27	31.7	5.26%	0	1.1	51	0
22	Nov_14_2016	18.72	18.06	17.76	18.55	18.63	19.57	20.7(5.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	29	370	32	21	0.5	56%	0.27	17.5	5.21%	0	2.1	52	0
23	Nov_11_2016	18.67	17.88	17.4	17.73	17.73	18.67	19.55(4.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	15	370	24	-12	0.7	61%	0.16	-6.4	5.61%	0	1.5	57	0
24	Nov_10_2016	18.64	17.77	17.18	17.16	17.16	17.69	18.75(7.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	11	220	27	-36	1.21	61%	0.05	-26.2	5.64%	0	0.9	50	0
25	Nov_9_2016	18.63	17.73	17.14	16.44	16.54	16.8	17.5(7.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-16	130	2	-71	0.87	59%		-48.3	5.58%	0	-0.2	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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