Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 4, 2007

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $37.4300 (-3.53%) ($36.9100 - $37.5600) on Thu. Jan. 4, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.48% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $37.4300(-3.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 6.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(89%)    VWO(86%)    EWY(78%)    SPY(70%)    EWG(67%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -0.74% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-24%)    TIP(-14%)    GLD(9%)    LQD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.74% (StdDev 1.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $37.63(-0.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.24(3.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.66(7.99%)
To recent high   -3.5%
To recent low   37.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 5.8% (three month std-dev: 1.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -3.85%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -10.88%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.69%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070204

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_4_2007	29.52	34.66	36.24	37.63	37.66	38.01	37.43(-3.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	78	70	15	267	10.06	78%	0.34	82.8	1.48%	0	1.4	77	NAN
2	Jan_3_2007	29.42	34.38	35.91	37.32	37.55	37.95	38.8(4.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	133	90	74	308	11.15	83%	0.58	82.5	1.39%	0	2.3	85	NAN
3	Dec_29_2006	29.25	34	35.38	36.48	36.73	37.31	37.15(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	105	130	47	279	3.74	82%	0.38	75.6	1.29%	0	1.8	84	NAN
4	Dec_28_2006	29.14	33.72	35.01	35.89	36.06	37.15	37.47(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	129	230	82	271	4.39	82%	0.38	70.3	1.28%	0	2.2	88	NAN
5	Dec_27_2006	29.03	33.41	34.51	35.32	35.28	36.16	37.32(4.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	127	170	90	236	6.04	82%	0.42	70.2	1.28%	0	2.7	82	NAN

6	Dec_26_2006	28.91	33.07	34.04	34.65	34.71	34.97	35.88(3.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	84	60	51	183	3.92	80%	0.45	64.8	1.2%	0	2.2	76	NAN
7	Dec_22_2006	28.78	32.83	33.73	34.29	34.29	34.41	34.6(1.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	49	20	11	164	2.6	78%	0.28	66	1.14%	0	1.6	76	NAN
8	Dec_21_2006	28.7	32.7	33.5	34.1	34.2	34.44	34.18(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	60	60	23	170	3.67	77%	0.31	69.8	1.14%	0	1.4	77	NAN
9	Dec_20_2006	28.61	32.58	33.31	33.96	34.06	34.17	34.62(1.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	73	30	38	176	3.95	81%	0.32	74.5	1.13%	0	2	76	NAN
10	Dec_19_2006	28.52	32.41	33.1	33.57	33.72	33.97	33.97(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	53	70	21	149	3.77	80%	0.25	73.9	1.14%	0	1.7	74	NAN

11	Dec_18_2006	28.45	32.27	32.97	33.33	33.44	33.95	34.08(1.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	74	120	42	169	5.03	80%	0.28	74.8	1.15%	0	2.1	80	NAN
12	Dec_15_2006	28.37	32.12	32.74	33.09	33.09	33.48	33.67(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	73	80	44	160	3.64	80%	0.28	82.1	1.15%	0	2	69	NAN
13	Dec_14_2006	28.29	31.98	32.51	32.82	32.86	32.94	33.47(2.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	53	20	30	123	3.7	80%	0.28	85.3	1.15%	0	2	59	NAN
14	Dec_13_2006	28.21	31.85	32.34	32.57	32.61	32.71	32.65(-0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	20	30	-2	87	2.75	78%	0.21	93.9	1.14%	0	1.2	55	NAN
15	Dec_12_2006	28.15	31.75	32.24	32.56	32.56	32.79	32.76(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	50	14	100	2.69	79%	0.25	100.5	1.14%	0	1.4	62	NAN

16	Dec_11_2006	28.08	31.63	32.04	32.55	32.51	32.51	32.92(1.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	41	-0	22	97	5.03	76%	0.29	105.4	1.15%	0	1.8	64	NAN
17	Dec_8_2006	28	31.48	31.87	32.33	32.44	32.32	32.28(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	-20	5	73	2.37	74%	0.25	100.4	1.16%	0	1.1	60	NAN
18	Dec_7_2006	27.93	31.36	31.84	32.15	32.3	32.52	32.24(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	60	10	76	6.31	74%	0.25	94.4	1.16%	0	1.1	62	NAN
19	Dec_6_2006	27.86	31.22	31.81	32.06	32.04	32.56	32.6(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	52	110	37	96	3.05	70%	0.25	87.1	1.15%	0	1.6	65	NAN
20	Dec_5_2006	27.79	31.06	31.67	31.87	31.81	32.09	32.73(2.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	64	60	53	95	4.5	70%	0.32	84.3	1.18%	0	1.9	69	NAN

21	Dec_4_2006	27.7	30.9	31.51	31.45	31.55	32.09	31.82(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	0	13	55	2.65	68%	0.25	83.3	1.14%	0	1.1	66	NAN
22	Dec_1_2006	27.63	30.76	31.44	31.34	31.3	31.52	31.38(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	6	50	-11	56	5.5	67%	0.25	79.4	1.14%	0	0.7	68	NAN
23	Nov_30_2006	27.56	30.64	31.4	31.48	31.35	31.57	31.75(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	38	40	17	101	2.34	69%	0.22	79.1	1.12%	0	1.1	73	NAN
24	Nov_29_2006	27.5	30.48	31.32	31.52	31.43	31.08	31.65(3.23%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	31	-90	-1	127	4.33	69%	0.18	76.5	1.12%	0	1.1	76	NAN
25	Nov_28_2006	27.45	30.33	31.22	31.45	31.53	31.13	30.66(-1.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	3	-80	-41	134	6.68	66%		72.8	1.06%	0	0.3	70	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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