Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 14, 2010

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $40.4800 (-0.93%) ($40.1600 - $40.6000) on Wed. Jul. 14, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.9% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $40.4800(-0.93%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(86%)    VWO(81%)    EWY(70%)    EWG(61%)    SPY(61%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -0.95% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-6%)    IGOV(4%)    LQD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.95% (StdDev 1.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.49(-0.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.01(1.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.39(0.22%)
To recent high   -8.6%
To recent low   9.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 1.83% (three month std-dev: 1.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100814

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_14_2010	40.62	40.39	40.01	40.49	40.56	40.6	40.48(-0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	1	10	2	-2	17.52	46%	0.05	12	1.9%	0	0.1	43	0
2	Jul_13_2010	40.6	40.41	39.9	40.4	40.42	40.69	40.86(0.96%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	8	50	15	-12	19.09	46%	0.05	22	1.9%	0	0.6	48	0
3	Jul_12_2010	40.58	40.38	39.88	40.18	40.15	40.51	40.47(-0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	9	60	20	-25	18.48	46%	0.02	26.9	1.9%	0	0.1	40	0
4	Jul_9_2010	40.57	40.37	39.88	39.89	39.98	40.15	40.68(1.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	8	40	22	-34	21.81	48%	0.02	27.4	1.9%	0	0.4	50	0
5	Jul_8_2010	40.56	40.33	39.93	39.63	39.64	39.79	39.95(-0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	30	7	-51	15.69	48%	0	22.6	1.9%	0	-0.5	46	0

6	Jul_7_2010	40.56	40.3	40.04	39.47	39.46	39.81	40.04(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-4	60	13	-55	23.24	48%	0.02	13.8	1.9%	0	-0.3	42	0
7	Jul_6_2010	40.55	40.25	40.13	39.32	39.39	39.5	39.76(1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-13	20	5	-67	26.56	48%	0.02	9.8	1.9%	0	-0.6	41	0
8	Jul_2_2010	40.54	40.18	40.3	39.56	39.3	39.12	39.02(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-50	-23	-59	17.8	46%	-0.02	9	1.88%	0	-1.1	45	0
9	Jul_1_2010	40.55	40.18	40.48	39.99	39.79	39.27	39.38(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-25	-110	-21	-37	27.37	48%	0.02	15	1.89%	0	-0.8	46	0
10	Jun_30_2010	40.54	40.16	40.62	40.27	40.27	39.48	39.13(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-37	-140	-39	-29	21.51	48%	0	29.1	1.91%	0	-1	46	0

11	Jun_29_2010	40.54	40.19	40.83	40.7	40.65	40.31	39.31(-4.03%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.3	-25	-60	-35	5	35.51	50%	0.07	46.2	1.92%	0	-0.8	55	0
12	Jun_28_2010	40.51	40.17	41.02	41.02	41.09	41.06	40.96(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	0	-2	50	14.81	53%	0.07	55.6	1.87%	0	0.7	70	0
13	Jun_25_2010	40.48	40.09	40.94	41.15	41.14	40.99	41.18(1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	16	-30	-3	71	19.89	53%	0.07	65.2	1.88%	0	1	76	0
14	Jun_24_2010	40.45	40.01	40.85	41.05	41.29	41.12	40.77(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	18	-10	-3	82	24.44	53%	0.02	77.4	1.89%	0	0.7	70	0
15	Jun_23_2010	40.44	39.87	40.79	41.02	41.23	41.28	41.26(0.76%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	21	20	-2	89	25.52	53%	0.05	70.3	1.89%	0	1.3	63	0

16	Jun_22_2010	40.42	39.71	40.58	40.99	41.06	41.47	40.95(-1.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	30	80	9	91	20.27	53%	0.02	67	1.89%	0	1.1	60	0
17	Jun_21_2010	40.41	39.58	40.38	41	40.98	41.17	41.6(2.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	45	30	25	104	37.06	53%	0.07	67.9	1.88%	0	1.8	70	0
18	Jun_18_2010	40.38	39.41	40.03	40.7	40.75	40.65	40.66(0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	18	-10	-1	73	22.14	52%	0.07	62.5	1.86%	0	1.2	58	0
19	Jun_17_2010	40.35	39.23	39.81	40.63	40.67	40.79	40.62(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	20	20	5	63	32.82	52%	0.05	46.4	1.86%	0	1.3	55	0
20	Jun_16_2010	40.33	39.11	39.67	40.51	40.47	40.85	41.1(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	36	60	23	76	15.7	52%	0.05	39.1	1.87%	0	1.9	67	0

21	Jun_15_2010	40.31	38.97	39.5	40.11	40.21	40.54	41.03(2.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	41	60	30	74	26.46	52%	0.05	26.4	1.87%	0	2.1	67	0
22	Jun_14_2010	40.29	38.84	39.23	39.67	39.83	40.1	40.11(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	60	25	53	26.32	50%	0.02	6.5	1.85%	0	1.5	60	0
23	Jun_11_2010	40.28	38.77	39.15	39.25	39.36	39.87	40.27(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	30	100	25	43	21.52	50%	0.02	-4.5	1.85%	0	1.9	62	0
24	Jun_10_2010	40.27	38.73	39.07	38.87	38.97	39.56	40.04(2.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	34	110	29	48	30.47	50%	-0.05	-8.1	1.85%	0	1.8	67	0
25	Jun_9_2010	40.29	38.7	38.86	38.72	38.63	38.84	39.1(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	30	10	32	34.07	48%		-9.3	1.83%	0	0.6	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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