Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 31, 2012

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $40.4500 (2.28%) ($39.8000 - $40.4900) on Mon. Dec. 31, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.13% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $40.4500(2.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(85%)    VWO(79%)    EWY(67%)    EWG(57%)    QQQ(56%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -0.565% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-4%)    TIP(-3%)    GLD(7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.565% (StdDev 1.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.63(2.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.56(2.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.98(3.77%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   15.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 2.21% (three month std-dev: 1.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 23 Average positive next day return: 1.33%(52%) Average negative next day return: -0.77%(48%) Sample size 23 Average positive next three day return: 1.93%(61%) Average negative next three day return: -1.08%(39%) Sample size 23 Average positive next weekly return: 2.15%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.75%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130131

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_31_2012	36.17	38.98	39.56	39.63	39.66	39.81	40.45(2.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	39	30	32	60	15.63	65%	0.17	75.6	1.13%	0	1.7	72	0
2	Dec_28_2012	36.11	38.82	39.44	39.39	39.41	39.48	39.55(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	10	-0	43	11.84	62%	0.11	66.1	1.1%	0	0.8	69	0
3	Dec_27_2012	36.07	38.69	39.36	39.43	39.31	39.51	39.54(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	30	8	55	10.58	65%	0.14	63.8	1.1%	0	0.9	71	0
4	Dec_26_2012	36.02	38.56	39.31	39.42	39.31	39.33	39.47(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	23	-10	9	65	9.82	65%	0.14	64.1	1.14%	0	0.9	72	0
5	Dec_24_2012	35.97	38.43	39.24	39.43	39.35	39.11	39.14(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-50	-14	79	5.77	65%	0.14	64.6	1.16%	0	0.7	79	0

6	Dec_21_2012	35.92	38.34	39.21	39.47	39.4	39.36	39.24(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	19	-10	-12	110	13.9	65%	0.14	73.6	1.16%	0	0.9	82	0
7	Dec_20_2012	35.87	38.25	39.13	39.49	39.46	39.59	39.75(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	50	20	19	144	9.14	65%	0.17	82.9	1.14%	0	1.5	81	0
8	Dec_19_2012	35.81	38.09	38.99	39.27	39.38	39.44	39.48(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	47	20	14	145	12.43	66%	0.14	82.1	1.16%	0	1.4	82	0
9	Dec_18_2012	35.76	37.93	38.85	39.18	39.18	39.33	39.54(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	44	30	8	152	16.03	66%	0.17	79.9	1.18%	0	1.5	83	0
10	Dec_17_2012	35.7	37.78	38.61	39.03	39.13	39.32	39.35(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	55	40	22	152	12.4	66%	0.14	79.6	1.18%	0	1.6	82	0

11	Dec_14_2012	35.65	37.6	38.36	38.91	38.99	39.02	39.34(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	46	10	15	137	18.2	68%	0.2	72.7	1.19%	0	1.7	71	0
12	Dec_13_2012	35.58	37.42	38.14	38.73	38.85	38.94	38.66(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	33	30	5	118	17.74	69%	0.17	65.9	1.19%	0	1.2	65	0
13	Dec_12_2012	35.52	37.27	37.97	38.65	38.77	38.96	39(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	47	40	22	122	16.43	69%	0.17	56.5	1.22%	0	1.7	77	0
14	Dec_11_2012	35.46	37.12	37.75	38.47	38.52	38.76	38.8(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	51	50	27	122	18.68	69%	0.2	44.4	1.22%	0	1.8	78	0
15	Dec_10_2012	35.39	37	37.55	38.12	38.35	38.58	38.77(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	57	60	40	106	22.1	65%	0.14	31.1	1.23%	0	2	71	0

16	Dec_7_2012	35.34	36.87	37.39	37.72	37.93	38.27	38.41(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	42	80	26	91	15.51	68%	0.14	15.6	1.25%	0	2	75	0
17	Dec_6_2012	35.29	36.77	37.28	37.47	37.55	38.12	38.27(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	53	110	38	97	18.56	69%	0.17	-0.5	1.29%	0	2.2	75	0
18	Dec_5_2012	35.23	36.71	37.11	37.19	37.32	37.59	38.12(3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	53	60	41	88	35.71	69%	0.14	-10.2	1.31%	0	2.3	73	0
19	Dec_4_2012	35.18	36.69	36.91	36.93	37.03	36.98	37.01(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-0	2	61	18.05	64%	0.14	-13.3	1.27%	0	0.5	63	0
20	Dec_3_2012	35.13	36.72	36.87	36.9	36.91	37.04	36.8(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	30	-6	56	14.47	64%	0.11	-12.4	1.29%	0	0.1	53	0

21	Nov_30_2012	35.09	36.75	36.78	37.01	36.93	37.07	37.15(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	20	8	63	15.68	61%	0.14	-6	1.28%	0	0.6	57	0
22	Nov_29_2012	35.04	36.75	36.64	37.07	36.95	36.78	36.85(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	14	-40	-0	56	16.99	61%	0.11	1.6	1.3%	0	0.1	54	0
23	Nov_28_2012	35	36.75	36.53	37.01	36.95	36.79	36.84(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-50	-7	32	16.7	61%	0.14	-6.3	1.3%	0	0.1	44	0
24	Nov_27_2012	34.95	36.77	36.45	36.88	37.05	37.12	36.86(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	1	30	0	2	15.18	61%	0.11	-12.2	1.3%	0	0.1	37	0
25	Nov_26_2012	34.91	36.8	36.41	36.82	36.82	37.32	37.33(-0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	22	100	31	-4	8.76	61%		-13.9	1.31%	0	0.7	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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