Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 6, 2013

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $37.8900 (0.48%) ($37.7000 - $37.9400) on Mon. May. 6, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.25% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $37.8900(0.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(85%)    VWO(79%)    EWY(67%)    EWG(57%)    QQQ(56%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -0.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-4%)    TIP(-2%)    GLD(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.625% (StdDev 1.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $37.58(0.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.21(1.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.51(3.78%)
To recent high   -6.4%
To recent low   8.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 2.52% (three month std-dev: 1.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 16 Average positive next day return: 1.06%(63%) Average negative next day return: -1.4%(38%) Sample size 16 Average positive next three day return: 1.68%(63%) Average negative next three day return: -0.89%(38%) Sample size 16 Average positive next weekly return: 3.23%(44%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.59%(56%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130606

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_6_2013	38.69	36.51	37.21	37.58	37.55	37.77	37.89(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	47	40	16	141	8.92	42%	-0.05	48.8	1.25%	0	1.5	71	0
2	May_3_2013	38.71	36.39	37.05	37.49	37.49	37.5	37.71(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	50	0	16	150	12	39%	-0.03	44.8	1.28%	0	1.5	74	0
3	May_2_2013	38.72	36.28	36.88	37.33	37.37	37.33	37.38(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	33	-0	-1	136	9.02	39%	-0.03	35.9	1.28%	0	1.4	59	0
4	May_1_2013	38.73	36.21	36.65	37.27	37.28	37.47	37.19(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	38	40	10	123	14.07	39%	-0.05	27	1.29%	0	1.3	56	0
5	Apr_30_2013	38.75	36.14	36.42	37.13	37.19	37.41	37.74(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	53	50	35	108	11.8	40%	-0.03	14.4	1.27%	0	2.1	58	0

6	Apr_29_2013	38.76	36.06	36.2	36.78	36.87	37.09	37.42(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	35	50	23	71	15.65	42%	-0.03	-0.5	1.27%	0	2.1	58	0
7	Apr_26_2013	38.77	36.01	35.94	36.54	36.53	36.97	36.94(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	80	25	47	11.12	41%	-0.05	-15	1.26%	0	1.6	60	0
8	Apr_25_2013	38.79	35.99	35.84	36.36	36.33	36.65	37.05(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	46	60	46	47	17.71	41%	-0.03	-22.8	1.27%	0	1.8	60	0
9	Apr_24_2013	38.8	36	35.74	35.94	36.08	36.09	36.48(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	10	26	11	18.56	38%	0	-40	1.25%	0	0.8	53	0
10	Apr_23_2013	38.8	36.03	35.72	35.61	35.76	36.01	36.02(-0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	60	8	-14	14.59	37%	-0.03	-44.4	1.24%	0	-0	51	0

11	Apr_22_2013	38.81	36.06	35.73	35.52	35.5	36.07	36.22(0.47%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	26	110	38	-12	9.97	37%	-0.03	-46.9	1.24%	0	0.2	47	0
12	Apr_19_2013	38.82	36.1	35.67	35.26	35.34	35.51	36.05(3.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	10	40	29	-46	23.43	37%	-0.03	-58.4	1.24%	0	-0.1	45	0
13	Apr_18_2013	38.83	36.13	35.62	35.25	35.13	34.92	34.93(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-45	-50	-29	-92	11.16	31%	-0.05	-63.9	1.17%	0	-1.6	31	0
14	Apr_17_2013	38.85	36.25	35.73	35.52	35.36	35.16	34.83(-2.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-47	-50	-32	-90	27.9	31%	-0.05	-56.8	1.17%	0	-2	27	0
15	Apr_16_2013	38.87	36.33	35.85	35.83	35.73	35.33	35.56(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-38	-90	-23	-83	12.82	33%	-0.05	-62.5	1.15%	0	-1.2	31	0

16	Apr_15_2013	38.89	36.4	35.94	35.97	35.96	35.56	34.92(-3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-51	-80	-39	-86	22.58	30%	-0.08	-72.4	1.12%	0	-2.4	31	0
17	Apr_12_2013	38.92	36.53	36.1	36.11	36.2	36.13	36(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	-10	-5	-72	11.9	33%	-0.08	-88.1	1.06%	0	-1	38	0
18	Apr_11_2013	38.95	36.61	36.18	36.04	36.09	36.37	36.27(-0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-7	60	14	-70	8.01	33%	0	-92.5	1.07%	0	-0.6	42	0
19	Apr_10_2013	38.95	36.66	36.28	35.98	35.84	36.28	36.42(0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	6	70	31	-68	11.56	35%	0	-101.2	1.07%	0	-0.4	38	0
20	Apr_9_2013	38.95	36.74	36.36	35.87	35.84	35.82	36.24(1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-6	10	16	-71	23.8	35%	0	-100.6	1.08%	0	-0.8	50	0

21	Apr_8_2013	38.95	36.85	36.41	35.92	35.7	35.41	35.63(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-39	-80	-24	-85	12.91	30%	0	-82.5	1.07%	0	-1.6	39	0
22	Apr_5_2013	38.95	37.02	36.55	36.09	35.96	35.59	35.64(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-52	-80	-41	-85	29.15	30%	0	-66.5	1.08%	0	-1.6	34	0
23	Apr_4_2013	38.95	37.16	36.68	36.35	36.29	35.99	35.97(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-47	-60	-37	-75	16.67	30%	0	-61.9	1.09%	0	-1.4	33	0
24	Apr_3_2013	38.95	37.29	36.81	36.62	36.54	36.34	35.87(-1.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-39	-40	-34	-53	17.43	30%	0	-54.3	1.08%	0	-1.7	38	0
25	Apr_2_2013	38.95	37.41	36.87	36.91	36.81	36.6	36.49(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-22	-50	-14	-44	12.86	38%		-47.4	1.07%	0	-1.2	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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