Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 1, 2011

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $45.4900 (1.29%) ($45.3600 - $45.7100) on Fri. Apr. 1, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.21% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $45.4900(1.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(86%)    VWO(81%)    EWY(70%)    EWG(61%)    SPY(60%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -0.605% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    TIP(-6%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(3%)    GLD(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.605% (StdDev 1.21%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.37(2.52%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.84(3.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.45(4.7%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   10.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 2.16% (three month std-dev: 1.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 2.36%(60%) Average negative next day return: -0.63%(40%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 2.96%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -1.77%(40%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 1.88%(70%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.28%(30%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110501

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_1_2011	43.27	43.45	43.84	44.37	44.55	45.13	45.49(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	74	100	52	141	17.66	52%	-0.05	44.9	1.21%	0	2.2	61	NAN
2	Mar_31_2011	43.29	43.33	43.46	44.01	44.01	44.52	44.91(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	53	80	39	95	18.91	50%	-0.07	48.1	1.21%	0	1.9	58	NAN
3	Mar_30_2011	43.32	43.24	43.16	43.75	43.75	43.97	44.4(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	41	40	34	61	13.19	50%	-0.05	56.6	1.21%	0	1.5	54	NAN
4	Mar_29_2011	43.34	43.15	42.9	43.51	43.54	43.5	43.72(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-0	9	8	13.05	50%	-0.09	57.4	1.2%	0	0.8	42	NAN
5	Mar_28_2011	43.38	43.07	42.8	43.33	43.4	43.53	43.33(-0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-1	30	5	-19	11.81	50%	-0.12	57.4	1.2%	0	0.4	42	NAN

6	Mar_25_2011	43.43	43.03	42.81	43.21	43.27	43.59	43.67(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	24	60	35	-11	8.04	50%	-0.09	49.2	1.19%	0	0.8	54	NAN
7	Mar_24_2011	43.47	42.94	42.77	42.82	43.01	43.27	43.63(1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	18	60	36	-36	17.83	50%	-0.09	27.3	1.2%	0	0.8	51	NAN
8	Mar_23_2011	43.51	42.82	42.76	42.49	42.6	42.96	43.19(0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	5	70	26	-58	17.08	50%	-0.07	10.1	1.21%	0	0.4	49	NAN
9	Mar_22_2011	43.54	42.73	42.86	42.2	42.35	42.76	42.83(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	6	80	27	-58	11.05	50%	-0.07	-1.4	1.21%	0	0.1	53	NAN
10	Mar_21_2011	43.57	42.73	42.98	42.19	42.16	42.24	42.75(2.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-7	10	7	-47	15.46	53%	-0.05	-4.8	1.21%	0	0.1	56	NAN

11	Mar_18_2011	43.59	42.66	43.01	42.36	42.11	41.95	41.68(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-34	-40	-30	-47	12.6	49%	-0.07	4.8	1.19%	0	-1	47	NAN
12	Mar_17_2011	43.62	42.71	43.2	42.73	42.51	42.08	41.98(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-23	-90	-29	-6	17.18	49%	-0.09	22.3	1.2%	0	-0.8	54	NAN
13	Mar_16_2011	43.66	42.73	43.35	43.06	42.84	42.27	41.75(-2.48%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.4	-38	-110	-59	27	32.79	49%	-0.09	36.7	1.2%	0	-1.1	58	NAN
14	Mar_15_2011	43.7	42.75	43.46	43.6	43.26	42.93	42.81(-1.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-10	-80	-43	89	31.07	49%	-0.09	49.5	1.15%	0	0.1	66	NAN
15	Mar_14_2011	43.74	42.71	43.42	43.86	43.73	43.4	43.57(0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	28	-60	-7	133	23.09	52%	-0.05	54.5	1.17%	0	0.9	73	NAN

16	Mar_11_2011	43.76	42.61	43.31	43.77	43.73	43.58	43.53(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	16	-40	-19	122	20	52%	-0.05	47.1	1.17%	0	1	55	NAN
17	Mar_10_2011	43.78	42.5	43.15	43.75	43.86	44.05	43.64(-1.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	31	40	1	122	31.14	52%	-0.07	40.2	1.18%	0	1.2	56	NAN
18	Mar_9_2011	43.81	42.4	42.92	43.69	43.75	44.14	44.43(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	65	70	44	128	18.52	55%	-0.02	33.3	1.15%	0	2.2	64	NAN
19	Mar_8_2011	43.82	42.29	42.6	43.31	43.45	43.67	44.14(2.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	53	50	39	96	34.98	52%	-0.05	24.3	1.15%	0	2.3	66	NAN
20	Mar_7_2011	43.84	42.19	42.3	42.92	43.08	43.36	43.1(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	60	18	54	14.77	48%	-0.07	11.8	1.13%	0	1.3	60	NAN

21	Mar_4_2011	43.87	42.17	42.25	42.79	42.83	43.23	43.44(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	46	70	39	67	16.84	48%	-0.07	12.6	1.13%	0	1.9	64	NAN
22	Mar_3_2011	43.9	42.13	42.15	42.47	42.58	42.8	43.32(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	48	40	43	61	15.36	46%	-0.05	-4.1	1.14%	0	2	66	NAN
23	Mar_2_2011	43.92	42.09	42.03	42.04	42.24	42.43	42.56(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	50	24	33	14.72	45%	-0.07	-28.1	1.12%	0	0.8	60	NAN
24	Mar_1_2011	43.95	42.1	41.95	41.77	41.89	42.37	42.17(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	25	90	30	8	17.07	49%	-0.05	-40	1.13%	0	0.1	46	NAN
25	Feb_28_2011	43.97	42.11	41.92	41.58	41.6	42.04	42.45(1.46%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.5	20	80	30	-11	11.63	49%		-52.9	1.18%	0	0.6	49	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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