Trading Signals: GBT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 22, 2016

Trading Signals: GBT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Aug. 12, 2015 - Tue. Oct. 4, 2022)

(Global Blood Therapeutics Inc)
GBT latest price $16.1200 (1.83%) ($15.5700 - $16.5400) on Tue. Mar. 22, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.52% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $16.1200(1.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GBT advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GBT declines -1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GBT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(55%)    IBB(51%)    ARKG(44%)    IWO(41%)    ARKK(39%)
Factors Impacting GBT price   GBT will decline at least -2.76% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    UUP(-11%)    TLT(-11%)    SHY(-5%)    IPO(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.76% (StdDev 5.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $15.76(2.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $15.8(2.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $15.74(2.41%)
To recent high   -51.9%
To recent low   24.5%
Market Cap   $989m

Global Blood Therapeutics, Inc. is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovering, developing and commercializing novel therapeutics to treat grievous blood-based disorders. It also provides oral medicines for sickle cell diseases. The company was founded by Matthew P. Jacobson, Andrej Sali, Jack Taunton, Charles J. Homcy, Craig D. Muir and David R. Phillips in February 2011 and is headquartered in South San Francisco, CA.

$. GBT price fluctuates within 4.32% (three month std-dev: 5.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.1%(100%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.52%(100%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 1.94%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.49%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160422

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_22_2016	27.96	15.74	15.8	15.76	15.68	15.83	16.12(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-2	50	4	-18	0.21	34%	-1.2	-28	5.52%	0	0.6	55	0
2	Mar_21_2016	28.3	15.71	15.79	15.69	15.65	15.57	15.83(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-8	-40	-4	-18	0.12	34%	-1.12	-35.3	5.52%	0	0.2	57	0
3	Mar_18_2016	28.62	15.73	15.95	15.86	15.78	15.53	15.62(2.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-3	-130	-5	5	0.37	32%	-1.11	-19	5.52%	0	-0.2	56	0
4	Mar_17_2016	28.94	15.78	16.04	15.94	16.03	15.72	15.27(-4.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	3	-120	-2	19	0.17	32%	-1.13	-1.8	5.61%	0	-0.7	55	0
5	Mar_16_2016	29.27	15.87	16.12	15.9	16.06	16.04	15.98(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	20	-0	25	0.16	32%	-1.05	15.1	5.6%	0	0.1	59	0

6	Mar_15_2016	29.58	15.93	16.09	15.82	15.98	16.34	15.77(-5.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	8	190	1	27	0.24	32%	-1.07	37.4	5.63%	0	-0.2	58	0
7	Mar_14_2016	29.9	15.95	16.02	15.88	15.9	16.09	16.67(4.06%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.9	6	90	-1	26	0.14	32%	-1.03	45.3	5.63%	0	0.8	58	0
8	Mar_11_2016	30.21	15.87	15.85	16.09	15.98	15.63	16.02(6.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	-170	-4	25	0.2	32%	-0.98	32.7	5.61%	0	0.2	48	0
9	Mar_10_2016	30.51	15.79	15.85	16.17	16.29	15.7	15.06(-3.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-5	-230	-11	15	0.28	29%	-1.01	8	5.53%	0	-0.8	39	0
10	Mar_9_2016	30.82	15.74	15.75	16.17	16.42	16.32	15.58(-3.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-1	-30	-5	11	0.17	29%	-1.09	-12.8	5.52%	0	-0.2	39	0

11	Mar_8_2016	31.16	15.62	15.7	16.36	16.43	16.88	16.08(-9.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	8	200	10	2	0.25	29%	-1.11	-32.6	5.54%	0	0.4	39	0
12	Mar_7_2016	31.51	15.57	15.64	16.15	16.05	16.52	17.7(7.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	14	190	21	-6	0.24	26%	-0.94	-52.8	5.44%	0	1.8	59	0
13	Mar_4_2016	31.81	15.59	15.64	15.59	15.54	15.97	16.45(2.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	3	180	11	-21	0.43	21%	-1	-61.4	6.18%	0	0.7	62	0
14	Mar_3_2016	32.13	15.72	15.46	15.28	15.27	15.58	16(2.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	3	140	10	-19	0.26	21%	-0.99	-56.5	6.27%	0	0.2	64	0
15	Mar_2_2016	32.45	15.87	15.56	15.06	15.03	15.11	15.57(3.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	0	30	4	-11	0.32	24%	-1.01	-53.5	6.25%	0	-0.2	66	0

16	Mar_1_2016	32.78	16.02	15.73	14.94	15.01	14.95	15.01(0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10	-2	7	0.23	24%	-1.03	-57.1	6.3%	0	-0.5	69	0
17	Feb_29_2016	33.12	16.22	15.85	15.04	15.03	14.96	14.93(0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-2	-30	-8	15	0.2	24%	-1.05	-54	6.27%	0	-0.7	52	0
18	Feb_26_2016	33.47	16.41	15.87	15.32	15.3	15.06	14.87(-0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-7	-110	-10	4	0.21	24%	-1.03	-50.7	6.26%	0	-0.8	38	0
19	Feb_25_2016	33.82	16.63	15.85	15.68	15.71	15.11	14.93(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-14	-260	-14	-13	0.3	24%	-1.02	-45.6	6.31%	0	-0.8	36	0
20	Feb_24_2016	34.17	16.86	15.76	16.13	16.16	15.53	14.96(-3.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-21	-270	-18	-31	0.19	24%	-1.01	-41	6.33%	0	-0.9	36	0

21	Feb_23_2016	34.52	17.15	15.6	16.63	16.72	16.31	15.53(-4.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-17	-160	-8	-42	0.28	24%	-1	-32.3	6.32%	0	-0.7	41	0
22	Feb_22_2016	34.87	17.34	15.55	16.76	17	16.8	16.3(-2.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-11	-40	4	-55	0.19	24%	-0.91	-34.2	6.32%	0	-0.5	41	0
23	Feb_19_2016	35.19	17.5	15.74	16.49	16.78	17.14	16.7(-2.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-7	200	11	-62	0.19	23%	-0.79	-43.3	6.35%	0	-0.4	44	0
24	Feb_18_2016	35.47	17.63	15.98	16.02	16.21	17.2	17.15(-1.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	460	24	-69	0.21	29%	-0.73	-52	6.41%	0	-0.2	44	0
25	Feb_17_2016	35.73	17.77	16.17	15.34	15.33	16.43	17.47(8.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	3	500	31	-80	0.3	31%		-63.3	6.82%	0	-0.1	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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