Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 27, 2008

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $43.4300 (3.5%) ($42.6400 - $43.4800) on Wed. Aug. 27, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.53% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $43.4300(3.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(90%)    VWO(86%)    EWY(78%)    SPY(71%)    EWG(69%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -1.265% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(8%)    LQD(18%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.265% (StdDev 2.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.73(4.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.2(5.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.31(2.65%)
To recent high   -14.8%
To recent low   10.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 4.61% (three month std-dev: 2.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080927

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_27_2008	46.89	42.31	41.2	41.73	41.83	42.42	43.43(3.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	24	110	32	1	23.51	36%	-0.11	-44.3	2.53%	0	0.6	52	0
2	Aug_26_2008	46.94	42.45	40.94	41.36	41.21	41.53	41.96(2.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	3	40	17	-40	14.55	33%	-0.17	-48.6	2.48%	0	-0.2	36	0
3	Aug_25_2008	47.02	42.61	40.87	40.86	41.09	41.24	40.96(-1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-7	40	16	-75	15.6	33%	-0.17	-57.6	2.48%	0	-0.8	33	0
4	Aug_22_2008	47.1	42.78	41.04	40.66	40.62	40.9	41.38(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-21	50	3	-93	15.17	33%	-0.17	-63	2.5%	0	-0.7	39	0
5	Aug_21_2008	47.18	42.98	41.25	40.59	40.41	40.94	40.9(-1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-18	80	10	-103	17.21	33%	-0.15	-63.5	2.49%	0	-1	33	0

6	Aug_20_2008	47.25	43.19	41.41	40.6	40.58	40.33	41.61(5.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-20	-40	11	-113	27.39	31%	-0.15	-61.3	2.49%	0	-0.7	39	0
7	Aug_19_2008	47.32	43.46	41.74	40.48	40.56	39.89	39.43(-1.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-61	-110	-32	-146	17.14	26%	-0.13	-57.5	2.42%	0	-1.8	23	0
8	Aug_18_2008	47.38	43.83	42.3	40.88	40.94	40.84	40(-2.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-52	-10	-24	-134	19.4	26%	-0.11	-49.7	2.42%	0	-1.8	31	0
9	Aug_15_2008	47.43	44.14	42.72	41.46	41.28	41.24	41(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-38	-20	-12	-114	12.47	27%	-0.06	-42.8	2.41%	0	-1.7	40	0
10	Aug_14_2008	47.46	44.37	43.16	42.01	41.68	41.05	40.95(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-39	-130	-18	-102	18.46	27%	-0.06	-35.5	2.42%	0	-2	36	0

11	Aug_13_2008	47.49	44.59	43.54	42.35	42.13	41.31	41(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-60	-150	-45	-106	21.97	27%	-0.08	-32	2.42%	0	-2.3	38	0
12	Aug_12_2008	47.53	44.8	44.11	43.2	42.76	42.31	41.44(-3.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-48	-100	-37	-81	20.75	27%	-0.04	-13	2.43%	0	-2.4	34	0
13	Aug_11_2008	47.55	44.89	44.53	43.92	43.58	42.95	42.9(-1.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-26	-120	-15	-57	14.17	29%	-0.08	-2.6	2.4%	0	-1.6	39	0
14	Aug_8_2008	47.59	44.96	44.69	44.17	43.98	43.21	43.75(2.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-40	-140	-32	-65	16.9	29%	0.02	7.9	2.4%	0	-1.1	45	0
15	Aug_7_2008	47.58	45	44.87	44.5	44.33	44.22	42.68(-5.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-32	-30	-25	-53	31.61	24%	0.04	26.1	2.39%	0	-2.1	43	0

16	Aug_6_2008	47.56	45.1	45.14	44.89	44.85	44.76	45.24(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	-20	1	-31	10.73	26%	0	47.2	2.4%	0	0.1	51	0
17	Aug_5_2008	47.56	44.99	45.32	45.17	44.87	44.45	45.02(1.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-90	-17	-19	15.36	26%	0.06	50.4	2.4%	0	0	53	0
18	Aug_4_2008	47.53	44.92	45.47	45.27	45.29	44.93	44.17(-2.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-5	-50	-9	8	25.61	26%	0.04	50	2.38%	0	-0.6	59	0
19	Aug_1_2008	47.51	44.87	45.47	45.28	45.4	45.3	45.38(1.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	-10	-6	19	12.13	27%	-0.02	48	2.37%	0	0.4	57	0
20	Jul_31_2008	47.52	44.71	45.65	45.3	45.21	45.66	44.64(-4.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	7	60	0	28	19.53	27%	-0.04	39.9	2.38%	0	-0.1	53	0

21	Jul_30_2008	47.54	44.58	45.72	45.41	45.3	45.51	46.62(2.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	30	14	42	21.85	29%	-0.04	28.3	2.34%	0	1.3	59	0
22	Jul_29_2008	47.56	44.41	45.53	45.53	45.25	44.76	45.53(2.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-2	-90	-18	45	12.59	26%	0.02	28.9	2.32%	0	0.8	63	0
23	Jul_28_2008	47.55	44.31	45.27	45.74	45.82	45.09	44.22(-2.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-6	-110	-24	47	14.94	22%	-0.02	30.3	2.29%	0	-0.1	54	0
24	Jul_25_2008	47.56	44.28	45.26	46.06	46.11	45.73	45.51(0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-50	-19	68	10.47	23%	0	33	2.26%	0	0.8	63	0
25	Jul_24_2008	47.56	44.15	45.15	46.03	46.24	46.54	45.17(-4.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	25	60	3	91	14.46	23%		21.2	2.26%	0	0.7	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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