Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 23, 2015

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $43.7500 (-0.25%) ($43.6800 - $43.8900) on Fri. Jan. 23, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.56% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $43.7500(-0.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(86%)    VWO(79%)    EWY(67%)    VT(62%)    EWG(58%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -0.78% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-27%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.78% (StdDev 1.56%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.94(1.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.62(2.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.08(3.97%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   14.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 1.81% (three month std-dev: 1.56%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 47 Average positive next day return: 1.2%(60%) Average negative next day return: -0.86%(40%) Sample size 47 Average positive next three day return: 2%(53%) Average negative next three day return: -1.66%(47%) Sample size 47 Average positive next weekly return: 1.99%(51%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.42%(49%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150223

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_23_2015	40.08	42.08	42.62	42.94	42.96	43.64	43.75(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	40	110	31	68	11.3	75%	0.02	77.9	1.56%	0	2.2	64	0
2	Jan_22_2015	40.07	41.93	42.48	42.68	42.52	43.18	43.86(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	50	100	44	68	20.54	75%	0.05	86.4	1.56%	0	2.8	65	0
3	Jan_21_2015	40.05	41.79	42.29	42.32	42.32	42.28	43.09(3.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	29	-10	21	51	19.69	74%	0.07	90.7	1.55%	0	2.1	66	0
4	Jan_20_2015	40.02	41.65	42.08	42.2	42.12	41.86	41.76(-1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-9	-50	-21	26	18.6	72%	0.02	95.2	1.5%	0	0.2	52	0
5	Jan_16_2015	40.01	41.59	42.07	42.23	42.31	42.35	42.22(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	7	10	-2	34	22.98	72%	0.05	90.2	1.48%	0	0.9	55	0

6	Jan_15_2015	39.99	41.5	42.02	42.24	42.34	42.38	42.47(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	10	5	51	15.12	72%	0.03	90.6	1.48%	0	1.4	67	0
7	Jan_14_2015	39.98	41.35	41.93	42.23	42.27	42.28	42.05(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	12	0	-3	57	17.44	72%	0.03	84.5	1.48%	0	1	61	0
8	Jan_13_2015	39.97	41.22	41.83	42.24	42.36	42.31	42.5(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	0	14	64	21.64	72%	0.03	62.2	1.47%	0	1.5	58	0
9	Jan_12_2015	39.96	41.08	41.73	41.95	42.24	42.26	41.9(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	20	2	55	11.74	72%	0.03	37.3	1.47%	0	0.9	62	0
10	Jan_9_2015	39.95	40.99	41.71	41.87	42.02	42.42	42.28(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	80	14	67	17.97	67%	0.05	26.6	1.48%	0	1.4	62	0

11	Jan_8_2015	39.93	40.87	41.52	41.75	41.85	42.21	42.44(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	38	70	28	67	14.27	68%	0.03	21.9	1.5%	0	1.8	64	0
12	Jan_7_2015	39.92	40.75	41.34	41.59	41.71	41.61	42.1(2.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	-10	13	65	21.73	68%	0.03	16.9	1.51%	0	1.6	68	0
13	Jan_6_2015	39.91	40.72	41.24	41.36	41.64	41.48	41.02(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-10	-14	60	23.65	68%	0	22.5	1.48%	0	0.4	63	0
14	Jan_5_2015	39.91	40.76	41.18	41.47	41.59	41.81	41.53(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	50	-0	80	19.95	68%	0	33.5	1.48%	0	1	66	0
15	Jan_2_2015	39.91	40.75	41.08	41.5	41.57	41.8	41.68(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	42	40	24	97	15.88	69%	-0.03	37.3	1.49%	0	1.1	62	0

16	Dec_31_2014	39.92	40.67	40.95	41.23	41.52	41.36	41.62(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	-10	14	84	11.85	66%	0.03	32.5	1.49%	0	1.2	62	0
17	Dec_30_2014	39.91	40.61	40.73	41.04	41.18	41.33	40.95(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	40	-12	56	12.88	65%	0	29.5	1.51%	0	0.4	55	0
18	Dec_29_2014	39.91	40.55	40.59	41.1	41.11	41.68	41.59(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	40	100	33	59	11.8	64%	0.03	28.9	1.49%	0	1.3	47	0
19	Dec_26_2014	39.9	40.49	40.38	40.84	40.98	41.02	41.68(3.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	29	20	31	22	14.47	64%	0.03	33.5	1.52%	0	1.6	45	0
20	Dec_24_2014	39.89	40.44	40.2	40.84	40.59	40.55	40.33(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-16	-10	-14	-22	5.39	60%	0	41	1.48%	0	-0.2	41	0

21	Dec_23_2014	39.89	40.42	40.16	40.61	40.64	40.93	40.66(-1.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	14	50	22	-11	18.21	60%	0	45.9	1.5%	0	0.3	53	0
22	Dec_22_2014	39.89	40.39	40.12	40.35	40.47	40.64	41.25(2.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	17	40	31	-25	16.29	58%	0	41.5	1.49%	0	1.2	54	0
23	Dec_19_2014	39.89	40.32	40.13	39.99	40.02	40.34	40.26(-0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	60	9	-36	16.56	56%	0	25.1	1.47%	0	-0.1	56	0
24	Dec_18_2014	39.89	40.24	40.28	39.85	39.86	40.31	40.53(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	15	80	28	-24	20.47	56%	0	11.3	1.48%	0	0.4	50	0
25	Dec_17_2014	39.89	40.15	40.37	39.75	39.66	39.7	40.34(2.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	1	0	12	-31	29.76	56%		3.6	1.48%	0	0.2	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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