Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 7, 2006

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $25.5900 (-1.39%) ($25.5000 - $26.0200) on Fri. Apr. 7, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.29% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $25.5900(-1.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(89%)    VWO(86%)    EWY(78%)    SPY(70%)    EWG(68%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -0.645% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-23%)    TIP(-14%)    REMX(-2%)    GLD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.645% (StdDev 1.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.63(-0.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.18(1.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.67(3.73%)
To recent high   -1.4%
To recent low   16.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 2.84% (three month std-dev: 1.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 2.94%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.65%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 2.17%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -3.47%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 2.6%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.31%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060507

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_7_2006	22.8	24.67	25.18	25.63	25.77	25.87	25.59(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	44	40	14	134	2.03	66%	0.26	77.1	1.29%	0	1.3	77	0
2	Apr_6_2006	22.74	24.56	25.08	25.46	25.65	25.84	25.95(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	54	70	27	134	1.53	71%	0.26	62.6	1.29%	0	2	86	0
3	Apr_5_2006	22.68	24.42	24.92	25.24	25.35	25.67	25.75(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	50	100	27	119	1.04	71%	0.27	49.3	1.31%	0	2	85	0
4	Apr_4_2006	22.62	24.3	24.76	25.01	25.13	25.45	25.58(1.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	53	100	36	103	0.93	72%	0.27	35.9	1.31%	0	2.1	78	0
5	Apr_3_2006	22.56	24.2	24.62	24.78	24.87	25.04	25.26(2.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	34	60	19	78	1.67	74%	0.27	24.7	1.33%	0	2	78	0

6	Mar_31_2006	22.5	24.14	24.5	24.68	24.68	24.82	24.76(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	40	7	72	0.8	73%	0.22	19.5	1.34%	0	1.3	78	0
7	Mar_30_2006	22.45	24.13	24.43	24.63	24.67	24.71	24.85(1.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	31	20	14	83	0.73	73%	0.22	16.2	1.34%	0	1.6	83	0
8	Mar_29_2006	22.4	24.1	24.34	24.54	24.58	24.54	24.6(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	22	-10	2	83	1.2	73%	0.22	9.6	1.35%	0	1.2	83	0
9	Mar_28_2006	22.35	24.08	24.29	24.47	24.54	24.63	24.44(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	27	30	5	93	1.06	73%	0.22	0	1.35%	0	0.9	78	0
10	Mar_27_2006	22.3	24.07	24.24	24.43	24.45	24.62	24.73(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	38	50	17	101	0.96	73%	0.27	-3.9	1.34%	0	1.5	73	0

11	Mar_24_2006	22.24	24.07	24.13	24.3	24.34	24.45	24.53(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	40	15	76	0.94	73%	0.18	-5.7	1.34%	0	1.1	51	0
12	Mar_23_2006	22.2	24.05	24.01	24.2	24.26	24.27	24.42(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	10	9	45	0.6	70%	0.23	-5	1.36%	0	0.9	45	0
13	Mar_22_2006	22.15	24.06	23.9	24.11	24.16	24.24	24.25(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	4	30	1	13	1.21	70%	0.23	-2.1	1.37%	0	0.4	44	0
14	Mar_21_2006	22.1	24.08	23.8	24.09	24.13	24.25	24.21(0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	8	40	11	-3	1.21	70%	0.23	4.8	1.38%	0	0.3	45	0
15	Mar_20_2006	22.05	24.09	23.74	24.03	24.05	24.09	24.09(0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	4	10	11	-19	1.29	70%	0.27	11.5	1.38%	0	0	47	0

16	Mar_17_2006	21.99	24.08	23.75	23.93	23.95	24.01	24.02(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-1	20	10	-35	0.76	70%	0.23	10.5	1.37%	0	-0.1	40	0
17	Mar_16_2006	21.94	24.08	23.79	23.8	23.85	24.02	23.99(-0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	60	18	-47	1.74	70%	0.23	8.9	1.38%	0	-0.2	38	0
18	Mar_15_2006	21.89	24.07	23.83	23.64	23.67	23.89	24.12(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-1	70	21	-66	1.09	70%	0.23	4.1	1.38%	0	0.1	39	0
19	Mar_14_2006	21.84	24.06	23.85	23.48	23.49	23.68	23.93(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-12	60	15	-92	1.22	70%	0.18	-0.5	1.38%	0	-0.3	33	0
20	Mar_13_2006	21.8	24.06	23.87	23.42	23.36	23.44	23.57(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-32	20	-5	-111	1.67	69%	0.18	-7.2	1.37%	0	-0.9	39	0

21	Mar_10_2006	21.76	24.06	23.97	23.57	23.38	23.31	23.37(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-39	-50	-20	-94	0.54	69%	0.23	4.2	1.36%	0	-1.3	45	0
22	Mar_9_2006	21.71	24.03	24.09	23.8	23.67	23.28	23.23(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-36	-130	-27	-64	0.8	69%	0.14	15.7	1.37%	0	-1.5	43	0
23	Mar_8_2006	21.68	24.05	24.24	24.04	23.96	23.45	23.31(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-40	-160	-42	-33	2.48	69%	0.18	26.4	1.37%	0	-1.5	45	0
24	Mar_7_2006	21.64	24.06	24.4	24.25	24.26	24.06	23.63(-2.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-18	-60	-26	8	2.27	69%	0.19	34.1	1.35%	0	-0.9	47	0
25	Mar_6_2006	21.6	24.07	24.48	24.37	24.42	24.48	24.3(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	20	-1	49	1.26	74%		39.2	1.3%	0	0.5	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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