Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 12, 2015

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $41.9000 (-0.9%) ($41.8500 - $42.3700) on Mon. Jan. 12, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.47% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $41.9000(-0.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(86%)    VWO(79%)    EWY(67%)    VT(62%)    EWG(58%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -0.735% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-27%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.735% (StdDev 1.47%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.95(-0.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.73(0.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.08(2%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   10.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 2.12% (three month std-dev: 1.47%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.61%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.71%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 3.33%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -0.47%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 1.89%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.46%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150212

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_12_2015	39.96	41.08	41.73	41.95	42.24	42.26	41.9(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	20	2	55	11.74	72%	0.03	37.3	1.47%	0	0.9	62	INF
2	Jan_9_2015	39.95	40.99	41.71	41.87	42.02	42.42	42.28(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	80	14	67	17.97	67%	0.05	26.6	1.48%	0	1.4	62	INF
3	Jan_8_2015	39.93	40.87	41.52	41.75	41.85	42.21	42.44(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	38	70	28	67	14.27	68%	0.03	21.9	1.5%	0	1.8	64	INF
4	Jan_7_2015	39.92	40.75	41.34	41.59	41.71	41.61	42.1(2.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	-10	13	65	21.73	68%	0.03	16.9	1.51%	0	1.6	68	INF
5	Jan_6_2015	39.91	40.72	41.24	41.36	41.64	41.48	41.02(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-10	-14	60	23.65	68%	0	22.5	1.48%	0	0.4	63	INF

6	Jan_5_2015	39.91	40.76	41.18	41.47	41.59	41.81	41.53(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	50	-0	80	19.95	68%	0	33.5	1.48%	0	1	66	INF
7	Jan_2_2015	39.91	40.75	41.08	41.5	41.57	41.8	41.68(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	42	40	24	97	15.88	69%	-0.03	37.3	1.49%	0	1.1	62	INF
8	Dec_31_2014	39.92	40.67	40.95	41.23	41.52	41.36	41.62(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	-10	14	84	11.85	66%	0.03	32.5	1.49%	0	1.2	62	INF
9	Dec_30_2014	39.91	40.61	40.73	41.04	41.18	41.33	40.95(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	40	-12	56	12.88	65%	0	29.5	1.51%	0	0.4	55	INF
10	Dec_29_2014	39.91	40.55	40.59	41.1	41.11	41.68	41.59(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	40	100	33	59	11.8	64%	0.03	28.9	1.49%	0	1.3	47	INF

11	Dec_26_2014	39.9	40.49	40.38	40.84	40.98	41.02	41.68(3.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	29	20	31	22	14.47	64%	0.03	33.5	1.52%	0	1.6	45	INF
12	Dec_24_2014	39.89	40.44	40.2	40.84	40.59	40.55	40.33(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-16	-10	-14	-22	5.39	60%	0	41	1.48%	0	-0.2	41	INF
13	Dec_23_2014	39.89	40.42	40.16	40.61	40.64	40.93	40.66(-1.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	14	50	22	-11	18.21	60%	0	45.9	1.5%	0	0.3	53	INF
14	Dec_22_2014	39.89	40.39	40.12	40.35	40.47	40.64	41.25(2.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	17	40	31	-25	16.29	58%	0	41.5	1.49%	0	1.2	54	INF
15	Dec_19_2014	39.89	40.32	40.13	39.99	40.02	40.34	40.26(-0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	60	9	-36	16.56	56%	0	25.1	1.47%	0	-0.1	56	INF

16	Dec_18_2014	39.89	40.24	40.28	39.85	39.86	40.31	40.53(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	15	80	28	-24	20.47	56%	0	11.3	1.48%	0	0.4	50	INF
17	Dec_17_2014	39.89	40.15	40.37	39.75	39.66	39.7	40.34(2.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	1	0	12	-31	29.76	56%	-0.03	3.6	1.48%	0	0.2	46	INF
18	Dec_16_2014	39.9	40.15	40.36	39.67	39.67	39.41	39.36(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	-50	-18	-44	30.09	53%	-0.03	-2.6	1.45%	0	-0.8	50	INF
19	Dec_15_2014	39.91	40.08	40.49	39.85	39.88	39.62	39.45(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-40	-30	-34	22.97	52%	-0.03	3	1.45%	0	-0.7	49	INF
20	Dec_12_2014	39.92	40.13	40.52	40.3	40.06	39.92	39.56(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-30	-40	-35	-15	17.57	52%	-0.03	22	1.46%	0	-0.6	50	INF

21	Dec_11_2014	39.93	40.15	40.64	40.78	40.61	40.15	40.06(0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-5	-90	-20	39	18.52	52%	0.03	38.8	1.45%	0	-0.1	61	INF
22	Dec_10_2014	39.92	40.12	40.64	41.07	41.04	40.19	39.9(-0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-13	-150	-40	70	21.49	50%	0.03	47.4	1.45%	0	-0.2	59	INF
23	Dec_9_2014	39.91	40.1	40.73	41.15	41.04	41.07	40.29(-3.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	1	-30	-29	89	33.76	50%	0.05	48.5	1.46%	0	0.2	60	INF
24	Dec_8_2014	39.89	40.06	40.71	41.2	41.36	41.88	41.68(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	56	100	31	129	20.03	54%	0.08	48.3	1.41%	0	1.7	64	INF
25	Dec_5_2014	39.86	39.93	40.53	40.77	40.98	41.64	41.98(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	66	130	51	110	18.45	54%		35.9	1.4%	0	2.3	56	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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