Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 12, 2010

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $44.6800 (-0.31%) ($44.3500 - $44.8400) on Tue. Oct. 12, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.22% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $44.6800(-0.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(86%)    VWO(81%)    EWY(70%)    EWG(61%)    SPY(61%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -0.61% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-6%)    IGOV(4%)    GLD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.61% (StdDev 1.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.4(0.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.87(1.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.09(3.69%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   15.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 2.27% (three month std-dev: 1.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 0.86%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.8%(50%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 1.08%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -1.51%(40%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 1.49%(70%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.68%(30%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101112

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_12_2010	40.88	43.09	43.87	44.4	44.37	44.68	44.68(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	42	50	15	121	15.56	68%	0.15	81.9	1.22%	0	1.6	75	NAN
2	Oct_11_2010	40.82	42.96	43.65	44.32	44.23	44.46	44.82(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	55	30	31	125	10.77	68%	0.17	92.6	1.23%	0	2	72	NAN
3	Oct_8_2010	40.75	42.81	43.43	44.02	44.06	44.06	44.4(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	0	17	104	21.39	68%	0.17	90.2	1.24%	0	1.7	69	NAN
4	Oct_7_2010	40.68	42.63	43.27	43.76	43.85	44	43.86(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	30	10	96	13.68	68%	0.15	84.5	1.23%	0	1.4	71	NAN
5	Oct_6_2010	40.62	42.48	43.08	43.56	43.64	44.06	44.24(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	50	70	34	98	13.22	70%	0.15	79.9	1.23%	0	1.9	78	NAN

6	Oct_5_2010	40.56	42.3	42.87	43.25	43.34	43.69	44.27(2.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	52	60	40	86	21.93	70%	0.15	80.5	1.25%	0	2.2	74	NAN
7	Oct_4_2010	40.5	42.11	42.67	42.9	43.01	43.21	43.35(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	40	20	61	20.85	68%	0.1	87.2	1.23%	0	1.6	64	NAN
8	Oct_1_2010	40.46	41.99	42.58	42.75	42.78	42.99	43.1(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	40	12	55	15.09	68%	0.1	91.3	1.24%	0	1.4	64	NAN
9	Sep_30_2010	40.42	41.87	42.46	42.7	42.66	42.81	42.82(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	20	18	68	16.76	68%	0.07	99.5	1.24%	0	1.2	72	NAN
10	Sep_29_2010	40.39	41.75	42.34	42.52	42.61	42.57	42.72(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-0	11	61	19.62	60%	0.07	94.3	1.24%	0	1.2	69	NAN

11	Sep_28_2010	40.36	41.58	42.26	42.52	42.42	42.51	42.49(-0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	11	20	-5	57	16.63	60%	0.05	78.7	1.34%	0	1	70	NAN
12	Sep_27_2010	40.34	41.43	42.21	42.41	42.38	42.66	42.63(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	40	15	81	12.91	60%	0.12	69.3	1.34%	0	1.2	72	NAN
13	Sep_24_2010	40.29	41.3	42.14	42.38	42.33	42.32	42.85(2.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	35	-10	16	90	22.78	60%	0.12	66.5	1.35%	0	1.5	68	NAN
14	Sep_23_2010	40.24	41.12	41.94	42.2	42.23	42.11	41.89(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	-20	-6	75	12.18	57%	0.07	55.6	1.33%	0	0.7	65	NAN
15	Sep_22_2010	40.21	41.01	41.85	42.14	42.21	42.34	42.21(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	30	7	84	13.13	57%	0.05	48.1	1.33%	0	1.1	72	NAN

16	Sep_21_2010	40.19	40.88	41.71	42.06	42.03	42.35	42.45(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	50	17	99	19.26	60%	0.05	40.9	1.34%	0	1.5	81	NAN
17	Sep_20_2010	40.17	40.75	41.52	41.99	41.85	42.08	42.48(1.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	41	30	19	108	15.3	60%	0.02	39.6	1.37%	0	1.7	80	NAN
18	Sep_17_2010	40.16	40.64	41.36	41.88	41.78	41.7	41.96(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	-20	11	111	14.31	60%	0.02	42.5	1.36%	0	1.4	68	NAN
19	Sep_16_2010	40.15	40.56	41.23	41.65	41.77	41.62	41.59(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	27	-20	0	109	14.66	60%	0.02	40.1	1.37%	0	1.2	71	NAN
20	Sep_15_2010	40.14	40.51	41.11	41.51	41.6	41.85	41.83(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	50	9	116	17.54	62%	0.02	40.5	1.36%	0	1.6	69	NAN

21	Sep_14_2010	40.13	40.45	40.86	41.29	41.41	41.93	42.1(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	57	100	39	111	26.96	62%	0	33.2	1.39%	0	2.1	71	NAN
22	Sep_13_2010	40.13	40.36	40.59	40.98	41.08	41.35	41.93(2.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	43	50	29	85	23.23	62%	0	13.9	1.39%	0	2.3	65	NAN
23	Sep_10_2010	40.13	40.25	40.38	40.78	40.83	40.89	40.79(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	17	10	2	60	10.15	62%	-0.02	-7.9	1.35%	0	1	51	NAN
24	Sep_9_2010	40.14	40.21	40.23	40.77	40.87	40.82	40.91(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	-0	9	50	12.2	62%	-0.02	-25.5	1.38%	0	1.3	53	NAN
25	Sep_8_2010	40.15	40.17	40.09	40.64	40.76	40.77	40.72(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	10	8	31	15.6	64%		-50	1.38%	0	1	48	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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