Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 22, 2009

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $44.3200 (0.93%) ($43.5400 - $44.3700) on Thu. Oct. 22, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.83% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $44.3200(0.93%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(87%)    VWO(82%)    EWY(71%)    EWG(63%)    SPY(62%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -0.915% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-7%)    IGOV(6%)    LQD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.915% (StdDev 1.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.01(0.7%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.7(1.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.46(4.38%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   15.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 3.58% (three month std-dev: 1.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 3.48%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 8.49%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 12.51%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091122

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_22_2009	40.54	42.46	43.7	44.01	44.19	44.08	44.32(0.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	26	-10	0	103	16.87	65%	0.17	28.5	1.83%	0	1.2	79	0
2	Oct_21_2009	40.47	42.29	43.54	43.98	43.99	44.22	43.91(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	29	40	-3	125	22.02	65%	0.12	22	1.83%	0	1.1	77	0
3	Oct_20_2009	40.42	42.2	43.36	44.06	43.95	44.3	44.18(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	55	50	23	151	19.11	67%	0.12	19.6	1.83%	0	1.4	67	0
4	Oct_19_2009	40.37	42.14	43.1	43.78	43.88	43.76	44.49(3.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	51	-10	21	139	20.08	67%	0.17	17.3	1.89%	0	1.7	65	0
5	Oct_16_2009	40.3	42.14	42.71	43.37	43.46	43.61	43.17(-2.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	30	-6	108	20.19	66%	0.17	11.1	1.87%	0	0.9	60	0

6	Oct_15_2009	40.23	42.03	42.37	43.31	43.3	44	44.16(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	51	110	30	112	16.86	71%	0.22	12.9	1.84%	0	1.6	67	0
7	Oct_14_2009	40.14	41.98	41.92	43.03	43.02	43.32	44.29(3.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	49	50	35	90	28.92	71%	0.22	10.5	1.91%	0	1.8	68	0
8	Oct_13_2009	40.05	41.93	41.56	42.57	42.7	42.61	42.77(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10	6	52	15.5	69%	0.07	7.1	1.88%	0	0.7	51	0
9	Oct_12_2009	40.02	41.9	41.41	42.32	42.55	42.71	42.45(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	40	12	32	17.95	69%	0.2	0.7	1.88%	0	0.5	43	0
10	Oct_9_2009	39.94	41.89	41.28	41.93	42.29	42.8	42.89(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	33	110	39	16	13.73	69%	0.2	-3.6	1.88%	0	0.9	48	0

11	Oct_8_2009	39.86	41.86	41.1	41.25	41.66	42.39	42.73(1.69%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.3	28	150	46	-25	16.07	69%	0.2	-9.7	1.89%	0	0.7	43	0
12	Oct_7_2009	39.78	41.84	40.92	40.64	40.81	41.78	42.02(1.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	8	180	35	-73	15.69	65%	0.15	-9.8	1.88%	0	0.2	38	0
13	Oct_6_2009	39.72	41.85	40.93	40.42	40.37	40.93	41.53(2.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	1	90	32	-92	23.05	65%	0.15	-0.4	1.93%	0	-0.3	33	0
14	Oct_5_2009	39.66	41.89	41.06	40.38	40.21	39.85	40.47(2.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-33	-80	-8	-106	20.52	63%	0.18	10.3	1.92%	0	-1.2	40	0
15	Oct_2_2009	39.59	41.94	41.28	40.56	40.49	39.82	39.51(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-55	-120	-36	-110	25.88	57%	0.15	20.6	1.92%	0	-2.1	32	0

16	Oct_1_2009	39.53	41.97	41.67	40.91	40.94	40.57	39.65(-3.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-42	-60	-27	-86	32.47	57%	0.15	27.7	1.96%	0	-2.1	33	0
17	Sep_30_2009	39.47	41.95	42.07	41.22	41.2	41.16	40.92(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	-10	-13	-64	25.02	61%	0.18	27	1.92%	0	-0.8	38	0
18	Sep_29_2009	39.4	41.85	42.35	41.5	41.34	41.3	41.36(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-20	-12	-43	11.11	61%	0.18	22.1	1.92%	0	-0.3	45	0
19	Sep_28_2009	39.33	41.77	42.46	41.85	41.64	41.24	41.37(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-80	-18	-31	14.73	61%	0.13	24.4	1.93%	0	-0.3	44	0
20	Sep_25_2009	39.28	41.7	42.58	42.13	42.13	41.37	41.23(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-30	-130	-34	-18	13.93	63%	0.18	26	1.93%	0	-0.3	55	0

21	Sep_24_2009	39.21	41.66	42.71	42.56	42.48	42.05	41.2(-2.65%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-27	-80	-41	14	27.88	65%	0.15	32.6	1.96%	0	-0.3	64	0
22	Sep_23_2009	39.15	41.63	42.71	43.03	43	42.89	42.32(-1.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	9	-20	-12	71	16.84	68%	0.2	41.4	1.96%	0	0.4	76	0
23	Sep_22_2009	39.07	41.54	42.87	43.33	43.27	42.92	43.14(0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	28	-60	-2	117	11.84	64%	0.21	48.1	1.94%	0	1	83	0
24	Sep_21_2009	38.99	41.4	42.79	43.16	43.35	43.12	42.78(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	25	-20	-9	128	13.28	64%	0.28	50.4	1.99%	0	0.9	72	0
25	Sep_18_2009	38.88	41.29	42.64	43.08	43.23	43.62	43.36(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	45	70	11	146	15.27	64%		49.9	1.98%	0	1.3	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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