Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 20, 2009

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $35.3800 (-1.17%) ($35.3500 - $36.2500) on Wed. May. 20, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.64% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $35.3800(-1.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(87%)    VWO(82%)    EWY(71%)    EWG(63%)    SPY(63%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -1.82% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-7%)    IGOV(6%)    LQD(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.82% (StdDev 3.64%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $34.86(1.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.7(1.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.75(4.83%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   55.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 5.04% (three month std-dev: 3.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.68%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.85%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.69%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090620

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_20_2009	28.71	33.75	34.7	34.86	35.17	35.79	35.38(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	150	13	29	24.34	73%	0.24	43.3	3.64%	0	1	65	NAN
2	May_19_2009	28.64	33.54	34.69	34.5	34.64	35.58	35.8(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	27	200	23	39	26.57	73%	0.28	32.9	3.64%	0	1.4	67	NAN
3	May_18_2009	28.56	33.36	34.53	34.21	34.09	34.55	35.66(5.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	25	80	18	47	30.25	73%	0.28	29.4	3.64%	0	1.4	71	NAN
4	May_15_2009	28.48	33.14	34.46	33.95	33.87	33.69	33.68(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-40	-8	49	23.48	66%	0.18	24.3	3.69%	0	0.4	65	NAN
5	May_14_2009	28.43	33.08	34.35	34.4	34.04	33.63	33.77(0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	-120	-12	61	19.86	66%	0.21	34.8	3.72%	0	0.5	57	NAN

6	May_13_2009	28.37	33.03	34.2	34.51	34.68	34.04	33.58(-2.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	6	-110	-14	66	23.19	66%	0.21	44.9	3.75%	0	0.4	59	NAN
7	May_12_2009	28.31	33	34.07	34.88	35.01	34.46	34.37(0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-100	-13	83	17.72	66%	0.21	61	3.73%	0	0.9	64	NAN
8	May_11_2009	28.25	32.88	33.72	34.87	35.21	35.31	34.36(-4.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	16	50	-6	80	23.77	66%	0.14	66.2	3.75%	0	1	58	NAN
9	May_8_2009	28.21	32.77	33.39	35.03	35.19	35.56	35.91(4.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	40	90	21	98	27.88	69%	0.21	74	3.7%	0	2.1	66	NAN
10	May_7_2009	28.15	32.55	33.01	34.3	34.77	35.12	34.35(-3.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	32	110	17	77	32.24	67%	0.11	73.1	3.69%	0	1.4	57	NAN

11	May_6_2009	28.12	32.36	32.74	33.83	34.05	34.82	35.43(3.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	33	180	23	61	34.8	67%	0.18	67.9	3.7%	0	2.3	58	NAN
12	May_5_2009	28.07	32.1	32.29	33.13	33.24	34.42	34.3(-2.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	34	260	33	37	26.2	67%	0.18	66.8	3.72%	0	1.9	54	NAN
13	May_4_2009	28.02	31.92	32.06	32.38	32.57	33.27	35.16(8.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	34	170	39	19	38.63	67%	0.21	66.3	3.73%	0	3	61	NAN
14	May_1_2009	27.96	31.69	32.06	31.53	31.57	32.06	32.27(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-2	110	5	-24	15.09	64%	0.07	67.5	3.53%	0	0.7	51	NAN
15	Apr_30_2009	27.94	31.62	31.65	31.54	31.3	31.86	31.98(0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	5	100	12	-18	31.77	64%	0.04	71.5	3.55%	0	0.4	51	NAN

16	Apr_29_2009	27.93	31.49	31.73	31.49	31.34	31.07	31.96(4.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	4	-70	8	-10	28.04	64%	0.11	62.3	3.56%	0	0.5	59	NAN
17	Apr_28_2009	27.9	31.33	31.83	31.32	31.32	30.73	30.55(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-18	-130	-20	-13	26.79	62%	0	48.4	3.6%	0	-0.7	55	NAN
18	Apr_27_2009	27.9	31.22	31.99	31.66	31.5	31.61	30.89(-4.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-4	10	-7	7	32.05	62%	0.11	43.8	3.62%	0	-0.2	52	NAN
19	Apr_24_2009	27.87	31.17	32.13	31.75	31.67	31.91	32.32(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	50	8	22	18.34	65%	0.25	55.9	3.54%	0	0.8	59	NAN
20	Apr_23_2009	27.8	31.06	32.09	31.78	31.58	31.39	31.71(1.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-60	-7	23	23.94	65%	0.14	67.4	3.56%	0	0.5	57	NAN

21	Apr_22_2009	27.76	30.91	31.99	32.02	31.8	31.44	31.14(-3.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-3	-100	-15	34	28.04	65%	0.18	72.7	3.57%	0	0.2	65	NAN
22	Apr_21_2009	27.71	30.79	31.93	32.41	32.22	31.76	32.23(2.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-120	-7	59	21.82	65%	0.29	80.5	3.6%	0	0.9	74	NAN
23	Apr_20_2009	27.63	30.64	31.8	32.38	32.5	32.16	31.37(-3.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	10	-60	-11	73	21.82	59%	0.18	87.7	3.65%	0	0.5	75	NAN
24	Apr_17_2009	27.58	30.41	31.77	32.54	32.59	32.68	32.44(-1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	20	1	88	23.32	59%	0.18	79.9	3.8%	0	1.1	64	NAN
25	Apr_16_2009	27.53	30.15	31.61	32.42	32.49	32.84	32.94(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	80	14	94	25.43	59%		80	3.82%	0	1.5	63	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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