Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 31, 2008

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $29.0900 (1.18%) ($28.4600 - $29.2500) on Wed. Dec. 31, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.74% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $29.0900(1.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI declines -3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(88%)    VWO(83%)    EWY(73%)    EWG(65%)    SPY(65%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -3.87% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-12%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(10%)    LQD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.87% (StdDev 7.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

Resistance Level   $29.12
5 Day Moving Average   $28.42(2.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.99(0.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.12(-0.1%)
To recent high   -15.1%
To recent low   49.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 4.84% (three month std-dev: 7.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090131

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_31_2008	31.08	29.12	28.99	28.42	28.37	28.66	29.09(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-1	70	6	-22	14.43	54%	-0.38	40.1	7.74%	0	-0	39	0
2	Dec_30_2008	31.2	29	29.18	28.13	28.13	28.32	28.75(1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	50	2	-24	15.69	56%	-0.48	36.2	7.74%	0	-0.2	51	0
3	Dec_29_2008	31.35	28.81	29.22	28.15	27.99	28.08	28.24(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-10	10	-4	-29	13.33	53%	-0.51	31.7	7.87%	0	-0.3	43	0
4	Dec_26_2008	31.51	28.75	29.4	28.61	28.24	27.93	28.06(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9	-120	-6	-18	5.65	53%	-0.88	52.4	8.08%	0	-0.4	54	0
5	Dec_24_2008	31.79	28.72	29.61	29.09	28.87	27.9	27.97(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-10	-260	-12	-5	8.84	53%	-0.56	72.6	8.03%	0	-0.4	61	0

6	Dec_23_2008	31.97	28.56	29.94	29.65	29.62	28.55	27.61(-4.33%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-10	-260	-17	11	31.23	53%	-0.5	74.7	8.03%	0	-0.5	54	0
7	Dec_22_2008	32.13	28.45	30.13	30.36	30.37	29.84	28.86(-5.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	3	-120	-7	32	35.78	52%	-0.53	80.9	8.02%	0	0.2	61	0
8	Dec_19_2008	32.3	28.25	30.29	30.4	30.68	30.69	30.55(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	30	1	50	32.26	54%	-0.43	75.8	8.03%	0	1	70	0
9	Dec_18_2008	32.44	27.8	30.04	30.29	30.38	30.91	30.48(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	130	3	54	42.49	56%	-0.49	53.3	8.15%	0	1	61	0
10	Dec_17_2008	32.6	27.41	29.61	30.22	30.04	30.67	30.76(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	130	5	51	32.62	53%	-0.46	47.3	8.32%	0	1.2	60	0

11	Dec_16_2008	32.75	27.08	29.27	30.31	29.95	29.85	31.17(7.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	-60	5	60	47.74	53%	-0.43	48.4	8.48%	0	1.4	67	0
12	Dec_15_2008	32.89	26.76	28.79	29.9	30.1	29.4	29.05(-3.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-140	-6	56	35.78	52%	-0.48	44.1	8.43%	0	0.8	62	0
13	Dec_12_2008	33.05	26.56	28.38	30.15	30.12	30.04	29.99(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	-20	-2	64	45.63	52%	-0.48	47.3	8.47%	0	1.3	66	0
14	Dec_11_2008	33.21	26.41	28.04	29.71	30.27	30.8	30.12(-3.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	180	14	80	38.03	52%	-0.51	54.2	8.47%	0	1.5	73	0
15	Dec_10_2008	33.38	26.1	27.73	28.86	29.38	30.2	31.24(7.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	31	250	14	82	52.81	52%	-0.45	45.6	8.46%	0	2.1	71	0

16	Dec_9_2008	33.53	25.76	27.04	28.06	28.17	29.73	29.08(-4.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	400	14	73	54.42	52%	-0.5	36.8	8.41%	0	1.6	61	0
17	Dec_8_2008	33.7	25.62	26.62	27.53	27.49	28.57	30.3(8.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	37	270	26	70	67.59	52%	-0.44	34.5	8.42%	0	2.4	61	0
18	Dec_5_2008	33.85	25.35	26.01	26.39	26.46	26.61	27.83(7.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	15	50	5	43	55.5	50%	-0.53	22.9	8.35%	0	1.5	57	0
19	Dec_4_2008	34.03	25.1	25.36	26.14	26.05	26.41	25.85(-5.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	4	90	-2	20	52.72	50%	-0.56	10.7	8.3%	0	0.5	47	0
20	Dec_3_2008	34.22	25.03	25.03	26.42	26.15	26.31	27.25(3.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	10	10	25	49.32	49%	-0.44	21.7	8.29%	0	1.3	59	0

21	Dec_2_2008	34.37	25.01	24.71	25.85	26.02	25.69	26.41(7.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	4	-70	2	11	48.8	49%	-0.52	22.9	8.29%	0	0.8	55	0
22	Dec_1_2008	34.55	24.95	24.56	25.55	25.72	25.99	24.6(-7.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-1	90	-1	1	49.86	49%	-0.58	35.6	8.23%	0	-0.2	48	0
23	Nov_28_2008	34.75	24.98	24.6	25.52	25.56	26.34	26.59(-2.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	220	19	7	18.47	49%	-0.74	45.8	8.19%	0	1	54	0
24	Nov_26_2008	35.01	24.92	24.65	24.44	24.83	25.45	27.23(11.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	14	220	18	2	62.95	50%	-0.45	31	8.13%	0	1.4	62	0
25	Nov_25_2008	35.17	24.68	24.31	23.45	23.77	24.78	24.41(-2.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	340	6	-21	45.23	48%		10.4	8.01%	0	-0.2	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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