Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 20, 2005

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $21.1000 (1.1%) ($20.9900 - $21.1000) on Tue. Dec. 20, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.24% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $21.1000(1.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(88%)    VWO(85%)    EWY(77%)    SPY(70%)    EWG(67%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -0.62% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-23%)    TIP(-13%)    REMX(-2%)    GLD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.62% (StdDev 1.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $20.87(1.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.81(1.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.68(2.03%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   11.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 0.97% (three month std-dev: 1.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060120

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_20_2005	20.51	20.68	20.81	20.87	20.89	20.99	21.1(1.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	16	40	10	32	0.63	50%	0.05	96.9	1.24%	0	2.1	78	NAN
2	Dec_19_2005	20.5	20.64	20.76	20.82	20.84	20.87	20.87(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	10	6	30	0.52	50%	0	116.1	1.24%	0	1.3	73	NAN
3	Dec_16_2005	20.5	20.61	20.76	20.8	20.81	20.79	20.74(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	8	-10	0	32	0.37	50%	0	113	1.24%	0	0.7	63	NAN
4	Dec_15_2005	20.5	20.59	20.75	20.79	20.8	20.81	20.82(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	0	2	37	0.31	50%	0	106.9	1.24%	0	1.1	62	NAN
5	Dec_14_2005	20.5	20.54	20.74	20.76	20.77	20.83	20.83(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	20	4	39	0.4	50%	0.05	86.9	1.24%	0	1.2	62	NAN

6	Dec_13_2005	20.49	20.49	20.69	20.74	20.74	20.78	20.86(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	10	7	38	0.41	48%	0.05	76.1	1.24%	0	1.3	69	NAN
7	Dec_12_2005	20.48	20.44	20.64	20.69	20.73	20.72	20.77(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	0	3	30	0.49	48%	0	67.5	1.25%	0	1	67	NAN
8	Dec_9_2005	20.48	20.4	20.61	20.68	20.68	20.69	20.67(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	5	0	-4	31	0.3	48%	0.05	72.6	1.25%	0	0.8	68	NAN
9	Dec_8_2005	20.47	20.36	20.59	20.7	20.69	20.74	20.68(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	20	1	43	0.42	48%	0.05	75.2	1.25%	0	1	71	NAN
10	Dec_7_2005	20.46	20.33	20.58	20.71	20.7	20.68	20.72(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	22	-10	8	62	0.37	48%	0.05	76.5	1.26%	0	1.2	79	NAN

11	Dec_6_2005	20.45	20.27	20.54	20.63	20.67	20.65	20.6(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	-0	3	65	0.72	48%	0.1	67.6	1.26%	0	0.9	80	NAN
12	Dec_5_2005	20.43	20.22	20.52	20.58	20.6	20.72	20.74(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	40	8	74	0.33	48%	0.05	65.6	1.25%	0	1.4	84	NAN
13	Dec_2_2005	20.42	20.17	20.47	20.52	20.52	20.69	20.75(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	28	60	13	74	0.49	48%	0.1	72.5	1.26%	0	1.6	69	NAN
14	Dec_1_2005	20.4	20.13	20.41	20.48	20.46	20.48	20.75(2.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	0	10	74	0.86	50%	0.05	90.2	1.26%	0	1.9	71	NAN
15	Nov_30_2005	20.39	20.08	20.33	20.43	20.43	20.35	20.32(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	12	-30	-5	64	0.43	47%	0.05	104	1.24%	0	0.8	65	NAN

16	Nov_29_2005	20.38	20.04	20.27	20.44	20.47	20.44	20.34(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-10	-4	70	0.35	47%	0.1	100	1.24%	0	0.9	72	NAN
17	Nov_28_2005	20.36	19.98	20.22	20.45	20.45	20.52	20.45(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	25	20	6	81	0.61	47%	0.05	84.4	1.24%	0	1.3	77	NAN
18	Nov_25_2005	20.35	19.91	20.18	20.41	20.4	20.49	20.53(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	31	30	12	87	0.25	48%	0.15	69.9	1.24%	0	1.6	71	NAN
19	Nov_23_2005	20.32	19.83	20.12	20.33	20.33	20.38	20.53(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	20	15	80	0.51	44%	0.05	55.8	1.25%	0	1.6	64	NAN
20	Nov_22_2005	20.31	19.77	20.05	20.2	20.26	20.31	20.36(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	26	30	13	64	0.61	46%	0	45.5	1.27%	0	1.5	64	NAN

21	Nov_21_2005	20.31	19.72	19.98	20.08	20.14	20.29	20.36(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	60	16	53	0.44	46%	0.1	34.6	1.27%	0	1.7	70	NAN
22	Nov_18_2005	20.29	19.68	19.9	19.96	20.02	20.2	20.25(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	21	70	13	45	0.55	43%	0.05	22.5	1.27%	0	1.7	73	NAN
23	Nov_17_2005	20.28	19.64	19.84	19.92	19.92	20	20.17(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	30	10	53	0.58	43%	0.05	15.5	1.31%	0	1.6	75	NAN
24	Nov_16_2005	20.27	19.64	19.81	19.87	19.88	19.85	19.88(0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	15	-10	-2	66	0.52	39%	0.05	1.3	1.3%	0	0.9	74	NAN
25	Nov_15_2005	20.26	19.59	19.8	19.88	19.94	19.84	19.74(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	19	-30	-1	78	0.53	40%		0	1.32%	0	0.5	59	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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