Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 18, 2007

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $70.8300 (-2.75%) ($68.3700 - $71.1500) on Thu. Oct. 18, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.16% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $70.8300(-2.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 6.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(89%)    VWO(86%)    EWY(78%)    SPY(70%)    EWG(68%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -1.58% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-24%)    TIP(-14%)    PCY(7%)    GLD(8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.58% (StdDev 3.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $69.06(2.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $66.56(6.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $63.27(11.95%)
To recent high   -2.7%
To recent low   77.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 7.19% (three month std-dev: 3.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 4.39%(60%) Average negative next day return: -1.79%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 8.42%(80%) Average negative next three day return: -2.03%(20%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 8.96%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.6%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20071118

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_18_2007	48.66	63.27	66.56	69.06	68.93	70.42	70.83(-2.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	68	150	43	142	21.96	68%	0.72	91.7	3.16%	0	1.7	71	0
2	Oct_17_2007	48.31	62.46	65.52	67.73	68.17	68.96	72.83(9.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	73	100	55	127	39.86	68%	0.75	88.9	3.15%	0	2.3	72	0
3	Oct_16_2007	47.95	61.53	64.18	65.98	66.68	67.43	66.35(-1.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	110	13	92	21.84	65%	0.4	91.7	2.94%	0	1.2	69	0
4	Oct_15_2007	47.76	60.94	63.85	65.51	65.96	67.39	67.65(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	65	170	48	116	19.34	65%	0.65	88	2.93%	0	1.6	73	0
5	Oct_12_2007	47.45	60.14	63.23	64.46	64.81	65.92	67.63(5.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	60	140	43	109	17.98	66%	0.66	83.3	2.93%	0	1.7	74	0

6	Oct_11_2007	47.14	59.36	62.44	63.7	63.69	64.53	64.17(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	47	90	28	105	30.88	64%	0.58	83.6	2.88%	0	1.1	73	0
7	Oct_10_2007	46.87	58.73	62.09	62.95	63.19	63.71	64.11(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	55	70	35	116	10.67	64%	0.58	77.8	2.87%	0	1.2	76	0
8	Oct_9_2007	46.6	58.07	61.55	62.09	62.17	62.85	63.97(2.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	80	13	105	11.05	64%	0.56	72.7	2.88%	0	1.3	74	0
9	Oct_8_2007	46.34	57.4	60.97	61.93	61.43	62.67	62.4(-2.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	44	120	19	120	7.47	64%	0.54	71.4	2.87%	0	1.1	73	0
10	Oct_5_2007	46.09	56.77	60.52	61.8	61.71	61.49	63.87(5.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	66	-30	37	151	17.47	65%	0.57	69.2	2.86%	0	1.5	82	0

11	Oct_4_2007	45.83	56.02	59.75	61.03	61.22	60.18	60.4(0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	7	-110	-34	129	14.28	63%	0.48	67.6	2.79%	0	1	77	0
12	Oct_3_2007	45.61	55.51	59.2	61.09	61.36	61.93	59.82(-5.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	38	80	-2	159	21.18	64%	0.48	69.2	2.81%	0	1	78	0
13	Oct_2_2007	45.39	55.01	58.73	60.86	61.28	62.27	63.16(2.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	89	130	52	201	15.33	67%	0.55	72.4	2.72%	0	1.9	91	0
14	Oct_1_2007	45.14	54.37	57.84	59.84	60.12	60.8	61.75(2.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	69	90	29	190	16.51	67%	0.53	71.7	2.72%	0	1.8	91	0
15	Sep_28_2007	44.9	53.76	56.84	59.05	59.23	60.29	60(-1.15%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	71	130	32	187	13.43	67%	0.54	75.1	2.71%	0	1.7	90	0

16	Sep_27_2007	44.66	53.19	56.04	58.28	58.62	59.44	60.7(3.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	88	120	52	195	11.6	67%	0.54	77.1	2.7%	0	2.1	95	0
17	Sep_26_2007	44.42	52.6	55.08	57.05	57.53	58.17	58.69(1.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	63	100	28	166	9.82	66%	0.52	81	2.68%	0	1.9	83	0
18	Sep_25_2007	44.19	52	54.3	56.26	56.56	57.8	58.05(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	65	170	34	159	10.23	66%	0.48	83.8	2.69%	0	2	83	0
19	Sep_24_2007	43.98	51.62	53.52	55.54	55.88	56.89	57.81(2.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	82	140	59	152	10.94	66%	0.5	103.9	2.7%	0	2.3	73	0
20	Sep_21_2007	43.76	51.1	52.7	54.29	54.73	55.32	56.16(2.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	52	100	32	113	10.43	66%	0.46	116.6	2.69%	0	2.2	72	0

21	Sep_20_2007	43.56	50.59	51.97	53.46	53.65	54.88	54.53(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	48	170	32	96	8.67	65%	0.44	124.2	2.69%	0	1.7	73	0
22	Sep_19_2007	43.37	50.16	51.52	52.8	52.86	54.14	54.75(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	63	170	53	93	15.12	65%	0.44	127.9	2.69%	0	2	70	0
23	Sep_18_2007	43.18	49.58	50.98	52.03	51.94	52.42	54.43(5.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	46	60	35	79	14.72	66%	0.47	109.2	2.69%	0	2	76	0
24	Sep_17_2007	42.98	48.99	50.59	51.22	51.24	51.58	51.58(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	50	12	52	6.56	64%	0.37	92.9	2.62%	0	1	51	0
25	Sep_14_2007	42.82	48.51	50.44	50.86	50.89	51.45	52.01(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	80	25	58	8.62	66%		75.6	2.63%	0	1.2	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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