Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 8, 2010

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $41.3200 (0.34%) ($41.2000 - $41.4800) on Mon. Mar. 8, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.71% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $41.3200(0.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(86%)    VWO(82%)    EWY(71%)    EWG(62%)    SPY(61%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -0.855% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-7%)    IGOV(5%)    GLD(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.855% (StdDev 1.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.87(1.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.2(2.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.63(4.26%)
To recent high   -7.3%
To recent low   11.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 2.55% (three month std-dev: 1.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 1.08%(45%) Average negative next day return: -1.2%(55%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 1.53%(64%) Average negative next three day return: -4.18%(36%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 1.75%(45%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.02%(55%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100408

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_8_2010	42.21	39.63	40.2	40.87	40.86	41.13	41.32(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	50	22	77	15.84	47%	-0.05	51.4	1.71%	0	1.7	63	0
2	Mar_5_2010	42.23	39.44	39.98	40.72	40.78	41.13	41.18(2.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	-30	11	68	23.46	47%	-0.07	43.6	1.73%	0	1.7	67	0
3	Mar_4_2010	42.26	39.28	39.76	40.4	40.67	40.59	40.16(-1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	10	-1	44	21.64	44%	-0.09	34.8	1.7%	0	0.9	53	0
4	Mar_3_2010	42.3	39.25	39.71	40.17	40.47	40.97	40.78(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	32	110	25	52	16.94	44%	-0.05	35.5	1.71%	0	1.6	65	0
5	Mar_2_2010	42.32	39.19	39.59	39.88	39.92	40.75	40.9(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	47	150	44	56	24.02	44%	-0.05	35.7	1.71%	0	1.9	67	0

6	Mar_1_2010	42.34	39.12	39.44	39.43	39.46	39.98	40.59(2.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	45	90	42	53	35.2	47%	-0.05	23.7	1.71%	0	1.8	72	0
7	Feb_26_2010	42.36	39	39.44	39.14	39.08	39.08	39.59(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-0	8	36	24.83	40%	-0.09	10.9	1.78%	0	0.8	65	0
8	Feb_25_2010	42.4	38.94	39.26	39.03	39.04	38.94	38.99(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	-20	-9	37	25.71	40%	-0.07	0.5	1.79%	0	0.1	58	0
9	Feb_24_2010	42.43	38.91	39.23	39.17	39.11	39.07	39.32(1.73%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	5	-10	-6	37	22.33	40%	-0.05	-10.8	1.79%	0	0.5	46	0
10	Feb_23_2010	42.45	38.87	39.15	39.25	39.21	39.07	38.65(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	2	-20	-8	30	30.15	43%	-0.05	-33.2	1.77%	0	-0.3	43	0

11	Feb_22_2010	42.47	38.87	39.03	39.43	39.4	39.14	39.16(0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-50	-3	23	16.46	43%	0	-36.4	1.79%	0	0.3	47	0
12	Feb_19_2010	42.47	38.92	38.89	39.38	39.43	39.27	39.03(-1.71%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-8	-20	-14	10	32.83	41%	-0.02	-56.1	1.79%	0	0.1	55	0
13	Feb_18_2010	42.48	38.94	38.79	39.51	39.39	39.66	39.71(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	40	9	22	19.71	41%	-0.02	-67	1.8%	0	1	57	0
14	Feb_17_2010	42.49	39	38.78	39.3	39.32	39.58	39.7(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	50	25	30	17.88	41%	-0.05	-74.2	1.8%	0	0.8	58	0
15	Feb_16_2010	42.51	39.13	38.77	39.05	39.04	39.11	39.56(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	10	20	27	20.27	43%	-0.02	-66	1.8%	0	0.4	56	0

16	Feb_12_2010	42.52	39.21	38.75	38.57	38.77	39.06	38.91(-1.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	70	16	1	30.54	43%	-0.05	-79.5	1.81%	0	-0.2	45	0
17	Feb_11_2010	42.54	39.36	38.7	38.3	38.42	38.96	39.68(2.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	21	110	31	-11	33.67	45%	-0.07	-83.4	1.81%	0	0.2	53	0
18	Feb_10_2010	42.57	39.48	38.58	37.97	37.93	38.47	38.63(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	100	10	-45	27.45	42%	-0.09	-87.2	1.77%	0	-0.5	44	0
19	Feb_9_2010	42.61	39.68	38.55	38.21	37.9	37.87	38.46(3.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	-30	-1	-61	50.07	46%	-0.12	-79.4	1.77%	0	-0.7	36	0
20	Feb_8_2010	42.66	39.95	38.56	38.49	38.29	37.38	37.17(-1.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-53	-180	-38	-96	30.63	42%	-0.14	-66.4	1.77%	0	-1.4	23	0

21	Feb_5_2010	42.72	40.29	38.82	38.97	38.83	37.92	37.57(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-59	-170	-48	-92	50.06	45%	-0.14	-55.1	1.77%	0	-1.4	33	0
22	Feb_4_2010	42.78	40.6	38.98	39.12	39.3	39.2	38.02(-4.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-37	-0	-18	-95	47.88	45%	-0.14	-49.2	1.8%	0	-1.3	32	0
23	Feb_3_2010	42.84	40.92	39.14	39.22	39.35	39.73	39.84(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	80	24	-101	22.6	49%	-0.07	-41.9	1.72%	0	-0.5	36	0
24	Feb_2_2010	42.87	41.12	39.24	38.92	39.03	39.41	39.84(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-12	80	27	-130	25.34	52%	-0.05	-40.8	1.72%	0	-0.6	34	0
25	Feb_1_2010	42.89	41.29	39.5	38.66	38.68	38.96	39.56(3.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-32	50	10	-157	36.45	52%		-42.6	1.75%	0	-0.8	29	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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