Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 29, 2009

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $31.9600 (4.62%) ($31.2700 - $32.3000) on Wed. Apr. 29, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.56% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $31.9600(4.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(87%)    VWO(83%)    EWY(71%)    EWG(63%)    SPY(63%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -1.78% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-7%)    IGOV(7%)    LQD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.78% (StdDev 3.56%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.49(1.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.73(0.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.49(1.49%)
To recent high   -3.4%
To recent low   40.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 3.02% (three month std-dev: 3.56%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.62%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 2.24%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.83%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090529

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_29_2009	27.93	31.49	31.73	31.49	31.34	31.07	31.96(4.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	4	-70	8	-10	28.04	64%	0.11	62.3	3.56%	0	0.5	59	0
2	Apr_28_2009	27.9	31.33	31.83	31.32	31.32	30.73	30.55(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-18	-130	-20	-13	26.79	62%	0	48.4	3.6%	0	-0.7	55	0
3	Apr_27_2009	27.9	31.22	31.99	31.66	31.5	31.61	30.89(-4.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-4	10	-7	7	32.05	62%	0.11	43.8	3.62%	0	-0.2	52	0
4	Apr_24_2009	27.87	31.17	32.13	31.75	31.67	31.91	32.32(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	50	8	22	18.34	65%	0.25	55.9	3.54%	0	0.8	59	0
5	Apr_23_2009	27.8	31.06	32.09	31.78	31.58	31.39	31.71(1.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-60	-7	23	23.94	65%	0.14	67.4	3.56%	0	0.5	57	0

6	Apr_22_2009	27.76	30.91	31.99	32.02	31.8	31.44	31.14(-3.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-3	-100	-15	34	28.04	65%	0.18	72.7	3.57%	0	0.2	65	0
7	Apr_21_2009	27.71	30.79	31.93	32.41	32.22	31.76	32.23(2.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-120	-7	59	21.82	65%	0.29	80.5	3.6%	0	0.9	74	0
8	Apr_20_2009	27.63	30.64	31.8	32.38	32.5	32.16	31.37(-3.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	10	-60	-11	73	21.82	59%	0.18	87.7	3.65%	0	0.5	75	0
9	Apr_17_2009	27.58	30.41	31.77	32.54	32.59	32.68	32.44(-1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	20	1	88	23.32	59%	0.18	79.9	3.8%	0	1.1	64	0
10	Apr_16_2009	27.53	30.15	31.61	32.42	32.49	32.84	32.94(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	80	14	94	25.43	59%	0.22	80	3.82%	0	1.5	63	0

11	Apr_15_2009	27.47	29.88	31.24	31.94	32.22	32.51	33.09(3.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	36	90	19	87	28.95	59%	0.37	82.5	3.82%	0	1.8	70	0
12	Apr_14_2009	27.37	29.59	30.79	31.38	31.62	32.15	32.07(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	140	11	70	26.16	59%	0.26	83.8	3.81%	0	1.5	68	0
13	Apr_13_2009	27.3	29.34	30.38	31.14	31.17	31.92	32.17(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	170	17	60	22.23	59%	0.55	92.1	3.83%	0	1.7	64	0
14	Apr_9_2009	27.15	29.05	30.11	30.9	30.83	31.1	31.85(4.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	50	14	69	23.4	59%	0.37	93.3	3.87%	0	1.7	73	0
15	Apr_8_2009	27.05	28.76	29.92	30.69	30.58	30.41	30.51(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	-50	2	75	26.36	56%	0.22	94.6	3.87%	0	1	65	0

16	Apr_7_2009	26.99	28.5	29.74	30.43	30.66	30.56	30.29(-1.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	-0	6	75	25.13	56%	0.19	87.5	3.88%	0	1	61	0
17	Apr_6_2009	26.94	28.27	29.56	30.08	30.28	30.75	30.9(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	130	14	72	23.07	56%	0.22	80.3	3.98%	0	1.3	65	0
18	Apr_3_2009	26.88	27.91	29.37	29.46	29.73	30.77	30.95(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	34	270	22	68	27.34	56%	0.15	71.5	3.95%	0	1.5	66	0
19	Apr_2_2009	26.84	27.57	28.93	29.21	29.01	29.8	30.8(5.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	29	170	18	61	51.68	56%	0.26	68.1	3.98%	0	1.6	68	0
20	Apr_1_2009	26.77	27.23	28.56	29.08	28.74	28.69	29.22(2.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-50	6	60	34.79	53%	0.15	69.1	4.02%	0	1.1	66	0

21	Mar_31_2009	26.73	27.03	28.41	29.08	28.74	28.23	28.53(2.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-180	-7	66	28.78	53%	0.07	64.7	4.04%	0	0.8	68	0
22	Mar_30_2009	26.71	26.78	28.31	28.96	28.97	28.8	27.79(-6.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	6	-40	-17	73	34.89	53%	0.07	54.8	4.03%	0	0.5	62	0
23	Mar_27_2009	26.69	26.55	28.26	29.22	29.16	29.72	29.7(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	46	130	21	121	26.19	58%	0.3	53.9	3.91%	0	1.5	78	0
24	Mar_26_2009	26.61	26.27	27.93	28.56	28.87	29.15	30.16(5.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	46	100	23	116	44.26	58%	0.23	45.9	3.94%	0	1.9	77	0
25	Mar_25_2009	26.55	25.99	27.51	27.97	28.11	28.61	28.64(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	140	5	105	41.84	54%		40.2	3.88%	0	1.5	75	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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