Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 31, 2006

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $26.2200 (-0.87%) ($25.9800 - $26.2900) on Mon. Jul. 31, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.18% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $26.2200(-0.87%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(89%)    VWO(86%)    EWY(77%)    SPY(70%)    EWG(67%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -1.09% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-23%)    TIP(-14%)    REMX(-2%)    GLD(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.09% (StdDev 2.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.09(0.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.77(1.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.6(2.42%)
To recent high   -6.1%
To recent low   19.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 2.11% (three month std-dev: 2.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.62%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 2.73%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 4.01%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060831

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_31_2006	25.22	25.6	25.77	26.09	26.09	26.25	26.22(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	40	2	55	1.18	53%	0.12	59.2	2.18%	0	1.1	51	0
2	Jul_28_2006	25.19	25.57	25.61	26.05	26.02	26.26	26.45(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	60	18	46	1.82	55%	0.12	73.9	2.18%	0	1.7	54	0
3	Jul_27_2006	25.16	25.53	25.44	25.81	25.88	25.93	26.13(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	20	12	23	1.41	53%	0.12	84	2.2%	0	1.3	55	0
4	Jul_26_2006	25.13	25.45	25.31	25.81	25.69	25.77	25.73(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-2	30	-1	-3	1.41	53%	0.08	79.1	2.21%	0	0.6	47	0
5	Jul_25_2006	25.11	25.37	25.29	25.65	25.65	25.83	25.91(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	50	16	7	2.18	52%	0.04	75.1	2.21%	0	0.9	55	0

6	Jul_24_2006	25.1	25.29	25.28	25.4	25.52	25.6	26.04(3.21%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	12	40	18	-7	1.64	50%	0.08	66.9	2.23%	0	1.2	49	0
7	Jul_21_2006	25.08	25.19	25.25	25.09	25.24	25.47	25.23(-0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	80	7	-28	1.2	49%	0.04	53.5	2.21%	0	0.1	47	0
8	Jul_20_2006	25.07	25.13	25.27	25.01	25.04	25.43	25.34(-1.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	4	110	16	-32	1.32	49%	0.04	47.3	2.21%	0	0.3	47	0
9	Jul_19_2006	25.06	25.06	25.33	24.91	24.84	25	25.71(4.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	0	40	10	-29	3.27	49%	0.04	49.2	2.21%	0	0.9	59	0
10	Jul_18_2006	25.05	24.94	25.28	24.89	24.75	24.65	24.7(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-50	-13	-28	1.34	48%	0.04	51.4	2.15%	0	-0.3	58	0

11	Jul_17_2006	25.04	24.88	25.42	25.14	25.02	24.67	24.48(-1.41%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-14	-110	-19	3	2.21	48%	-0.04	57.4	2.19%	0	-0.4	56	0
12	Jul_14_2006	25.05	24.85	25.54	25.42	25.33	24.86	24.83(0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-7	-140	-21	35	1.9	48%	0.04	66.7	2.19%	0	-0	60	0
13	Jul_13_2006	25.04	24.8	25.63	25.56	25.63	25.37	24.81(-3.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	1	-60	-20	63	3.72	48%	0	69.3	2.21%	0	0	61	0
14	Jul_12_2006	25.04	24.7	25.64	25.79	25.8	25.81	25.63(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	0	-0	96	1.13	50%	0.04	61.3	2.17%	0	0.9	68	0
15	Jul_11_2006	25.03	24.52	25.49	25.73	25.84	25.89	25.96(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	29	30	4	105	1.27	49%	0.04	44.1	2.17%	0	1.2	76	0

16	Jul_10_2006	25.02	24.37	25.32	25.74	25.84	25.79	25.89(1.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	31	20	2	117	1.98	49%	0.08	39.5	2.18%	0	1.3	76	0
17	Jul_7_2006	25	24.24	25.14	25.68	25.7	25.78	25.5(-1.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	32	20	2	121	1.44	48%	0.08	33.5	2.18%	0	1.1	67	0
18	Jul_6_2006	24.98	24.14	24.98	25.73	25.71	25.61	25.99(2.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	43	-30	12	134	0.99	48%	0.08	32.2	2.17%	0	1.7	72	0
19	Jul_5_2006	24.96	24.05	24.77	25.45	25.55	25.63	25.31(-2.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	39	30	8	133	2	46%	0.12	27.6	2.15%	0	1.2	76	0
20	Jul_3_2006	24.93	24.01	24.57	25.2	25.33	25.81	26(1.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	58	150	29	144	3.47	49%	0.12	25.5	2.11%	0	2.1	86	0

21	Jun_30_2006	24.9	23.91	24.29	24.82	24.89	25.46	25.6(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	55	170	31	128	2.48	49%	0.08	12.1	2.1%	0	1.9	72	0
22	Jun_29_2006	24.88	23.86	24.09	24.52	24.5	24.86	25.73(4.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	54	100	33	115	3.45	49%	0.08	2	2.1%	0	2.3	66	0
23	Jun_28_2006	24.86	23.79	23.86	24.14	24.17	24.32	24.62(2.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	50	13	85	1.38	46%	0.04	-10.4	2.03%	0	1.1	56	0
24	Jun_27_2006	24.85	23.79	23.67	24	23.99	24.14	24.04(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	40	12	56	1.39	45%	0.04	-18.1	2.01%	0	0.4	45	0
25	Jun_26_2006	24.84	23.77	23.48	23.84	23.87	24.01	24.13(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	40	15	15	0.54	45%		-25.7	2.01%	0	0.5	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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