Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 6, 2008

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $54.4100 (0.67%) ($53.0600 - $54.7400) on Tue. May. 6, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.17% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $54.4100(0.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 4.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(89%)    VWO(86%)    EWY(78%)    SPY(71%)    EWG(69%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -1.585% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-11%)    GLD(7%)    LQD(17%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.585% (StdDev 3.17%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $54(0.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $53.4(1.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.02(6.64%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   32%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 5.19% (three month std-dev: 3.17%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.17%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.38%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.98%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.51%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.48%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080606

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_6_2008	50.18	51.02	53.4	54	54.05	54.05	54.41(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	0	1	87	15.87	58%	0.02	52.4	3.17%	0	1.3	75	0
2	May_5_2008	50.17	50.72	52.95	53.61	53.84	54.4	54.05(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	90	13	92	13.49	53%	-0.08	51.7	3.21%	0	1.3	79	0
3	May_2_2008	50.21	50.5	52.54	53.29	53.45	54.04	54.55(0.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	40	90	20	98	14.65	53%	-0.08	60.3	3.32%	0	1.7	83	0
4	May_1_2008	50.25	50.2	52	52.93	52.96	53.29	54.05(2.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	30	50	9	94	22.65	56%	-0.14	68.2	3.34%	0	1.7	76	0
5	Apr_30_2008	50.32	49.95	51.44	52.81	52.79	52.86	52.93(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	10	4	91	20.92	53%	-0.14	82.9	3.36%	0	1.4	67	0

6	Apr_29_2008	50.39	49.67	51.07	52.73	52.84	52.64	52.49(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	-20	6	99	12.62	53%	-0.22	96	3.41%	0	1.4	71	0
7	Apr_28_2008	50.5	49.45	50.59	52.15	52.74	52.72	52.45(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	30	8	87	15.71	53%	-0.22	92.4	3.41%	0	1.4	62	0
8	Apr_25_2008	50.61	49.09	50.04	51.62	52.02	53.03	52.74(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	160	20	72	16.96	53%	-0.26	91.3	3.41%	0	1.7	57	0
9	Apr_24_2008	50.74	48.73	49.51	50.9	51.15	52.77	53.45(1.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	52	240	47	65	27.13	53%	-0.26	88.3	3.41%	0	2.2	62	0
10	Apr_23_2008	50.87	48.26	48.98	49.87	50.09	51	52.54(5.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	38	140	38	39	42.56	55%	-0.18	85	3.41%	0	2.1	58	0

11	Apr_22_2008	50.96	47.82	48.4	49.2	49.14	49.53	49.57(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	50	13	15	18.45	48%	-0.23	81.7	3.39%	0	0.9	58	0
12	Apr_21_2008	51.08	47.59	48.29	48.79	48.84	49.17	49.8(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	50	17	9	15.22	48%	-0.25	74.7	3.55%	0	1.1	54	0
13	Apr_18_2008	51.21	47.25	48.28	48.2	48.36	48.74	49.12(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	60	11	10	16.31	51%	-0.25	67.6	3.58%	0	0.9	63	0
14	Apr_17_2008	51.34	46.93	48.24	47.9	47.85	48.51	48.33(-1.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	90	8	13	25.6	51%	-0.29	52	3.63%	0	0.6	59	0
15	Apr_16_2008	51.49	46.59	48.33	47.94	47.75	47.99	49.19(3.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	20	17	34	27.81	51%	-0.19	36.9	3.63%	0	1	65	0

16	Apr_15_2008	51.59	46.34	48.15	47.5	47.62	47.2	47.53(1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	2	-50	-7	28	14.98	47%	-0.17	24.4	3.64%	0	0.5	64	0
17	Apr_14_2008	51.68	46.09	48.24	47.73	47.65	47.51	46.81(-1.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-4	-30	-18	39	19.26	47%	-0.21	22	3.75%	0	0.3	58	0
18	Apr_11_2008	51.79	45.91	48.11	48.37	48.12	48.03	47.63(-1.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	-30	-3	66	29.06	46%	-0.08	24.2	3.75%	0	0.6	65	0
19	Apr_10_2008	51.83	45.8	47.94	48.61	48.61	47.8	48.55(3.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	14	-120	-9	81	26.82	46%	-0.12	27.6	3.78%	0	1	69	0
20	Apr_9_2008	51.89	45.68	47.53	48.77	48.85	48.22	46.97(-3.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	9	-90	-19	94	30.83	48%	-0.25	28.8	3.75%	0	0.5	69	0

21	Apr_8_2008	52.02	45.75	47.26	48.86	49.13	49.42	48.68(-2.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	28	60	2	104	23.28	48%	-0.15	32.6	3.82%	0	1.1	61	0
22	Apr_7_2008	52.1	45.53	46.88	48.8	48.84	49.49	50(2.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	50	100	25	124	24.4	48%	-0.19	25.4	3.81%	0	1.7	69	0
23	Apr_4_2008	52.2	45.27	46.16	47.81	48.15	48.83	48.87(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	45	120	24	106	30.41	48%	-0.23	10.1	3.82%	0	1.5	64	0
24	Apr_3_2008	52.32	45.08	45.51	47.16	47.16	48.18	49.35(4.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	42	150	27	86	30.23	48%	-0.27	-7	3.82%	0	1.9	57	0
25	Apr_2_2008	52.46	44.96	44.69	46.13	46.42	47.48	47.38(-2.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	38	180	33	51	25.96	47%		-29.6	3.78%	0	1.2	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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