Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 17, 2012

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $37.3500 (1.36%) ($36.7500 - $37.4800) on Wed. Oct. 17, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.21% (three month average)
RSI   84
Latest Price   $37.3500(1.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(85%)    VWO(79%)    EWY(66%)    EWG(57%)    QQQ(56%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -0.605% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)    TIP(-3%)    GLD(7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.605% (StdDev 1.21%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.66(1.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.96(3.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.31(5.78%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   16.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 2.49% (three month std-dev: 1.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 12 Average positive next day return: 1.69%(58%) Average negative next day return: -1.09%(42%) Sample size 12 Average positive next three day return: 2.55%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -1.31%(25%) Sample size 12 Average positive next weekly return: 2.55%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.61%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121117

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_17_2012	33.97	35.31	35.96	36.66	36.71	36.97	37.35(1.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	66	50	37	151	23.59	76%	0.09	57.8	1.21%	0	2.3	84	0
2	Oct_16_2012	33.94	35.19	35.71	36.25	36.46	36.68	36.85(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	59	60	35	132	13.94	75%	0.09	60.6	1.22%	0	2.2	86	0
3	Oct_15_2012	33.91	35.06	35.51	35.88	36.09	36.46	36.65(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	52	90	32	113	14.78	75%	0.15	62.7	1.23%	0	2.4	78	0
4	Oct_12_2012	33.86	34.96	35.33	35.55	35.75	36.24	36.38(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	53	110	39	95	18.49	71%	0.09	72.7	1.24%	0	2.6	68	0
5	Oct_11_2012	33.83	34.89	35.14	35.35	35.39	35.72	36.09(2.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	42	70	31	75	20.68	71%	0.09	92.9	1.26%	0	2.7	64	0

6	Oct_10_2012	33.8	34.81	35	35.16	35.23	35.25	35.26(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	10	13	59	11.9	66%	0.06	108.5	1.23%	0	1.1	60	0
7	Oct_9_2012	33.78	34.74	34.87	35.09	35.16	35.06	35.02(0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-10	-3	32	10.36	66%	0.03	105.1	1.25%	0	0.6	48	0
8	Oct_8_2012	33.77	34.66	34.79	35.07	35.09	35.21	34.99(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	30	-2	28	14	66%	0.06	94.6	1.26%	0	0.6	56	0
9	Oct_5_2012	33.75	34.57	34.76	35.06	35.11	35.27	35.37(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	40	21	35	11.67	63%	0.06	90.3	1.28%	0	1.3	56	0
10	Oct_4_2012	33.73	34.49	34.69	34.91	34.98	34.98	35.16(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	10	8	14	9.06	63%	0.06	80.2	1.28%	0	1	48	0

11	Oct_3_2012	33.71	34.37	34.62	34.82	34.88	34.95	34.91(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	20	9	7	8.89	63%	0	60.6	1.28%	0	0.7	53	0
12	Oct_2_2012	33.71	34.24	34.63	34.62	34.82	34.98	34.92(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	50	19	11	8.81	63%	0	42.4	1.3%	0	0.8	61	0
13	Oct_1_2012	33.71	34.12	34.59	34.47	34.57	34.81	34.94(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	60	11	11	13.02	63%	0	32.9	1.3%	0	0.9	64	0
14	Sep_28_2012	33.71	34.03	34.56	34.42	34.44	34.66	34.6(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	50	12	26	13.31	66%	-0.06	26.3	1.37%	0	0.6	65	0
15	Sep_27_2012	33.73	33.95	34.61	34.44	34.43	34.32	34.74(2.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-20	5	44	14.83	66%	-0.03	20.8	1.37%	0	0.9	59	0

16	Sep_26_2012	33.74	33.89	34.61	34.4	34.47	34.22	33.89(-0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-7	-40	-26	52	10.82	64%	-0.09	16.2	1.34%	0	0	62	0
17	Sep_25_2012	33.77	33.87	34.6	34.64	34.6	34.55	34.2(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	15	-10	-12	97	12.79	60%	-0.09	20.4	1.34%	0	0.4	68	0
18	Sep_24_2012	33.8	33.84	34.54	34.7	34.73	34.73	34.65(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	31	0	2	119	6.97	60%	-0.06	17.7	1.36%	0	0.9	68	0
19	Sep_21_2012	33.82	33.8	34.39	34.72	34.71	34.66	34.74(0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	25	-10	-7	120	12.06	55%	-0.12	16.1	1.36%	0	1.1	62	0
20	Sep_20_2012	33.86	33.76	34.29	34.81	34.72	34.74	34.52(-1.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	29	-0	-5	130	12.25	52%	-0.09	17.7	1.46%	0	0.9	62	0

21	Sep_19_2012	33.89	33.75	34.12	34.82	34.9	34.76	35.08(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	45	-20	16	132	12.04	54%	-0.12	14.6	1.49%	0	1.6	60	0
22	Sep_18_2012	33.93	33.7	33.84	34.56	34.7	34.69	34.52(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	10	1	96	12.62	52%	-0.09	1.3	1.48%	0	1.1	56	0
23	Sep_17_2012	33.96	33.68	33.63	34.34	34.5	35.04	34.74(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	45	120	32	83	12.58	52%	-0.09	-9.5	1.48%	0	1.4	58	0
24	Sep_14_2012	33.99	33.66	33.46	34	34.12	34.71	35.19(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	50	130	48	57	25.87	54%	-0.09	-26.5	1.49%	0	2	56	0
25	Sep_13_2012	34.02	33.62	33.22	33.7	33.61	33.95	34.58(2.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	28	60	32	17	29.63	52%		-44.5	1.48%	0	1.4	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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