Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 7, 2005

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $20.7200 (0.58%) ($20.6700 - $20.8300) on Wed. Dec. 7, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.26% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $20.7200(0.58%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(88%)    VWO(85%)    EWY(77%)    SPY(70%)    EWG(67%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -0.63% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-23%)    TIP(-14%)    REMX(-2%)    GLD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.63% (StdDev 1.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $20.71(0.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.58(0.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.33(1.92%)
To recent high   -3.8%
To recent low   9.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 1.62% (three month std-dev: 1.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.29%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.26%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.49%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.94%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.24%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.81%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060107

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_7_2005	20.46	20.33	20.58	20.71	20.7	20.68	20.72(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	22	-10	8	62	0.37	48%	0.05	76.5	1.26%	0	1.2	79	0
2	Dec_6_2005	20.45	20.27	20.54	20.63	20.67	20.65	20.6(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	-0	3	65	0.72	48%	0.1	67.6	1.26%	0	0.9	80	0
3	Dec_5_2005	20.43	20.22	20.52	20.58	20.6	20.72	20.74(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	40	8	74	0.33	48%	0.05	65.6	1.25%	0	1.4	84	0
4	Dec_2_2005	20.42	20.17	20.47	20.52	20.52	20.69	20.75(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	28	60	13	74	0.49	48%	0.1	72.5	1.26%	0	1.6	69	0
5	Dec_1_2005	20.4	20.13	20.41	20.48	20.46	20.48	20.75(2.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	0	10	74	0.86	50%	0.05	90.2	1.26%	0	1.9	71	0

6	Nov_30_2005	20.39	20.08	20.33	20.43	20.43	20.35	20.32(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	12	-30	-5	64	0.43	47%	0.05	104	1.24%	0	0.8	65	0
7	Nov_29_2005	20.38	20.04	20.27	20.44	20.47	20.44	20.34(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-10	-4	70	0.35	47%	0.1	100	1.24%	0	0.9	72	0
8	Nov_28_2005	20.36	19.98	20.22	20.45	20.45	20.52	20.45(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	25	20	6	81	0.61	47%	0.05	84.4	1.24%	0	1.3	77	0
9	Nov_25_2005	20.35	19.91	20.18	20.41	20.4	20.49	20.53(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	31	30	12	87	0.25	48%	0.15	69.9	1.24%	0	1.6	71	0
10	Nov_23_2005	20.32	19.83	20.12	20.33	20.33	20.38	20.53(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	20	15	80	0.51	44%	0.05	55.8	1.25%	0	1.6	64	0

11	Nov_22_2005	20.31	19.77	20.05	20.2	20.26	20.31	20.36(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	26	30	13	64	0.61	46%	0	45.5	1.27%	0	1.5	64	0
12	Nov_21_2005	20.31	19.72	19.98	20.08	20.14	20.29	20.36(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	60	16	53	0.44	46%	0.1	34.6	1.27%	0	1.7	70	0
13	Nov_18_2005	20.29	19.68	19.9	19.96	20.02	20.2	20.25(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	21	70	13	45	0.55	43%	0.05	22.5	1.27%	0	1.7	73	0
14	Nov_17_2005	20.28	19.64	19.84	19.92	19.92	20	20.17(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	30	10	53	0.58	43%	0.05	15.5	1.31%	0	1.6	75	0
15	Nov_16_2005	20.27	19.64	19.81	19.87	19.88	19.85	19.88(0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	15	-10	-2	66	0.52	39%	0.05	1.3	1.3%	0	0.9	74	0

16	Nov_15_2005	20.26	19.64	19.8	19.88	19.88	19.84	19.74(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	19	-30	-1	78	0.53	40%	0	0	1.32%	0	0.5	59	0
17	Nov_14_2005	20.26	19.59	19.78	19.85	19.94	19.92	19.77(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	10	0	77	0.39	40%	0.05	-13.1	1.33%	0	0.5	57	0
18	Nov_11_2005	20.25	19.61	19.73	19.81	19.89	20.03	20.05(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	24	60	9	68	0.37	42%	0.1	-22	1.32%	0	1.3	56	0
19	Nov_10_2005	20.23	19.61	19.63	19.81	19.78	19.97	19.93(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	70	9	52	0.44	45%	0.05	-36.8	1.32%	0	1.1	56	0
20	Nov_9_2005	20.22	19.61	19.53	19.75	19.73	19.75	19.9(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	0	7	43	0.48	45%	0.05	-38.1	1.36%	0	0.9	62	0

21	Nov_8_2005	20.21	19.59	19.47	19.73	19.74	19.6	19.61(0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-50	-3	27	0.55	45%	0.05	-40.7	1.34%	0	0.1	46	0
22	Nov_7_2005	20.2	19.64	19.47	19.7	19.77	19.71	19.57(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-10	-1	15	0.46	45%	0.05	-45.2	1.36%	0	-0.2	45	0
23	Nov_4_2005	20.19	19.68	19.45	19.63	19.75	19.88	19.75(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	60	17	4	0.56	44%	0.05	-56.8	1.35%	0	0.2	43	0
24	Nov_3_2005	20.18	19.71	19.43	19.48	19.59	19.83	19.9(0.45%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	18	100	29	-16	0.71	43%	0.1	-73.1	1.36%	0	0.4	49	0
25	Nov_2_2005	20.16	19.72	19.35	19.28	19.34	19.62	19.81(1.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	1	110	21	-61	0.85	45%		-92.9	1.36%	0	0.2	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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