Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FXI: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Sep. 18, 2008

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $35.0800 (13.6%) ($31.4500 - $35.3100) on Thu. Sep. 18, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.54% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $35.0800(13.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI declines -1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI declines -7.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(90%)    VWO(86%)    EWY(78%)    SPY(71%)    EWG(69%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -1.77% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(8%)    LQD(18%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.77% (StdDev 3.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 6.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $21.07(-39.94%)
Resistance Level   $38.75
5 Day Moving Average   $34.73(1.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.41(-3.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.75(-9.47%)
To recent high   -25.7%
To recent low   13.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 8% (three month std-dev: 3.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 6.89%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.9%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 3.91%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -2.98%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 4.72%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.14%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081018

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_18_2008	45.02	38.75	36.41	34.73	33.77	32.66	35.08(13.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-50	-310	-19	-141	81.03	34%	-0.4	-49	3.54%	0	-1.2	34	0
2	Sep_17_2008	45.2	39.09	36.72	35.17	34.56	33.02	30.88(-12.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-99	-360	-68	-192	69.56	26%	-0.48	-46.2	3.08%	0	-2.7	15	0
3	Sep_16_2008	45.42	39.56	37.69	36.62	35.84	34.88	35.4(1.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-75	-250	-42	-174	54.11	29%	-0.39	-47.9	2.67%	0	-1.8	29	0
4	Sep_15_2008	45.6	39.82	38.28	37.05	36.74	36.1	34.84(-6.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-70	-150	-40	-160	45.61	29%	-0.39	-53.8	2.67%	0	-2.3	32	0
5	Sep_12_2008	45.78	40.15	39.01	38.01	37.49	36.8	37.43(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-54	-170	-28	-130	19.65	32%	-0.35	-56.9	2.54%	0	-1.5	36	0

6	Sep_11_2008	45.94	40.34	39.52	38.36	38.26	37.38	37.31(-2.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-46	-170	-25	-110	28.84	32%	-0.35	-60.4	2.56%	0	-1.8	38	0
7	Sep_10_2008	46.1	40.54	40.13	38.53	38.71	38.19	38.1(1.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-47	-80	-30	-98	22.42	32%	-0.24	-76.1	2.56%	0	-1.6	38	0
8	Sep_9_2008	46.21	40.71	40.52	38.95	38.93	39.15	37.56(-5.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-34	40	-22	-70	27.74	32%	-0.28	-85.8	2.57%	0	-2.3	47	0
9	Sep_8_2008	46.34	40.99	40.89	39.71	39.41	39.23	39.64(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-50	-5	-37	31.8	34%	-0.22	-84.2	2.5%	0	-1.1	51	0
10	Sep_5_2008	46.44	41.19	41.08	40.2	39.89	38.71	39.17(2.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-39	-230	-41	-34	23.7	34%	-0.19	-74.8	2.58%	0	-1.5	45	0

11	Sep_4_2008	46.53	41.37	41.28	40.9	40.81	39.6	38.2(-4.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-48	-210	-58	-19	29.77	34%	-0.24	-70.7	2.6%	0	-2.4	42	0
12	Sep_3_2008	46.64	41.72	41.66	41.95	41.76	41.07	40.19(-2.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-18	-130	-33	28	25.36	35%	-0.17	-53.1	2.54%	0	-1.1	48	0
13	Sep_2_2008	46.72	41.95	41.62	42.3	41.76	42.02	41.33(-1.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	5	-60	-7	40	18.57	36%	-0.13	-43.9	2.55%	0	-0.4	50	0
14	Aug_29_2008	46.78	42.08	41.5	42.23	42.44	42.46	42.11(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	20	-2	26	9.81	36%	-0.15	-41.1	2.53%	0	0	46	0
15	Aug_28_2008	46.85	42.23	41.39	42.08	42.2	42.87	42.68(-1.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	120	20	16	14.58	36%	-0.09	-42.4	2.53%	0	0.3	44	0

16	Aug_27_2008	46.89	42.31	41.2	41.73	41.83	42.42	43.43(3.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	24	110	32	1	23.51	36%	-0.11	-44.3	2.53%	0	0.6	52	0
17	Aug_26_2008	46.94	42.45	40.94	41.36	41.21	41.53	41.96(2.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	3	40	17	-40	14.55	33%	-0.17	-48.6	2.48%	0	-0.2	36	0
18	Aug_25_2008	47.02	42.61	40.87	40.86	41.09	41.24	40.96(-1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-7	40	16	-75	15.6	33%	-0.17	-57.6	2.48%	0	-0.8	33	0
19	Aug_22_2008	47.1	42.78	41.04	40.66	40.62	40.9	41.38(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-21	50	3	-93	15.17	33%	-0.17	-63	2.5%	0	-0.7	39	0
20	Aug_21_2008	47.18	42.98	41.25	40.59	40.41	40.94	40.9(-1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-18	80	10	-103	17.21	33%	-0.15	-63.5	2.49%	0	-1	33	0

21	Aug_20_2008	47.25	43.19	41.41	40.6	40.58	40.33	41.61(5.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-20	-40	11	-113	27.39	31%	-0.15	-61.3	2.49%	0	-0.7	39	0
22	Aug_19_2008	47.32	43.46	41.74	40.48	40.56	39.89	39.43(-1.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-61	-110	-32	-146	17.14	26%	-0.13	-57.5	2.42%	0	-1.8	23	0
23	Aug_18_2008	47.38	43.83	42.3	40.88	40.94	40.84	40(-2.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-52	-10	-24	-134	19.4	26%	-0.11	-49.7	2.42%	0	-1.8	31	0
24	Aug_15_2008	47.43	44.14	42.72	41.46	41.28	41.24	41(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-38	-20	-12	-114	12.47	27%	-0.06	-42.8	2.41%	0	-1.7	40	0
25	Aug_14_2008	47.46	44.37	43.16	42.01	41.68	41.05	40.95(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-39	-130	-18	-102	18.46	27%		-35.5	2.42%	0	-2	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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