Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 2, 2015

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $45.6600 (1.02%) ($45.3400 - $45.7700) on Thu. Apr. 2, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.34% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $45.6600(1.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(86%)    VWO(79%)    EWY(67%)    VT(62%)    EWG(58%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -0.67% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-6%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.67% (StdDev 1.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.62(2.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.82(4.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.88(6.48%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   12%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 3.15% (three month std-dev: 1.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 14 Average positive next day return: 1.05%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.25%(50%) Sample size 14 Average positive next three day return: 2.46%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.91%(50%) Sample size 14 Average positive next weekly return: 3.53%(64%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.11%(36%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150502

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_2_2015	41.85	42.88	43.82	44.62	44.87	45.34	45.66(1.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	78	90	58	139	16.49	59%	0.14	39	1.34%	0	2.1	82	INF
2	Apr_1_2015	41.79	42.67	43.55	43.98	44.26	44.73	45.2(1.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	63	90	45	117	22.06	59%	0.14	21.9	1.34%	0	2.1	82	INF
3	Mar_31_2015	41.73	42.5	43.33	43.44	43.6	44.41	44.4(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	59	140	42	108	18.77	59%	0.14	5.3	1.33%	0	1.8	81	INF
4	Mar_30_2015	41.67	42.4	43.12	43.16	43.19	43.8	44.74(3.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	72	100	57	115	30.51	57%	0.12	-6	1.34%	0	2.4	86	INF
5	Mar_27_2015	41.62	42.33	42.86	42.86	42.81	42.79	43.1(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	-10	6	89	18.86	52%	0.1	-11.7	1.26%	0	0.9	63	INF

6	Mar_26_2015	41.58	42.35	42.71	42.9	42.83	42.58	42.47(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-50	-20	87	13.96	54%	0.07	-8.1	1.26%	0	0.1	64	INF
7	Mar_25_2015	41.55	42.41	42.61	43.04	43.05	42.82	42.51(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	10	-40	-17	89	20.66	54%	0.07	-0.9	1.33%	0	0.1	58	INF
8	Mar_24_2015	41.52	42.44	42.46	43.17	43.16	43.08	43(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	22	-10	-2	94	9.43	54%	0.1	3.5	1.33%	0	0.6	58	INF
9	Mar_23_2015	41.48	42.46	42.25	43.05	43.14	43.27	43.2(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	30	13	76	11.83	54%	0.07	1.7	1.33%	0	0.8	52	INF
10	Mar_20_2015	41.45	42.44	42.1	42.86	42.89	43.24	43.34(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	60	27	50	17.87	57%	0.1	-3.9	1.37%	0	0.9	43	INF

11	Mar_19_2015	41.41	42.43	41.88	42.49	42.6	43.01	43.15(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	80	39	10	14.92	57%	0.1	-11.4	1.38%	0	0.7	43	INF
12	Mar_18_2015	41.37	42.42	41.72	42.12	42.18	42.54	43.16(1.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	19	60	36	-33	24.17	57%	0.1	-17.9	1.38%	0	0.8	42	INF
13	Mar_17_2015	41.33	42.41	41.72	41.66	41.81	42.2	42.42(0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	6	80	32	-73	14.42	58%	0.12	-26.6	1.37%	0	0	42	INF
14	Mar_16_2015	41.28	42.44	41.59	41.33	41.48	41.83	42.24(1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-7	70	25	-101	16.85	58%	0.07	-30.1	1.4%	0	-0.2	39	INF
15	Mar_13_2015	41.25	42.48	41.72	41.23	41.13	41.43	41.49(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-19	40	11	-109	10.54	56%	0.07	-28.9	1.37%	0	-1	39	INF

16	Mar_12_2015	41.22	42.54	41.94	41.18	41.21	41.12	41.28(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-23	-10	7	-111	23.64	56%	0.1	-32.9	1.38%	0	-1.3	34	INF
17	Mar_11_2015	41.18	42.6	42.18	41.27	41.2	40.84	40.87(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-51	-70	-29	-115	16.06	56%	0.05	-37.2	1.39%	0	-1.9	34	INF
18	Mar_10_2015	41.16	42.67	42.42	41.5	41.42	41.29	40.77(-2.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-48	-30	-29	-103	30.34	56%	0.07	-36.7	1.39%	0	-2.2	33	INF
19	Mar_9_2015	41.13	42.74	42.7	41.88	41.71	41.29	41.74(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-35	-40	-21	-78	14.52	54%	0.07	-28	1.36%	0	-1.3	38	INF
20	Mar_6_2015	41.1	42.77	42.84	42.31	41.96	41.56	41.26(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-46	-90	-40	-62	21.03	54%	0.1	-8.2	1.41%	0	-2.1	35	INF

21	Mar_5_2015	41.06	42.86	43.06	42.81	42.55	41.87	41.7(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-38	-130	-41	-30	14.7	54%	0.1	16.4	1.42%	0	-1.8	42	INF
22	Mar_4_2015	41.02	42.94	43.21	43.22	43.06	42.36	42.02(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-36	-120	-47	-1	16.8	58%	0.1	46.7	1.42%	0	-1.6	53	INF
23	Mar_3_2015	40.98	42.99	43.33	43.46	43.5	43.22	42.7(-2.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-13	-40	-27	28	15.85	60%	0.12	61.7	1.46%	0	-0.5	60	INF
24	Mar_2_2015	40.93	42.96	43.39	43.62	43.64	43.77	43.85(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	21	20	7	64	11.83	66%	0.15	51.4	1.41%	0	1.5	79	INF
25	Feb_27_2015	40.87	42.83	43.3	43.45	43.56	43.78	43.76(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	40	16	65	10.25	62%		22.7	1.47%	0	1.4	76	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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