Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 8, 2009

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $30.5100 (0.73%) ($30.1200 - $30.7200) on Wed. Apr. 8, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.87% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $30.5100(0.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 4.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(87%)    VWO(83%)    EWY(72%)    EWG(64%)    SPY(63%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -1.935% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-7%)    IGOV(7%)    LQD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.935% (StdDev 3.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.69(-0.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.92(1.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.76(6.08%)
To recent high   -1.4%
To recent low   33.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 5.95% (three month std-dev: 3.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.67%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.05%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 6.16%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.22%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 7.49%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.94%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090508

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_8_2009	27.05	28.76	29.92	30.69	30.58	30.41	30.51(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	-50	2	75	26.36	56%	0.22	94.6	3.87%	0	1	65	0
2	Apr_7_2009	26.99	28.5	29.74	30.43	30.66	30.56	30.29(-1.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	-0	6	75	25.13	56%	0.19	87.5	3.88%	0	1	61	0
3	Apr_6_2009	26.94	28.27	29.56	30.08	30.28	30.75	30.9(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	130	14	72	23.07	56%	0.22	80.3	3.98%	0	1.3	65	0
4	Apr_3_2009	26.88	27.91	29.37	29.46	29.73	30.77	30.95(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	34	270	22	68	27.34	56%	0.15	71.5	3.95%	0	1.5	66	0
5	Apr_2_2009	26.84	27.57	28.93	29.21	29.01	29.8	30.8(5.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	29	170	18	61	51.68	56%	0.26	68.1	3.98%	0	1.6	68	0

6	Apr_1_2009	26.77	27.23	28.56	29.08	28.74	28.69	29.22(2.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-50	6	60	34.79	53%	0.15	69.1	4.02%	0	1.1	66	0
7	Mar_31_2009	26.73	27.03	28.41	29.08	28.74	28.23	28.53(2.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-180	-7	66	28.78	53%	0.07	64.7	4.04%	0	0.8	68	0
8	Mar_30_2009	26.71	26.78	28.31	28.96	28.97	28.8	27.79(-6.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	6	-40	-17	73	34.89	53%	0.07	54.8	4.03%	0	0.5	62	0
9	Mar_27_2009	26.69	26.55	28.26	29.22	29.16	29.72	29.7(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	46	130	21	121	26.19	58%	0.3	53.9	3.91%	0	1.5	78	0
10	Mar_26_2009	26.61	26.27	27.93	28.56	28.87	29.15	30.16(5.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	46	100	23	116	44.26	58%	0.23	45.9	3.94%	0	1.9	77	0

11	Mar_25_2009	26.55	25.99	27.51	27.97	28.11	28.61	28.64(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	140	5	105	41.84	54%	0.04	40.2	3.88%	0	1.5	75	0
12	Mar_24_2009	26.54	25.81	27.16	27.79	27.87	28.59	28.51(-1.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	40	190	19	104	33.05	54%	0.11	39.8	3.92%	0	1.6	63	0
13	Mar_23_2009	26.51	25.68	26.87	27.58	27.55	27.62	29.09(10.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	40	10	16	113	51.19	54%	0.15	43	3.91%	0	2.2	73	0
14	Mar_20_2009	26.47	25.45	26.33	27.18	27.18	27.14	26.42(-2.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	21	-10	-6	103	39.63	45%	0.04	34.6	3.76%	0	0.7	69	0
15	Mar_19_2009	26.46	25.38	26.11	27.19	27.33	27.47	27.21(-1.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	36	50	11	111	36.55	45%	0.19	31.1	3.78%	0	1.4	62	0

16	Mar_18_2009	26.41	25.28	25.79	26.94	27.03	27.22	27.7(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	60	15	102	43.63	45%	0.19	22.1	3.77%	0	1.9	61	0
17	Mar_17_2009	26.36	25.16	25.55	26.42	26.57	27.18	27.49(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	33	180	16	85	29.61	45%	0.3	6.9	3.77%	0	2	57	0
18	Mar_16_2009	26.28	25.02	25.13	26.04	26.13	26.84	27.09(2.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	38	200	30	62	52.4	45%	0.23	-16.3	3.77%	0	2	52	0
19	Mar_13_2009	26.22	24.98	24.69	25.36	25.6	25.96	26.44(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	22	130	22	22	31.32	45%	0.08	-42.2	3.86%	0	1.4	56	0
20	Mar_12_2009	26.2	24.97	24.46	24.87	24.95	25.43	25.97(3.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	10	140	14	-3	35.7	45%	0.08	-58.5	3.89%	0	1	53	0

21	Mar_11_2009	26.18	25	24.32	24.48	24.57	25.23	25.1(-1.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	2	200	10	-23	29.64	45%	-0.04	-61.8	3.86%	0	0.1	49	0
22	Mar_10_2009	26.19	25.08	24.34	24.55	24.31	24.48	25.61(8.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	8	20	17	-18	44.37	45%	-0.19	-52.2	3.87%	0	0.5	50	0
23	Mar_9_2009	26.24	25.2	24.36	24.09	24.35	23.92	23.68(-1.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-7	-90	2	-34	30.79	35%	-0.15	-44.8	3.85%	0	-1.1	46	0
24	Mar_6_2009	26.28	25.43	24.48	23.91	24.26	24.15	24(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-19	10	-8	-53	43.87	46%	-0.19	-34.9	4.02%	0	-1	39	0
25	Mar_5_2009	26.33	25.59	24.6	23.97	24.08	24.79	23.99(-5.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-13	220	1	-55	49.25	46%		-26.3	4.05%	0	-1.1	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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