Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 22, 2005

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $20.3600 (0%) ($20.2000 - $20.3700) on Tue. Nov. 22, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.27% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $20.3600(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(88%)    VWO(85%)    EWY(77%)    SPY(70%)    EWG(67%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -0.635% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-23%)    TIP(-13%)    REMX(-2%)    GLD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.635% (StdDev 1.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $20.2(0.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.05(1.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.77(2.98%)
To recent high   -5.4%
To recent low   7.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 2.02% (three month std-dev: 1.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.64%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.87%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 3.69%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20051222

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_22_2005	20.31	19.77	20.05	20.2	20.26	20.31	20.36(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	26	30	13	64	0.61	46%	0	45.5	1.27%	0	1.5	64	0
2	Nov_21_2005	20.31	19.72	19.98	20.08	20.14	20.29	20.36(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	60	16	53	0.44	46%	0.1	34.6	1.27%	0	1.7	70	0
3	Nov_18_2005	20.29	19.68	19.9	19.96	20.02	20.2	20.25(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	21	70	13	45	0.55	43%	0.05	22.5	1.27%	0	1.7	73	0
4	Nov_17_2005	20.28	19.64	19.84	19.92	19.92	20	20.17(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	30	10	53	0.58	43%	0.05	15.5	1.31%	0	1.6	75	0
5	Nov_16_2005	20.27	19.64	19.81	19.87	19.88	19.85	19.88(0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	15	-10	-2	66	0.52	39%	0.05	1.3	1.3%	0	0.9	74	0

6	Nov_15_2005	20.26	19.64	19.8	19.88	19.88	19.84	19.74(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	19	-30	-1	78	0.53	40%	0	0	1.32%	0	0.5	59	0
7	Nov_14_2005	20.26	19.59	19.78	19.85	19.94	19.92	19.77(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	10	0	77	0.39	40%	0.05	-13.1	1.33%	0	0.5	57	0
8	Nov_11_2005	20.25	19.61	19.73	19.81	19.89	20.03	20.05(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	24	60	9	68	0.37	42%	0.1	-22	1.32%	0	1.3	56	0
9	Nov_10_2005	20.23	19.61	19.63	19.81	19.78	19.97	19.93(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	70	9	52	0.44	45%	0.05	-36.8	1.32%	0	1.1	56	0
10	Nov_9_2005	20.22	19.61	19.53	19.75	19.73	19.75	19.9(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	0	7	43	0.48	45%	0.05	-38.1	1.36%	0	0.9	62	0

11	Nov_8_2005	20.21	19.59	19.47	19.73	19.74	19.6	19.61(0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-50	-3	27	0.55	45%	0.05	-40.7	1.34%	0	0.1	46	0
12	Nov_7_2005	20.2	19.64	19.47	19.7	19.77	19.71	19.57(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-10	-1	15	0.46	45%	0.05	-45.2	1.36%	0	-0.2	45	0
13	Nov_4_2005	20.19	19.68	19.45	19.63	19.75	19.88	19.75(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	60	17	4	0.56	44%	0.05	-56.8	1.35%	0	0.2	43	0
14	Nov_3_2005	20.18	19.71	19.43	19.48	19.59	19.83	19.9(0.45%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	18	100	29	-16	0.71	43%	0.1	-73.1	1.36%	0	0.4	49	0
15	Nov_2_2005	20.16	19.72	19.43	19.28	19.34	19.62	19.81(1.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	1	110	21	-61	0.85	45%	0.05	-92.9	1.36%	0	0.2	47	0

16	Nov_1_2005	20.15	19.75	19.35	19.18	19.17	19.35	19.47(1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-11	60	12	-80	0.78	45%	0.05	-85.3	1.37%	0	-0.5	41	0
17	Oct_31_2005	20.14	19.83	19.38	19.17	19.13	19.06	19.2(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-31	-30	-6	-105	0.68	43%	0.05	-72	1.37%	0	-0.9	28	0
18	Oct_28_2005	20.13	19.94	19.46	19.26	19.19	18.99	19.04(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-42	-80	-19	-110	0.73	43%	0.05	-60.4	1.36%	0	-1.2	29	0
19	Oct_27_2005	20.12	20.06	19.55	19.36	19.34	19.2	18.88(-2.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-38	-50	-14	-110	0.57	45%	0	-51.3	1.36%	0	-1.6	26	0
20	Oct_26_2005	20.12	20.19	19.66	19.42	19.44	19.39	19.32(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-35	-10	-12	-105	0.61	47%	0.05	-47.7	1.35%	0	-1.2	41	0

21	Oct_25_2005	20.11	20.27	19.73	19.53	19.47	19.47	19.42(-1.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-33	-10	-9	-106	1.71	47%	0.05	-46.9	1.34%	0	-1.3	35	0
22	Oct_24_2005	20.1	20.33	19.85	19.62	19.53	19.49	19.65(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-33	-30	-8	-108	0.64	47%	0.1	-46.9	1.34%	0	-1	31	0
23	Oct_21_2005	20.08	20.39	19.93	19.71	19.65	19.46	19.53(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-40	-80	-13	-122	0.51	50%	0.1	-43.4	1.33%	0	-1.4	27	0
24	Oct_20_2005	20.06	20.45	20.02	19.78	19.79	19.58	19.2(-3.27%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-50	-70	-23	-132	1.23	49%	0.05	-43.3	1.39%	0	-2.1	24	0
25	Oct_19_2005	20.05	20.54	20.12	19.93	19.89	19.85	19.85(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-42	-20	-8	-144	0.81	53%		-40.7	1.33%	0	-1.3	27	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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