Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 16, 2012

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $40.3200 (1.28%) ($39.7000 - $40.3300) on Thu. Feb. 16, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.83% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $40.3200(1.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(85%)    VWO(79%)    EWY(67%)    EWG(58%)    SPY(57%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -0.915% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(-1%)    GLD(8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.915% (StdDev 1.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.57(1.9%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.84(1.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.51(2.05%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   21%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 1.49% (three month std-dev: 1.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.98%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 2.53%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.72%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 1.68%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.97%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120316

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_16_2012	36.11	39.51	39.84	39.57	39.69	40.01	40.32(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	16	70	16	17	15.96	46%	0.22	77.2	1.83%	0	1.4	54	NAN
2	Feb_15_2012	36.03	39.42	39.79	39.53	39.41	39.64	39.81(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	6	30	3	15	16.82	46%	0.19	87.1	1.9%	0	0.6	55	NAN
3	Feb_14_2012	35.96	39.35	39.75	39.65	39.45	39.37	39.39(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	5	-30	-0	20	12.71	46%	0.2	92.7	1.9%	0	0.1	51	NAN
4	Feb_13_2012	35.89	39.27	39.71	39.71	39.68	39.18	39.42(1.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-5	-90	-12	17	12.51	46%	0.2	104.9	1.91%	0	0.2	54	NAN
5	Feb_10_2012	35.82	39.15	39.63	39.8	39.73	39.53	38.93(-2.89%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-18	-40	-28	12	24.13	46%	0.22	95.7	1.93%	0	-0.2	53	NAN

6	Feb_9_2012	35.74	39.06	39.71	40.11	39.95	40.17	40.09(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	17	30	6	48	11.69	43%	0.2	99.6	1.89%	0	1	62	NAN
7	Feb_8_2012	35.67	38.9	39.62	40.08	40.04	39.92	40.4(1.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-20	11	51	18.51	43%	0.14	98.2	2.01%	0	1.4	65	NAN
8	Feb_7_2012	35.62	38.71	39.51	39.89	39.97	39.73	39.72(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-40	-5	45	12.68	43%	0.11	94.9	2.01%	0	0.9	64	NAN
9	Feb_6_2012	35.58	38.53	39.44	39.71	39.92	40.16	39.87(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	60	9	53	14.44	43%	0.11	86.4	2.02%	0	1.1	70	NAN
10	Feb_3_2012	35.54	38.31	39.33	39.43	39.66	40.22	40.49(1.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	36	120	26	64	23.06	43%	0.11	73.4	2.01%	0	1.6	80	NAN

11	Feb_2_2012	35.5	38.07	39.14	39.25	39.14	39.68	39.93(1.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	32	90	20	68	15.71	50%	0.11	74.2	2.02%	0	1.3	77	NAN
12	Feb_1_2012	35.46	37.84	39.01	39.25	39.01	39.11	39.42(1.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	27	10	12	70	19.45	50%	0.11	71.4	2.12%	0	1.1	76	NAN
13	Jan_31_2012	35.42	37.67	38.9	39.1	39.02	38.6	38.83(0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-80	-9	74	15.56	45%	0.08	74.8	2.12%	0	0.8	74	NAN
14	Jan_30_2012	35.39	37.48	38.79	39.13	39.1	38.92	38.47(-2.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	-30	-15	83	19.83	45%	0.08	74.3	2.2%	0	0.7	77	NAN
15	Jan_27_2012	35.36	37.31	38.64	39.2	39.19	39.44	39.6(1.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	35	40	10	111	12.22	54%	0.06	72	2.18%	0	1.5	94	NAN

16	Jan_26_2012	35.34	37.05	38.37	39.01	39.05	39.27	39.18(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	40	13	110	17	57%	0.06	67.6	2.29%	0	1.4	83	NAN
17	Jan_25_2012	35.32	36.85	38.13	38.9	38.82	38.94	39.41(1.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	35	20	9	113	16.08	57%	0.06	70.6	2.34%	0	1.7	87	NAN
18	Jan_24_2012	35.3	36.64	37.86	38.68	38.69	38.83	38.97(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	37	30	12	113	16.33	61%	0.11	73.4	2.34%	0	1.6	76	NAN
19	Jan_23_2012	35.26	36.45	37.56	38.41	38.49	38.69	38.83(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	39	40	16	109	14.36	61%	0.06	76.4	2.44%	0	1.7	80	NAN
20	Jan_20_2012	35.24	36.24	37.2	37.99	38.17	38.55	38.67(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	39	80	19	99	18.07	61%	0	75	2.46%	0	1.9	80	NAN

21	Jan_19_2012	35.24	36.05	36.9	37.62	37.7	38.28	38.6(0.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	41	110	23	96	20.31	58%	0	76.1	2.47%	0	2.2	81	NAN
22	Jan_18_2012	35.24	35.8	36.58	37.25	37.24	37.8	38.32(1.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	40	100	25	85	24.6	58%	0.03	70.1	2.5%	0	2.4	71	NAN
23	Jan_17_2012	35.23	35.6	36.33	36.93	36.92	37.11	37.62(2.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	34	40	19	77	26.29	55%	-0.09	64.9	2.5%	0	2.3	67	NAN
24	Jan_13_2012	35.26	35.42	36.05	36.59	36.71	36.68	36.74(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	0	8	58	15.73	55%	0.03	45.7	2.5%	0	1.5	63	NAN
25	Jan_12_2012	35.25	35.3	35.86	36.28	36.53	36.73	36.84(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	20	60	10	49	10.99	58%		23.2	2.51%	0	1.8	68	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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