Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 8, 2009

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $42.7300 (1.69%) ($42.5000 - $43.0000) on Thu. Oct. 8, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.89% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $42.7300(1.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI declines -1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(87%)    VWO(82%)    EWY(71%)    EWG(63%)    SPY(62%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -0.945% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-7%)    IGOV(6%)    LQD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.945% (StdDev 1.89%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.25(3.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.1(3.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.86(2.08%)
To recent high   -2.4%
To recent low   17%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 2.77% (three month std-dev: 1.89%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.91%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.36%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.58%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091108

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_8_2009	39.86	41.86	41.1	41.25	41.66	42.39	42.73(1.69%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.3	28	150	46	-25	16.07	69%	0.2	-9.7	1.89%	0	0.7	43	NAN
2	Oct_7_2009	39.78	41.84	40.92	40.64	40.81	41.78	42.02(1.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	8	180	35	-73	15.69	65%	0.15	-9.8	1.88%	0	0.2	38	NAN
3	Oct_6_2009	39.72	41.85	40.93	40.42	40.37	40.93	41.53(2.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	1	90	32	-92	23.05	65%	0.15	-0.4	1.93%	0	-0.3	33	NAN
4	Oct_5_2009	39.66	41.89	41.06	40.38	40.21	39.85	40.47(2.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-33	-80	-8	-106	20.52	63%	0.18	10.3	1.92%	0	-1.2	40	NAN
5	Oct_2_2009	39.59	41.94	41.28	40.56	40.49	39.82	39.51(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-55	-120	-36	-110	25.88	57%	0.15	20.6	1.92%	0	-2.1	32	NAN

6	Oct_1_2009	39.53	41.97	41.67	40.91	40.94	40.57	39.65(-3.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-42	-60	-27	-86	32.47	57%	0.15	27.7	1.96%	0	-2.1	33	NAN
7	Sep_30_2009	39.47	41.95	42.07	41.22	41.2	41.16	40.92(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	-10	-13	-64	25.02	61%	0.18	27	1.92%	0	-0.8	38	NAN
8	Sep_29_2009	39.4	41.85	42.35	41.5	41.34	41.3	41.36(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-20	-12	-43	11.11	61%	0.18	22.1	1.92%	0	-0.3	45	NAN
9	Sep_28_2009	39.33	41.77	42.46	41.85	41.64	41.24	41.37(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-80	-18	-31	14.73	61%	0.13	24.4	1.93%	0	-0.3	44	NAN
10	Sep_25_2009	39.28	41.7	42.58	42.13	42.13	41.37	41.23(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-30	-130	-34	-18	13.93	63%	0.18	26	1.93%	0	-0.3	55	NAN

11	Sep_24_2009	39.21	41.66	42.71	42.56	42.48	42.05	41.2(-2.65%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-27	-80	-41	14	27.88	65%	0.15	32.6	1.96%	0	-0.3	64	NAN
12	Sep_23_2009	39.15	41.63	42.71	43.03	43	42.89	42.32(-1.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	9	-20	-12	71	16.84	68%	0.2	41.4	1.96%	0	0.4	76	NAN
13	Sep_22_2009	39.07	41.54	42.87	43.33	43.27	42.92	43.14(0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	28	-60	-2	117	11.84	64%	0.21	48.1	1.94%	0	1	83	NAN
14	Sep_21_2009	38.99	41.4	42.79	43.16	43.35	43.12	42.78(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	25	-20	-9	128	13.28	64%	0.28	50.4	1.99%	0	0.9	72	NAN
15	Sep_18_2009	38.88	41.29	42.64	43.08	43.23	43.62	43.36(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	45	70	11	146	15.27	64%	0.31	49.9	1.98%	0	1.3	71	NAN

16	Sep_17_2009	38.76	41.14	42.3	42.89	42.89	43.58	43.56(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	57	110	28	145	19.87	64%	0.31	45.5	1.98%	0	1.6	67	NAN
17	Sep_16_2009	38.64	40.96	41.83	42.69	42.61	42.84	43.8(3.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	54	30	28	130	27.66	64%	0.34	40.4	1.98%	0	2	69	NAN
18	Sep_15_2009	38.51	40.76	41.3	42.37	42.33	42.2	42.29(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	20	-20	-4	92	16.54	58%	0.31	33.6	1.97%	0	1.2	61	NAN
19	Sep_14_2009	38.39	40.6	41.01	42.38	42.3	42.38	42.41(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	25	10	3	89	14.86	58%	0.26	24.3	2.01%	0	1.5	62	NAN
20	Sep_11_2009	38.29	40.52	40.74	42.13	42.34	42.46	42.39(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	40	30	26	82	17.18	58%	0.29	17	2.02%	0	1.6	59	NAN

21	Sep_10_2009	38.18	40.47	40.51	41.58	41.9	42.46	42.58(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	37	80	29	59	15.15	58%	0.32	3.2	2.04%	0	1.9	61	NAN
22	Sep_9_2009	38.06	40.4	40.26	40.81	41.2	42.22	42.17(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	44	200	46	36	17.42	58%	0.26	-18.1	2.07%	0	1.7	63	NAN
23	Sep_8_2009	37.96	40.34	40.07	40.06	40.36	41.58	42.36(2.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	50	230	61	15	20.9	58%	0.45	-46	2.07%	0	2	64	NAN
24	Sep_4_2009	37.79	40.3	39.84	39.45	39.5	40.18	41.13(3.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	26	120	38	-11	28.82	56%	0.21	-72	2.04%	0	0.8	64	NAN
25	Sep_3_2009	37.71	40.32	39.78	39.19	39.09	39.14	39.68(2.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-8	0	3	-39	24.88	53%		-76.5	2%	0	-0.6	41	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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