Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 15, 2014

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $41.0700 (0.12%) ($40.8600 - $41.3000) on Fri. Aug. 15, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.92% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $41.0700(0.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(86%)    VWO(79%)    EWY(67%)    VT(61%)    EWG(58%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -0.46% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-27%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-6%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.46% (StdDev 0.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.11(-0.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.78(0.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.47(1.48%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   15.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 2.17% (three month std-dev: 0.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.54%(20%) Average negative next day return: -2.55%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 2.2%(20%) Average negative next three day return: -2.96%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 3.22%(20%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.83%(80%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140915

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_15_2014	37.34	40.47	40.78	41.11	41.12	41.08	41.07(0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	7	-10	-1	32	16.49	75%	0.16	78.8	0.92%	0	0.7	49	0
2	Aug_14_2014	37.28	40.34	40.74	41	41.08	41.23	41.02(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	26	30	22	39	12.21	75%	0.19	68.1	0.92%	0	0.7	58	0
3	Aug_13_2014	37.21	40.19	40.69	40.77	40.9	41.16	41.47(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	37	50	39	30	15.35	78%	0.19	61	0.91%	0	1.2	63	0
4	Aug_12_2014	37.14	40.05	40.6	40.51	40.54	40.92	40.97(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	70	26	19	12.74	78%	0.16	56.9	0.91%	0	0.9	65	0
5	Aug_11_2014	37.08	39.92	40.59	40.41	40.38	40.65	41.04(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	40	29	38	17.56	78%	0.19	54.9	0.94%	0	1	69	0

6	Aug_8_2014	37.01	39.79	40.58	40.42	40.28	40.15	40.49(1.58%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	12	-30	-6	67	20.32	77%	0.22	54.3	0.93%	0	0.6	73	0
7	Aug_7_2014	36.93	39.67	40.56	40.47	40.45	40.11	39.86(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	3	-60	-28	95	22.05	76%	0.19	51	0.91%	0	0.2	69	0
8	Aug_6_2014	36.86	39.57	40.6	40.59	40.61	40.41	40.21(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	-30	-30	141	19.46	76%	0.19	51.8	0.91%	0	0.5	75	0
9	Aug_5_2014	36.79	39.46	40.55	40.69	40.71	40.79	40.47(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	39	20	-9	181	18.46	76%	0.19	56.3	0.9%	0	0.8	69	0
10	Aug_4_2014	36.72	39.34	40.43	40.69	40.79	40.82	41.07(0.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	62	10	10	216	16.48	81%	0.22	64.6	0.89%	0	1.4	76	0

11	Aug_1_2014	36.64	39.2	40.15	40.78	40.81	40.63	40.72(0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	52	-30	-3	216	21.81	81%	0.22	72	0.88%	0	1.3	75	0
12	Jul_31_2014	36.56	39.08	39.92	40.67	40.87	40.76	40.47(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	50	-0	-5	214	56.94	81%	0.19	78.5	0.89%	0	1.3	77	0
13	Jul_30_2014	36.49	38.96	39.68	40.6	40.75	40.99	40.71(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	72	50	19	229	18.02	81%	0.19	85.2	0.88%	0	1.6	81	0
14	Jul_29_2014	36.42	38.78	39.46	40.38	40.56	40.98	40.95(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	105	90	61	238	17.69	82%	0.19	85.2	0.88%	0	2.1	80	0
15	Jul_28_2014	36.35	38.59	39.19	40	40.18	40.51	41.05(2.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	104	70	68	211	26.44	82%	0.17	79.5	0.89%	0	2.5	77	0

16	Jul_25_2014	36.29	38.39	38.91	39.44	39.73	40.14	40.19(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	84	90	59	160	18.07	80%	0.14	71.8	0.86%	0	2.2	69	0
17	Jul_24_2014	36.24	38.23	38.68	39.05	39.2	39.85	40.12(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	84	130	72	118	27.13	80%	0.14	60.7	0.87%	0	2.5	67	0
18	Jul_23_2014	36.19	38.06	38.43	38.62	38.74	39.32	39.59(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	71	110	71	72	19.63	74%	0.11	39.8	0.86%	0	2.3	68	0
19	Jul_22_2014	36.15	37.91	38.26	38.4	38.37	38.55	39.07(2.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	38	30	35	46	18.55	72%	0.14	24.1	0.87%	0	1.8	71	0
20	Jul_21_2014	36.1	37.82	38.16	38.27	38.23	38.16	38.21(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	-20	-7	37	14.1	69%	0.06	15.2	0.83%	0	0.7	68	0

21	Jul_18_2014	36.08	37.8	38.17	38.31	38.3	38.19	38.24(0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	-20	-2	64	10.58	69%	0.08	15.2	0.83%	0	0.8	65	0
22	Jul_17_2014	36.05	37.78	38.18	38.24	38.32	38.29	37.97(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	19	0	-2	80	18.78	69%	0.08	15.5	0.84%	0	0.3	64	0
23	Jul_16_2014	36.02	37.79	38.19	38.19	38.25	38.42	38.52(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	44	40	21	111	9.81	75%	0.11	17.9	0.81%	0	1.3	76	0
24	Jul_15_2014	35.98	37.76	38.08	38.08	38	38.35	38.4(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	46	60	24	113	15.01	65%	0.08	15.4	0.82%	0	1.2	76	0
25	Jul_14_2014	35.95	37.74	37.95	38.03	37.88	38.08	38.4(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	44	30	26	97	20.78	65%		16.4	0.89%	0	1.2	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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