Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FXI: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Oct. 11, 2011

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $33.4000 (2.17%) ($32.6100 - $33.7800) on Tue. Oct. 11, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.73% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $33.4000(2.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 2.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(86%)    VWO(80%)    EWY(68%)    EWG(60%)    QQQ(58%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -1.365% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-21%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(2%)    GLD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.365% (StdDev 2.73%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.91(4.67%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.55(5.86%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.82(1.77%)
To recent high   -21.7%
To recent low   12.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 6.4% (three month std-dev: 2.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.43%(33%) Average negative next day return: -3.01%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 2.24%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -7%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 1.78%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.35%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111111

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_11_2011	39	32.82	31.55	31.91	31.95	32.68	33.4(2.17%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	29	160	40	-5	26.08	40%	-0.23	-50.5	2.73%	0	0.3	48	0
2	Oct_10_2011	39.09	32.92	31.54	31.19	31.26	31.81	32.69(5.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	14	130	33	-45	30.01	40%	-0.31	-60.3	2.72%	0	-0.1	41	0
3	Oct_7_2011	39.21	33.07	31.47	30.6	30.53	31.21	31.04(-1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-14	150	14	-98	18.8	36%	-0.33	-67.9	2.63%	0	-0.9	34	0
4	Oct_6_2011	39.34	33.31	31.59	30.56	30.21	30.71	31.44(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-26	80	8	-129	39.95	35%	-0.33	-71	2.63%	0	-0.8	32	0
5	Oct_5_2011	39.47	33.58	31.6	30.86	30.28	29.84	31(4.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-48	-160	-12	-157	45.87	35%	-0.33	-68	2.62%	0	-1.1	31	0

6	Oct_4_2011	39.6	33.92	31.85	31.15	30.93	29.7	29.79(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-83	-300	-50	-181	36.16	33%	-0.33	-65.8	2.56%	0	-1.7	27	0
7	Oct_3_2011	39.73	34.29	32.39	31.95	31.83	30.72	29.75(-3.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-77	-260	-50	-156	29.62	33%	-0.35	-63.5	2.58%	0	-2	28	0
8	Sep_30_2011	39.87	34.67	32.96	32.42	32.73	32.16	30.83(-6.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-51	-90	-24	-133	30.47	35%	-0.33	-64.2	2.56%	0	-1.8	31	0
9	Sep_29_2011	40	35.04	33.53	32.71	32.87	32.93	32.91(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-27	30	2	-113	43.31	37%	-0.27	-60.9	2.46%	0	-1.1	36	0
10	Sep_28_2011	40.11	35.32	33.86	32.44	32.63	33.29	32.49(-3.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-27	160	7	-127	26.36	37%	-0.3	-59.9	2.45%	0	-1.4	30	0

11	Sep_27_2011	40.23	35.6	34.2	32.67	32.4	32.8	33.76(5.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-27	60	8	-132	28.14	40%	-0.25	-57.3	2.42%	0	-0.9	30	0
12	Sep_26_2011	40.33	35.81	34.4	32.96	32.54	31.97	32.13(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-59	-160	-29	-150	31.76	36%	-0.3	-49.3	2.33%	0	-1.8	25	0
13	Sep_23_2011	40.45	36.07	34.79	33.62	33.42	31.99	32.27(2.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-78	-320	-56	-145	28.18	36%	-0.3	-43	2.34%	0	-2.1	25	0
14	Sep_22_2011	40.57	36.31	35.17	34.49	34.23	33.11	31.53(-6.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.9	-92	-250	-77	-137	46.94	34%	-0.29	-33.8	2.31%	0	-3	17	0
15	Sep_21_2011	40.69	36.6	35.74	35.46	35.4	34.85	33.67(-4.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.6	-47	-110	-30	-96	31.72	37%	-0.27	-27.4	2.2%	0	-2.5	20	0

16	Sep_20_2011	40.8	36.8	36.17	35.92	35.87	35.36	35.22(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-34	-100	-19	-77	12.77	39%	-0.24	-23.3	2.14%	0	-1.7	32	0
17	Sep_19_2011	40.9	36.83	36.37	36.05	35.97	35.95	35.41(-3.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-30	-10	-14	-76	17.98	39%	-0.24	-32.2	2.14%	0	-1.6	33	0
18	Sep_16_2011	41	36.87	36.54	36.12	36.09	36.39	36.62(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-3	60	17	-62	10.77	41%	-0.22	-35.6	2.1%	0	-0.3	49	0
19	Sep_15_2011	41.09	36.85	36.67	35.99	35.83	35.98	36.36(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-16	20	1	-65	11.72	40%	-0.22	-44.1	2.1%	0	-0.6	50	0
20	Sep_14_2011	41.18	36.92	36.88	36.11	35.86	35.79	35.97(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	-30	-12	-55	17.56	40%	-0.24	-27.3	2.1%	0	-1.1	45	0

21	Sep_13_2011	41.28	37.01	37.08	36.48	36.2	35.68	35.88(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-25	-120	-20	-38	14.09	40%	-0.27	-14	2.11%	0	-1.3	42	0
22	Sep_12_2011	41.39	37.12	37.3	36.74	36.69	35.94	35.79(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-26	-150	-29	-16	16.15	40%	-0.12	4.7	2.11%	0	-1.5	54	0
23	Sep_9_2011	41.44	37.18	37.44	37.01	36.97	36.72	35.95(-2.71%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.3	-23	-50	-31	2	20.69	38%	-0.26	2.8	2.13%	0	-1.5	54	0
24	Sep_8_2011	41.55	37.24	37.53	37.44	37.2	37.43	36.95(-2.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	3	20	-7	34	18.44	40%	-0.24	5.9	2.11%	0	-0.4	57	0
25	Sep_7_2011	41.65	37.16	37.54	37.77	37.51	37.21	37.85(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-80	2	48	14.23	41%		-13.8	2.09%	0	0.8	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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