Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 31, 2006

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $24.7600 (-0.36%) ($24.6300 - $24.8700) on Fri. Mar. 31, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.34% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $24.7600(-0.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(89%)    VWO(86%)    EWY(78%)    SPY(70%)    EWG(68%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -0.67% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-23%)    TIP(-14%)    REMX(-2%)    GLD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.67% (StdDev 1.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.68(0.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.5(1.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.14(2.57%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   17.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 1.95% (three month std-dev: 1.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.43%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.76%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.36%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060501

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_31_2006	22.5	24.14	24.5	24.68	24.68	24.82	24.76(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	40	7	72	0.8	73%	0.22	19.5	1.34%	0	1.3	78	0
2	Mar_30_2006	22.45	24.13	24.43	24.63	24.67	24.71	24.85(1.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	31	20	14	83	0.73	73%	0.22	16.2	1.34%	0	1.6	83	0
3	Mar_29_2006	22.4	24.1	24.34	24.54	24.58	24.54	24.6(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	22	-10	2	83	1.2	73%	0.22	9.6	1.35%	0	1.2	83	0
4	Mar_28_2006	22.35	24.08	24.29	24.47	24.54	24.63	24.44(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	27	30	5	93	1.06	73%	0.22	0	1.35%	0	0.9	78	0
5	Mar_27_2006	22.3	24.07	24.24	24.43	24.45	24.62	24.73(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	38	50	17	101	0.96	73%	0.27	-3.9	1.34%	0	1.5	73	0

6	Mar_24_2006	22.24	24.07	24.13	24.3	24.34	24.45	24.53(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	40	15	76	0.94	73%	0.18	-5.7	1.34%	0	1.1	51	0
7	Mar_23_2006	22.2	24.05	24.01	24.2	24.26	24.27	24.42(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	10	9	45	0.6	70%	0.23	-5	1.36%	0	0.9	45	0
8	Mar_22_2006	22.15	24.06	23.9	24.11	24.16	24.24	24.25(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	4	30	1	13	1.21	70%	0.23	-2.1	1.37%	0	0.4	44	0
9	Mar_21_2006	22.1	24.08	23.8	24.09	24.13	24.25	24.21(0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	8	40	11	-3	1.21	70%	0.23	4.8	1.38%	0	0.3	45	0
10	Mar_20_2006	22.05	24.09	23.74	24.03	24.05	24.09	24.09(0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	4	10	11	-19	1.29	70%	0.27	11.5	1.38%	0	0	47	0

11	Mar_17_2006	21.99	24.08	23.75	23.93	23.95	24.01	24.02(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-1	20	10	-35	0.76	70%	0.23	10.5	1.37%	0	-0.1	40	0
12	Mar_16_2006	21.94	24.08	23.79	23.8	23.85	24.02	23.99(-0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	60	18	-47	1.74	70%	0.23	8.9	1.38%	0	-0.2	38	0
13	Mar_15_2006	21.89	24.07	23.83	23.64	23.67	23.89	24.12(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-1	70	21	-66	1.09	70%	0.23	4.1	1.38%	0	0.1	39	0
14	Mar_14_2006	21.84	24.06	23.85	23.48	23.49	23.68	23.93(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-12	60	15	-92	1.22	70%	0.18	-0.5	1.38%	0	-0.3	33	0
15	Mar_13_2006	21.8	24.06	23.87	23.42	23.36	23.44	23.57(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-32	20	-5	-111	1.67	69%	0.18	-7.2	1.37%	0	-0.9	39	0

16	Mar_10_2006	21.76	24.06	23.97	23.57	23.38	23.31	23.37(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-39	-50	-20	-94	0.54	69%	0.23	4.2	1.36%	0	-1.3	45	0
17	Mar_9_2006	21.71	24.03	24.09	23.8	23.67	23.28	23.23(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-36	-130	-27	-64	0.8	69%	0.14	15.7	1.37%	0	-1.5	43	0
18	Mar_8_2006	21.68	24.05	24.24	24.04	23.96	23.45	23.31(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-40	-160	-42	-33	2.48	69%	0.18	26.4	1.37%	0	-1.5	45	0
19	Mar_7_2006	21.64	24.06	24.4	24.25	24.26	24.06	23.63(-2.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-18	-60	-26	8	2.27	69%	0.19	34.1	1.35%	0	-0.9	47	0
20	Mar_6_2006	21.6	24.07	24.48	24.37	24.42	24.48	24.3(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	20	-1	49	1.26	74%	0.19	39.2	1.3%	0	0.5	70	0

21	Mar_3_2006	21.56	24.01	24.44	24.42	24.38	24.46	24.52(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	20	2	68	1.72	74%	0.23	29.8	1.28%	0	0.9	73	0
22	Mar_2_2006	21.51	23.95	24.39	24.44	24.4	24.36	24.44(0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	20	-20	-1	82	1.14	74%	0.23	33.8	1.29%	0	0.9	74	0
23	Mar_1_2006	21.46	23.92	24.33	24.48	24.44	24.3	24.38(0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-50	-14	91	0.97	75%	0.14	45.9	1.29%	0	0.9	66	0
24	Feb_28_2006	21.43	23.89	24.3	24.57	24.55	24.44	24.2(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	22	-30	-9	115	1.57	75%	0.19	60.1	1.3%	0	0.6	65	0
25	Feb_27_2006	21.39	23.88	24.21	24.59	24.65	24.58	24.55(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	36	-10	7	121	1.18	78%		74.3	1.28%	0	1.3	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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