Trading Signals: GBT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GBT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Feb. 16, 2016

Trading Signals: GBT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Aug. 12, 2015 - Tue. Oct. 4, 2022)

(Global Blood Therapeutics Inc)
GBT latest price $16.1700 (8.23%) ($15.1400 - $16.6900) on Tue. Feb. 16, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.81% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $16.1700(8.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GBT advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GBT declines -13.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GBT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(56%)    IBB(51%)    ARKG(44%)    IWO(41%)    ARKK(39%)
Factors Impacting GBT price   GBT will decline at least -3.405% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    UUP(-11%)    TLT(-11%)    SHY(-6%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.405% (StdDev 6.81%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 6.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $-7.72(-147.74%)
Resistance Level   $17.9
5 Day Moving Average   $14.44(11.98%)
10 Day Moving Average   $16.26(-0.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17.9(-9.66%)
To recent high   -70.4%
To recent low   24.9%
Market Cap   $992m

Global Blood Therapeutics, Inc. is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovering, developing and commercializing novel therapeutics to treat grievous blood-based disorders. It also provides oral medicines for sickle cell diseases. The company was founded by Matthew P. Jacobson, Andrej Sali, Jack Taunton, Charles J. Homcy, Craig D. Muir and David R. Phillips in February 2011 and is headquartered in South San Francisco, CA.

$. GBT price fluctuates within 13.41% (three month std-dev: 6.81%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 4.37%(67%) Average negative next day return: -5.39%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -4.92%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -9.28%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160316

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_16_2016	35.96	17.9	16.26	14.44	14.42	15.23	16.17(8.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-19	390	14	-117	0.61	29%	-0.88	-75.9	6.81%	0	-0.7	34	0
2	Feb_12_2016	36.28	18.15	16.54	14.21	13.97	14.22	14.94(4.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-43	70	-12	-135	0.2	29%	-0.85	-79.7	6.77%	0	-1.3	36	0
3	Feb_11_2016	36.59	18.54	16.94	14.94	14.33	13.61	14.36(4.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-51	-470	-26	-126	0.34	29%	-0.89	-71.6	6.74%	0	-1.7	33	0
4	Feb_10_2016	36.92	18.9	17.44	15.97	15.61	13.73	13.76(6.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-55	-910	-37	-107	0.43	29%	-0.91	-70.8	6.7%	0	-2.2	30	0
5	Feb_9_2016	37.26	19.39	18.05	17.13	17.12	15.05	12.95(-13.84%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.9	-54	-850	-43	-85	0.4	29%	-0.93	-70.5	6.63%	0	-2.9	23	0

6	Feb_8_2016	37.61	19.93	18.89	18.29	18.36	17.5	15.03(-19.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-35	-320	-30	-49	0.66	31%	-1	-84.4	6.44%	0	-2.7	27	0
7	Feb_5_2016	37.99	20.36	19.38	19.14	19.03	19.19	18.58(-4.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-7	40	-1	-25	0.23	33%	-0.91	-107.6	6.07%	0	-1.1	34	0
8	Feb_4_2016	38.34	20.55	19.48	19.21	18.97	19.22	19.55(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	50	4	-36	0.21	33%	-0.88	-129.3	6.06%	0	-0.6	31	0
9	Feb_3_2016	38.68	20.76	19.45	19.16	18.83	18.88	19.53(3.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-11	-30	1	-47	0.35	33%	-0.9	-138.7	6.06%	0	-0.7	42	0
10	Feb_2_2016	39.03	21.12	19.51	19.18	18.94	18.71	18.78(-2.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-120	-10	-65	0.32	33%	-0.89	-120.4	6.09%	0	-1.1	31	0

11	Feb_1_2016	39.38	21.61	19.66	19.61	19.3	18.78	19.24(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	-240	-6	-65	0.5	33%	-0.86	-100.1	6.12%	0	-0.9	33	0
12	Jan_29_2016	39.72	22.23	19.86	19.66	19.72	19.17	18.93(-2.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	-190	-8	-74	0.22	33%	-0.87	-101.2	6.12%	0	-1.2	31	0
13	Jan_28_2016	40.07	22.82	20.24	19.66	19.86	19.81	19.32(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-0	-4	-68	0.35	33%	-0.87	-78.7	6.12%	0	-1	38	0
14	Jan_27_2016	40.42	23.46	20.44	19.77	19.91	20.27	19.61(-6.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-19	150	1	-77	0.23	33%	-0.81	-69.2	6.13%	0	-1	34	0
15	Jan_26_2016	40.75	24.1	20.8	19.89	19.84	19.92	20.94(7.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-17	20	6	-86	0.31	34%	-0.51	-60.6	6.1%	0	-0.7	30	0

16	Jan_25_2016	40.96	24.7	21.01	19.76	19.72	19.55	19.49(-0.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-36	-70	-9	-117	0.33	31%	-0.85	-57.1	6.02%	0	-1.1	20	0
17	Jan_22_2016	41.31	25.36	21.4	20.12	20.04	19.76	19.5(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-46	-110	-14	-141	0.33	31%	-0.82	-57.7	6.03%	0	-1.3	17	0
18	Jan_21_2016	41.65	25.93	21.71	20.79	20.5	19.89	19.29(-4.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-50	-250	-14	-156	0.19	30%	-0.81	-54.4	6.02%	0	-1.4	19	0
19	Jan_20_2016	41.99	26.51	22.19	21.2	21.26	20.32	20.21(-0.39%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-58	-300	-19	-175	0.34	30%	-0.71	-54.1	6.07%	0	-1.3	19	0
20	Jan_19_2016	42.29	27.04	22.86	21.84	21.86	21.1	20.29(-4.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-61	-240	-21	-179	0.29	30%	-0.77	-55.4	6.06%	0	-1.4	19	0

21	Jan_15_2016	42.62	27.71	23.72	22.45	22.51	22.2	21.31(-6.82%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-53	-90	-12	-175	0.31	30%	-0.51	-57.2	6.05%	0	-1.4	20	0
22	Jan_14_2016	42.84	28.37	24.77	22.87	22.95	22.62	22.87(7.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-42	-90	-1	-164	0.97	31%	-0.42	-56.6	6%	0	-1.3	24	0
23	Jan_13_2016	43.02	28.89	25.58	22.79	22.99	22.81	21.32(-8.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-51	-30	-12	-169	0.39	28%	-0.53	-57.8	5.92%	0	-1.7	26	0
24	Jan_12_2016	43.25	29.45	26.7	23.31	23.16	23.28	23.41(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-47	20	-11	-155	0.25	30%	-0.37	-61.7	5.83%	0	-1.5	31	0
25	Jan_11_2016	43.41	29.95	27.63	24.06	23.4	23.17	23.34(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-51	-150	-21	-139	0.64	30%		-73.9	5.83%	0	-1.7	31	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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