Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 25, 2006

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $28.5400 (0.25%) ($28.4000 - $28.6200) on Wed. Oct. 25, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.99% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $28.5400(0.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(89%)    VWO(86%)    EWY(77%)    SPY(70%)    EWG(67%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -0.495% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-24%)    TIP(-14%)    GLD(9%)    LQD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.495% (StdDev 0.99%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.39(0.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.26(0.99%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.82(2.59%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   11.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 1.8% (three month std-dev: 0.99%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 0.84%(40%) Average negative next day return: -0.45%(60%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 0.58%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -0.64%(40%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 1.4%(30%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.03%(70%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20061125

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_25_2006	26.1	27.82	28.26	28.39	28.38	28.45	28.54(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	20	12	109	2.08	68%	0.12	70	0.99%	0	1.4	67	0
2	Oct_24_2006	26.07	27.74	28.16	28.33	28.32	28.34	28.47(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	0	10	103	1.9	75%	0.19	67.2	0.99%	0	1.5	67	0
3	Oct_23_2006	26.02	27.66	28.06	28.23	28.27	28.31	28.33(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	10	4	89	1.52	75%	0.12	68.4	1.06%	0	1.4	72	0
4	Oct_20_2006	25.99	27.61	27.94	28.2	28.21	28.3	28.32(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	20	8	90	1.49	75%	0.15	72.9	1.06%	0	1.5	72	0
5	Oct_19_2006	25.95	27.54	27.85	28.14	28.16	28.24	28.3(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	20	10	89	1.25	80%	0.15	77.3	1.08%	0	1.7	72	0

6	Oct_18_2006	25.91	27.47	27.78	28.1	28.1	28.12	28.24(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	0	12	87	1.3	80%	0.15	86.9	1.18%	0	1.8	69	0
7	Oct_17_2006	25.87	27.41	27.71	27.96	28.02	28.12	27.96(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	28	20	10	82	1.67	80%	0.08	83	1.18%	0	1.3	68	0
8	Oct_16_2006	25.85	27.34	27.63	27.85	27.9	28.08	28.19(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	37	50	22	81	1.54	80%	0.15	79.3	1.19%	0	2.1	76	0
9	Oct_13_2006	25.81	27.27	27.52	27.64	27.7	27.97	28.03(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	32	70	23	59	1.61	69%	0.12	77.6	1.19%	0	1.9	63	0
10	Oct_12_2006	25.78	27.19	27.43	27.51	27.5	27.72	28.07(1.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	27	50	20	47	2.16	69%	0.12	72	1.26%	0	2.3	69	0

11	Oct_11_2006	25.75	27.11	27.33	27.42	27.35	27.44	27.53(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	20	5	36	1.03	65%	0.12	78.4	1.25%	0	1.2	61	0
12	Oct_10_2006	25.72	27.07	27.29	27.43	27.37	27.29	27.42(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	12	-30	4	37	1.07	65%	0.12	82.2	1.25%	0	1	56	0
13	Oct_9_2006	25.69	27.02	27.24	27.38	27.36	27.27	27.15(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	4	-30	-6	35	1.23	65%	0.08	63.5	1.26%	0	0.3	63	0
14	Oct_6_2006	25.67	26.96	27.25	27.37	27.34	27.45	27.37(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	14	20	4	45	1.07	70%	0.04	53.2	1.28%	0	1	59	0
15	Oct_5_2006	25.66	26.91	27.21	27.32	27.3	27.44	27.63(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	24	30	15	51	1.02	62%	0.08	48.8	1.31%	0	1.7	68	0

16	Oct_4_2006	25.64	26.85	27.14	27.24	27.19	27.23	27.57(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	0	9	48	1.16	62%	0.04	44.3	1.36%	0	1.8	68	0
17	Oct_3_2006	25.63	26.78	27.09	27.14	27.16	27.23	27.17(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-0	3	44	1.98	60%	0.04	42.5	1.36%	0	1.1	58	0
18	Oct_2_2006	25.62	26.77	27.03	27.09	27.14	27.15	27.13(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	10	0	41	1.38	60%	0	48.5	1.37%	0	1	62	0
19	Sep_29_2006	25.62	26.74	27	27.11	27.06	27.17	27.12(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	18	20	4	59	1.4	66%	0	59.5	1.37%	0	1.1	67	0
20	Sep_28_2006	25.62	26.71	26.94	27.07	27.05	27.14	27.19(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	20	10	56	1.33	69%	0	59.5	1.48%	0	1.4	60	0

21	Sep_27_2006	25.62	26.67	26.87	27.03	26.98	26.95	27.08(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	12	-10	-1	51	1.57	69%	-0.04	63.7	1.5%	0	1.2	60	0
22	Sep_26_2006	25.63	26.63	26.83	27.04	27.01	26.96	26.92(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	15	-20	1	58	1.51	69%	-0.04	63.3	1.5%	0	0.9	57	0
23	Sep_25_2006	25.64	26.59	26.78	26.96	27.08	27.02	27.25(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	16	-0	5	48	1.31	69%	0	50.8	1.49%	0	2	53	0
24	Sep_22_2006	25.64	26.54	26.65	26.87	26.97	27.06	26.9(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	30	2	31	1.64	69%	0	38.1	1.49%	0	1.2	52	0
25	Sep_21_2006	25.64	26.5	26.6	26.8	26.92	27.13	27(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	70	18	31	1.45	72%		21.2	1.49%	0	1.7	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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