Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 30, 2007

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $48.8300 (-1.07%) ($48.0900 - $49.3900) on Thu. Aug. 30, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.6% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $48.8300(-1.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 8.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(89%)    VWO(86%)    EWY(77%)    SPY(70%)    EWG(68%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -1.3% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-24%)    TIP(-14%)    GLD(8%)    LQD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.3% (StdDev 2.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.8(0.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.46(5.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.74(9.14%)
To recent high   -4.3%
To recent low   31.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 6.3% (three month std-dev: 2.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070930

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_30_2007	41.38	44.74	46.46	48.8	48.9	48.72	48.83(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	65	-20	21	196	6.89	67%	0.32	33.8	2.6%	0	1.5	63	0
2	Aug_29_2007	41.25	44.54	45.6	48.23	48.52	48.33	49.36(5.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	44	-10	5	161	13.05	67%	0.32	29.9	2.59%	0	1.8	63	0
3	Aug_28_2007	41.12	44.32	44.74	47.55	47.82	49.08	46.9(-8.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	55	200	28	134	16.35	65%	0.29	21.8	2.53%	0	1	53	0
4	Aug_27_2007	41	44.28	44.31	46.77	47.18	48.7	51.02(6.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	112	250	101	146	19.21	71%	0.24	13.8	2.32%	0	2.7	68	0
5	Aug_24_2007	40.9	44	43.45	45.06	45.42	46.57	47.88(4.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	67	200	64	75	9.34	66%	0.29	-9.3	2.19%	0	2	61	0

6	Aug_23_2007	40.78	43.81	42.96	43.78	44.24	45.66	46(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	64	260	74	34	10.61	65%	0.27	-33.7	2.18%	0	1.2	58	0
7	Aug_22_2007	40.67	43.75	42.67	42.56	43.05	44.28	45.97(6.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	53	230	77	-18	10.47	65%	0.27	-51.4	2.18%	0	1.2	50	0
8	Aug_21_2007	40.56	43.78	42.54	41.54	41.56	42.82	43(1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	4	210	32	-82	8.87	61%	0.2	-61.5	2.02%	0	-0.4	39	0
9	Aug_20_2007	40.48	43.94	42.57	41.47	41.15	41.83	42.47(2.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-3	90	32	-106	10.91	61%	0.2	-59.7	2.02%	0	-0.7	34	0
10	Aug_17_2007	40.4	44.19	42.68	41.62	41.32	40.3	41.47(3.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-53	-190	-23	-141	17.22	60%	0.17	-55.8	2%	0	-1.3	31	0

11	Aug_16_2007	40.33	44.42	42.88	42.02	41.95	40.47	39.91(-2.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-100	-250	-79	-161	27.01	58%	0.17	-55.3	1.95%	0	-2.3	35	0
12	Aug_15_2007	40.26	44.75	43.45	42.75	42.86	42.34	40.86(-4.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-75	-80	-58	-127	12.58	60%	0.15	-56.1	1.94%	0	-2.3	35	0
13	Aug_14_2007	40.2	45	43.94	43.64	43.43	43.42	42.62(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-29	-20	-10	-87	8.94	64%	0.22	-50.9	1.87%	0	-1.7	33	0
14	Aug_13_2007	40.11	45.19	44.33	43.8	43.9	43.38	43.22(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-80	-2	-78	6.92	64%	0.22	-49.7	1.86%	0	-1.5	40	0
15	Aug_10_2007	40.02	45.36	44.65	43.9	43.77	43.45	43.48(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-40	-60	-25	-86	11.93	64%	0.25	-49.3	1.97%	0	-1.5	37	0

16	Aug_9_2007	39.92	45.53	44.77	43.89	43.82	44.42	43.59(-3.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	90	-1	-87	7.61	64%	0.23	-47.4	2%	0	-1.6	43	0
17	Aug_8_2007	39.83	45.7	44.95	44.25	43.92	44.08	45.3(4.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-4	0	19	-74	7.69	68%	0.3	-34.1	1.94%	0	-0.3	48	0
18	Aug_7_2007	39.71	45.74	45.11	44.33	43.99	43.23	43.42(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-50	-140	-38	-87	10.37	66%	0.25	-27.7	1.88%	0	-2	44	0
19	Aug_6_2007	39.61	45.86	45.42	44.98	44.56	43.75	43.73(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-58	-160	-54	-70	12.76	66%	0.3	-5.4	1.87%	0	-2.1	42	0
20	Aug_3_2007	39.49	46	45.8	45.51	45.47	44.75	43.39(-4.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-30	-110	-29	-33	8.85	66%	0.28	27	1.87%	0	-2.9	40	0

21	Aug_2_2007	39.38	46.13	46.09	45.74	45.92	45.37	45.4(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-70	-22	-28	9.92	71%	0.33	55.8	1.78%	0	-1	44	0
22	Aug_1_2007	39.25	46.1	46.17	45.72	45.86	46.2	45.73(-1.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-20	60	-16	-32	16.03	71%	0.36	64.1	1.78%	0	-0.5	46	0
23	Jul_31_2007	39.11	46.05	46.15	46.02	45.89	46.48	46.64(0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	20	80	28	-6	10.4	73%	0.36	86	1.77%	0	0.7	54	0
24	Jul_30_2007	38.97	45.92	46.15	45.95	45.94	45.52	46.39(4.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-7	-60	-3	-17	9.4	70%	0.33	78.7	1.77%	0	0.5	54	0
25	Jul_27_2007	38.84	45.76	46.11	46.18	46.14	45.3	44.55(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-43	-130	-49	-26	12.21	68%		72.7	1.75%	0	-1.1	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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