Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 30, 2014

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $39.4500 (0.1%) ($39.1900 - $39.6300) on Thu. Oct. 30, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.17% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $39.4500(0.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(86%)    VWO(79%)    EWY(67%)    VT(61%)    EWG(57%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -0.585% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-27%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.585% (StdDev 1.17%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.97(1.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.68(1.99%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.44(2.63%)
To recent high   -7.2%
To recent low   5.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 1.35% (three month std-dev: 1.17%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.31%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.44%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 0.06%(17%) Average negative next three day return: -1.05%(83%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 0.21%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.71%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141130

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_30_2014	39.34	38.44	38.68	38.97	39.04	39.45	39.45(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	34	80	18	80	13.81	45%	0.03	43.7	1.17%	0	1.9	73	0
2	Oct_29_2014	39.33	38.34	38.51	38.78	38.85	39.35	39.41(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	54	100	48	72	18.56	45%	0.05	21.5	1.17%	0	2.1	60	0
3	Oct_28_2014	39.31	38.24	38.36	38.55	38.61	38.62	39.27(3.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	26	10	24	33	21.76	48%	0.05	-14.3	1.17%	0	2.4	50	0
4	Oct_27_2014	39.29	38.19	38.24	38.38	38.42	38.35	38.1(-1.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-10	-10	-14	3	14.34	43%	0.03	-39.2	1.14%	0	-0.2	48	0
5	Oct_24_2014	39.28	38.2	38.23	38.41	38.5	38.59	38.64(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	20	11	9	11.28	47%	0.03	-41.8	1.13%	0	1	49	0

6	Oct_23_2014	39.27	38.22	38.14	38.33	38.39	38.49	38.5(0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	9	20	12	-2	13.8	49%	0.03	-51.7	1.14%	0	0.6	54	0
7	Oct_22_2014	39.26	38.24	38.12	38.19	38.33	38.41	38.26(-0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	10	30	13	-1	16.68	52%	0.03	-58.9	1.15%	0	0	59	0
8	Oct_21_2014	39.25	38.31	38.19	38.13	38.12	38.29	38.41(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	10	30	9	11	17.3	52%	0.03	-64.2	1.18%	0	0.2	61	0
9	Oct_20_2014	39.24	38.34	38.17	38.07	37.94	38.25	38.26(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	50	15	10	14.66	52%	0.05	-76.9	1.18%	0	-0.1	50	0
10	Oct_17_2014	39.22	38.38	38.2	38.03	37.92	37.96	38.24(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-0	19	13	26.07	50%	0.03	-78.5	1.19%	0	-0.2	50	0

11	Oct_16_2014	39.21	38.45	38.19	37.92	37.9	37.63	37.8(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-50	-18	-23	30.12	50%	0.05	-78.8	1.19%	0	-0.8	38	0
12	Oct_15_2014	39.19	38.57	38.17	38.04	37.97	37.88	37.95(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-30	-20	-27	-37	30.65	50%	0.03	-74.3	1.19%	0	-0.7	41	0
13	Oct_14_2014	39.18	38.68	38.13	38.25	38.19	38.17	38.11(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-10	-1	-39	22.16	51%	-0.03	-66.8	1.19%	0	-0.6	36	0
14	Oct_13_2014	39.19	38.8	38.15	38.29	38.35	38.06	38.05(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-23	-50	-13	-51	24.15	51%	0.05	-70	1.2%	0	-0.8	43	0
15	Oct_10_2014	39.17	38.92	38.17	38.41	38.4	38.21	37.71(-1.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-34	-40	-26	-59	27.89	51%	0.03	-70	1.2%	0	-1.2	41	0

16	Oct_9_2014	39.16	39.07	38.31	38.48	38.62	38.64	38.38(-1.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-3	10	12	-48	29.18	53%	0.08	-72.8	1.18%	0	-0.6	39	0
17	Oct_8_2014	39.13	39.2	38.36	38.3	38.52	38.6	39.02(1.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	30	23	-74	30.05	56%	0.08	-78	1.16%	0	-0.2	39	0
18	Oct_7_2014	39.1	39.31	38.42	37.99	38.17	38.61	38.3(-0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-18	90	13	-111	25.8	53%	0.08	-80.2	1.14%	0	-0.8	33	0
19	Oct_6_2014	39.07	39.48	38.5	37.98	37.98	38.44	38.63(1.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-2	80	38	-122	22.01	53%	0.08	-71.2	1.13%	0	-0.6	33	0
20	Oct_3_2014	39.04	39.66	38.54	37.91	37.84	37.73	38.08(1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-42	-30	-2	-161	30.82	53%	0.05	-63.1	1.13%	0	-1.1	31	0

21	Oct_2_2014	39.02	39.88	38.71	38.13	37.88	37.52	37.47(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-80	-90	-47	-180	39.84	53%	0.05	-52.9	1.12%	0	-1.6	21	0
22	Oct_1_2014	39	40.11	38.99	38.44	38.35	37.96	37.46(-2.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-74	-80	-43	-165	27.05	53%	0.05	-46.5	1.14%	0	-1.9	20	0
23	Sep_30_2014	38.98	40.35	39.29	38.92	38.69	38.24	38.28(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-67	-100	-40	-146	26.13	56%	0.08	-40.1	1.11%	0	-1.6	22	0
24	Sep_29_2014	38.95	40.48	39.52	39.08	39.08	38.74	38.27(-2.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-60	-60	-31	-147	25.09	56%	0.1	-40.9	1.12%	0	-1.8	19	0
25	Sep_26_2014	38.91	40.61	39.74	39.25	39.3	39.14	39.19(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-56	-20	-20	-162	16.69	61%		-43.2	1.07%	0	-1.3	21	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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