Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 2, 2009

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $38.7200 (-2.05%) ($38.3800 - $39.0800) on Tue. Jun. 2, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.46% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $38.7200(-2.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 4.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(87%)    VWO(82%)    EWY(71%)    EWG(63%)    SPY(62%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -1.73% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-7%)    IGOV(6%)    LQD(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.73% (StdDev 3.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $37.43(3.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.37(6.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.48(9.13%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   69.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 4.34% (three month std-dev: 3.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.3%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.31%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.31%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.73%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090702

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_2_2009	29.29	35.48	36.37	37.43	37.79	39.02	38.72(-2.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	46	260	29	95	28.89	73%	0.45	85.5	3.46%	0	2.1	71	0
2	Jun_1_2009	29.16	35.28	36.04	36.71	37.05	38.26	39.53(5.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.1	59	260	49	88	28.99	73%	0.41	98.4	3.55%	0	3.2	76	0
3	May_29_2009	29.04	34.91	35.43	35.74	35.89	36.55	37.37(3.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	28	140	23	43	27.43	71%	0.31	95.8	3.52%	0	2.3	56	0
4	May_28_2009	28.95	34.64	35.06	35.21	35.31	35.85	36.16(2.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	16	120	14	23	25.28	71%	0.24	83	3.54%	0	1.4	60	0
5	May_27_2009	28.88	34.44	34.81	35.06	35.31	35.24	35.36(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	6	50	5	8	27.31	71%	0.14	77.8	3.56%	0	0.8	49	0

6	May_26_2009	28.84	34.21	34.71	35.14	34.98	34.77	35.12(1.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-1	-60	-4	7	24.86	71%	0.03	61.2	3.58%	0	0.6	55	0
7	May_22_2009	28.83	34.01	34.63	35.25	35.26	34.73	34.69(-0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-100	-4	6	14.21	73%	0.21	56.9	3.6%	0	0.4	48	0
8	May_21_2009	28.77	33.9	34.73	35.05	35.38	35.18	34.73(-1.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-10	-4	17	25.15	73%	0.21	51.6	3.62%	0	0.5	62	0
9	May_20_2009	28.71	33.75	34.7	34.86	35.17	35.79	35.38(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	150	13	29	24.34	73%	0.24	43.3	3.64%	0	1	65	0
10	May_19_2009	28.64	33.54	34.69	34.5	34.64	35.58	35.8(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	27	200	23	39	26.57	73%	0.28	32.9	3.64%	0	1.4	67	0

11	May_18_2009	28.56	33.36	34.53	34.21	34.09	34.55	35.66(5.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	25	80	18	47	30.25	73%	0.28	29.4	3.64%	0	1.4	71	0
12	May_15_2009	28.48	33.14	34.46	33.95	33.87	33.69	33.68(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-40	-8	49	23.48	66%	0.18	24.3	3.69%	0	0.4	65	0
13	May_14_2009	28.43	33.08	34.35	34.4	34.04	33.63	33.77(0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	-120	-12	61	19.86	66%	0.21	34.8	3.72%	0	0.5	57	0
14	May_13_2009	28.37	33.03	34.2	34.51	34.68	34.04	33.58(-2.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	6	-110	-14	66	23.19	66%	0.21	44.9	3.75%	0	0.4	59	0
15	May_12_2009	28.31	33	34.07	34.88	35.01	34.46	34.37(0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-100	-13	83	17.72	66%	0.21	61	3.73%	0	0.9	64	0

16	May_11_2009	28.25	32.88	33.72	34.87	35.21	35.31	34.36(-4.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	16	50	-6	80	23.77	66%	0.14	66.2	3.75%	0	1	58	0
17	May_8_2009	28.21	32.77	33.39	35.03	35.19	35.56	35.91(4.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	40	90	21	98	27.88	69%	0.21	74	3.7%	0	2.1	66	0
18	May_7_2009	28.15	32.55	33.01	34.3	34.77	35.12	34.35(-3.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	32	110	17	77	32.24	67%	0.11	73.1	3.69%	0	1.4	57	0
19	May_6_2009	28.12	32.36	32.74	33.83	34.05	34.82	35.43(3.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	33	180	23	61	34.8	67%	0.18	67.9	3.7%	0	2.3	58	0
20	May_5_2009	28.07	32.1	32.29	33.13	33.24	34.42	34.3(-2.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	34	260	33	37	26.2	67%	0.18	66.8	3.72%	0	1.9	54	0

21	May_4_2009	28.02	31.92	32.06	32.38	32.57	33.27	35.16(8.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	34	170	39	19	38.63	67%	0.21	66.3	3.73%	0	3	61	0
22	May_1_2009	27.96	31.69	32.06	31.53	31.57	32.06	32.27(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-2	110	5	-24	15.09	64%	0.07	67.5	3.53%	0	0.7	51	0
23	Apr_30_2009	27.94	31.62	31.65	31.54	31.3	31.86	31.98(0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	5	100	12	-18	31.77	64%	0.04	71.5	3.55%	0	0.4	51	0
24	Apr_29_2009	27.93	31.49	31.73	31.49	31.34	31.07	31.96(4.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	4	-70	8	-10	28.04	64%	0.11	62.3	3.56%	0	0.5	59	0
25	Apr_28_2009	27.9	31.33	31.83	31.32	31.32	30.73	30.55(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-18	-130	-20	-13	26.79	62%		48.4	3.6%	0	-0.7	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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