Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 22, 2014

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $36.3500 (0.86%) ($36.2700 - $36.4100) on Thu. May. 22, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.16% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $36.3500(0.86%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(86%)    VWO(79%)    EWY(66%)    VT(61%)    EWG(57%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -0.58% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-27%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-6%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.58% (StdDev 1.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.93(1.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.66(1.93%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.25(3.12%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   10.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 1.5% (three month std-dev: 1.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.8%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.26%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 3.08%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -6.43%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 3.19%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -26.7%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140622

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_22_2014	35.19	35.25	35.66	35.93	35.91	36.19	36.35(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	45	50	27	98	12.76	55%	0.03	33.3	1.16%	0	2.1	66	0
2	May_21_2014	35.18	35.18	35.5	35.78	35.78	35.8	36.04(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	0	13	78	14.43	55%	-0.06	21.6	1.16%	0	1.8	64	0
3	May_20_2014	35.2	35.12	35.36	35.73	35.66	35.63	35.55(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	12	-10	-6	65	13.36	53%	-0.09	17.2	1.15%	0	1	60	0
4	May_19_2014	35.23	35.11	35.28	35.71	35.73	35.76	35.76(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	10	9	66	13.61	53%	-0.06	7.4	1.15%	0	1.5	60	0
5	May_16_2014	35.25	35.09	35.18	35.62	35.65	35.7	35.97(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	29	10	17	65	22.69	53%	-0.06	-4.3	1.14%	0	2.1	70	0

6	May_15_2014	35.27	35.09	35.07	35.34	35.51	35.71	35.57(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	27	50	20	48	19.38	53%	0	-33.3	1.14%	0	1.2	64	0
7	May_14_2014	35.27	35.08	35.01	35.17	35.26	35.59	35.82(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	33	70	31	38	21.79	53%	-0.06	-56.4	1.15%	0	1.8	61	0
8	May_13_2014	35.29	35.05	34.91	34.93	34.99	35.31	35.42(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	25	70	28	17	14.03	53%	-0.06	-92.6	1.15%	0	1	57	0
9	May_12_2014	35.31	35.08	34.87	34.8	34.79	34.93	35.32(2.14%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	16	30	21	-1	23.11	53%	-0.06	-82.8	1.14%	0	0.5	46	0
10	May_9_2014	35.33	35.11	34.79	34.67	34.66	34.68	34.58(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	0	-4	-33	15.32	55%	-0.08	-77.5	1.2%	0	-1.1	29	0

11	May_8_2014	35.36	35.21	34.81	34.76	34.68	34.68	34.72(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-10	-3	-41	17.21	55%	-0.11	-56.4	1.21%	0	-0.8	28	0
12	May_7_2014	35.4	35.31	34.83	34.81	34.72	34.65	34.61(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	-20	-8	-48	15.22	55%	-0.08	-41.7	1.22%	0	-1.1	28	0
13	May_6_2014	35.43	35.4	34.87	34.88	34.83	34.7	34.76(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-30	-8	-49	15.72	58%	-0.11	-34.9	1.22%	0	-0.9	42	0
14	May_5_2014	35.47	35.45	34.93	34.94	34.86	34.8	34.7(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-20	-9	-55	12.82	58%	-0.11	-33.9	1.23%	0	-1.1	30	0
15	May_2_2014	35.51	35.5	35.01	34.92	34.99	34.97	35(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-9	0	7	-56	14.1	54%	-0.08	-37.2	1.27%	0	-0.8	33	0

16	May_1_2014	35.54	35.54	35.09	34.92	34.9	34.92	34.99(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-19	10	-1	-74	11.68	54%	-0.11	-36.2	1.28%	0	-0.9	28	0
17	Apr_30_2014	35.58	35.59	35.16	34.92	34.79	35.02	34.93(-0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-18	40	5	-86	15.38	54%	-0.14	-30.5	1.28%	0	-1.1	26	0
18	Apr_29_2014	35.63	35.64	35.19	34.86	34.83	34.88	35.07(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-16	10	11	-98	21.19	54%	-0.14	-23.2	1.28%	0	-1	35	0
19	Apr_28_2014	35.68	35.68	35.3	34.93	34.76	34.57	34.61(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-43	-50	-22	-105	18.63	52%	-0.17	-11	1.27%	0	-1.8	39	0
20	Apr_25_2014	35.74	35.74	35.45	35.12	34.98	34.78	34.7(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-39	-50	-23	-87	23.97	52%	-0.14	14.2	1.26%	0	-2	42	0

21	Apr_24_2014	35.79	35.77	35.65	35.35	35.24	34.95	34.98(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-31	-70	-21	-60	22.64	49%	-0.14	47.4	1.27%	0	-1.6	43	0
22	Apr_23_2014	35.84	35.77	35.83	35.5	35.43	35.19	34.93(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-25	-50	-21	-38	20.34	44%	-0.11	71.4	1.3%	0	-1.7	42	0
23	Apr_22_2014	35.88	35.78	35.98	35.57	35.63	35.53	35.41(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-10	-11	-22	13.71	48%	-0.14	84.1	1.41%	0	-0.7	45	0
24	Apr_21_2014	35.93	35.74	36.03	35.73	35.59	35.68	35.59(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	10	-10	-11	11.07	48%	-0.14	95.7	1.44%	0	-0.3	49	0
25	Apr_17_2014	35.98	35.67	36.04	35.84	35.76	35.73	35.82(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-1	-10	-0	-2	17.62	48%		72.1	1.44%	0	0.2	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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