Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FXI: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jul. 17, 2008

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $45.1700 (0.96%) ($44.4600 - $45.4800) on Thu. Jul. 17, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.34% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $45.1700(0.96%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(90%)    VWO(86%)    EWY(78%)    SPY(71%)    EWG(69%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -1.17% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(8%)    LQD(17%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.17% (StdDev 2.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.15(2.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.66(3.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.85(3.01%)
To recent high   -17.2%
To recent low   8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 2.76% (three month std-dev: 2.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 2.69%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.69%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.44%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080817

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_17_2008	47.68	43.85	43.66	44.15	43.95	44.31	45.17(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	33	40	29	46	32.1	33%	-0.13	-40.6	2.34%	0	1.1	59	0
2	Jul_16_2008	47.74	43.91	43.33	43.99	43.77	43.2	44.74(5.1%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	2	-110	-1	10	31.18	33%	-0.13	-34.4	2.35%	0	0.6	46	0
3	Jul_15_2008	47.8	43.97	43.17	43.59	43.84	43.58	42.57(-3.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-22	-20	-23	-17	31.47	26%	-0.15	-40.3	2.3%	0	-1	43	0
4	Jul_14_2008	47.87	44.16	43.28	43.8	44.03	44.34	43.92(-0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	10	70	14	-2	20.52	28%	-0.1	-38.2	2.28%	0	-0.2	46	0
5	Jul_11_2008	47.92	44.26	43.22	43.58	43.67	44.1	44.35(-0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	14	80	22	-12	20.51	28%	-0.08	-44.3	2.28%	0	0.1	49	0

6	Jul_10_2008	47.96	44.35	43.08	43.09	43.36	43.72	44.38(3.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	10	80	28	-46	29.58	28%	-0.1	-62.1	2.3%	0	0	39	0
7	Jul_9_2008	48.01	44.38	43.15	42.58	42.82	43.24	42.74(-2.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-17	90	5	-81	24.72	22%	-0.17	-80.1	2.28%	0	-1	31	0
8	Jul_8_2008	48.09	44.55	43.31	42.71	42.82	43.01	43.63(1.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-11	60	13	-83	39.75	22%	-0.08	-87.1	2.31%	0	-0.6	38	0
9	Jul_7_2008	48.13	44.73	43.4	42.7	42.59	42.4	42.81(2.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-25	-40	0	-99	28.11	22%	-0.15	-92	2.32%	0	-1.1	32	0
10	Jul_3_2008	48.2	44.95	43.56	42.81	42.77	42.18	41.88(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-46	-100	-23	-116	20.08	29%	-0.17	-85.6	2.3%	0	-1.6	29	0

11	Jul_2_2008	48.28	45.36	44.05	43.06	43.15	42.78	41.82(-3.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-49	-50	-30	-106	21.09	29%	-0.12	-86.1	2.36%	0	-1.8	29	0
12	Jul_1_2008	48.34	45.7	44.55	43.78	43.44	43.36	43.39(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-29	-40	-15	-72	21.71	41%	-0.08	-82.5	2.34%	0	-1.2	43	0
13	Jun_30_2008	48.38	45.98	44.84	44	43.99	43.53	43.61(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-70	-5	-58	16.03	41%	-0.06	-75.1	2.5%	0	-1.1	38	0
14	Jun_27_2008	48.41	46.34	45.13	44.21	44.12	43.52	43.35(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-36	-100	-26	-65	15.23	41%	-0.1	-67.4	2.54%	0	-1.4	32	0
15	Jun_26_2008	48.46	46.7	45.42	44.43	44.44	44.45	43.13(-5.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-33	0	-23	-63	31.92	41%	-0.06	-65.3	2.54%	0	-1.6	33	0

16	Jun_25_2008	48.49	47.08	45.74	45.18	44.78	44.73	45.44(2.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	-30	-3	-53	18.03	51%	-0.06	-59.6	2.48%	0	-0.8	30	0
17	Jun_24_2008	48.52	47.3	45.72	45.46	45.13	44.43	44.45(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-34	-130	-22	-69	17.54	51%	-0.14	-57.6	2.54%	0	-1.3	35	0
18	Jun_23_2008	48.59	47.59	45.91	45.82	45.75	44.84	44.67(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-43	-140	-32	-76	14.43	51%	-0.12	-61.6	2.54%	0	-1.4	34	0
19	Jun_20_2008	48.65	47.85	46.19	46.19	46.23	45.84	44.47(-5.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-39	-60	-25	-80	25.94	51%	-0.06	-66	2.56%	0	-1.7	28	0
20	Jun_19_2008	48.68	48.19	46.47	46.51	46.52	46.66	46.89(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-15	20	6	-77	17.1	49%	-0.02	-67.3	2.49%	0	-0.7	34	0

21	Jun_18_2008	48.69	48.38	46.75	46.38	46.31	46.62	46.82(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-10	40	12	-77	15.64	54%	-0.06	-71.4	2.65%	0	-0.8	34	0
22	Jun_17_2008	48.72	48.58	46.91	46.38	46.16	46.38	46.26(-0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-16	40	9	-92	13.1	54%	-0.08	-77.6	2.71%	0	-1.1	36	0
23	Jun_16_2008	48.76	48.9	47.18	46.03	45.97	46	46.49(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-27	0	-2	-101	8.53	54%	-0.06	-70.1	2.72%	0	-1.1	36	0
24	Jun_13_2008	48.79	49.22	47.6	46.22	45.99	45.94	46.11(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-29	-20	-8	-93	17.89	49%	-0.08	-61.6	2.82%	0	-1.4	36	0
25	Jun_12_2008	48.83	49.55	48.05	46.43	46.43	45.95	46.21(2.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-38	-70	-19	-94	18.22	46%		-58.5	2.83%	0	-1.5	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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