Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 9, 2005

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $19.9000 (1.48%) ($19.8000 - $19.9500) on Wed. Nov. 9, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.36% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $19.9000(1.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(88%)    VWO(85%)    EWY(77%)    SPY(70%)    EWG(67%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -0.68% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-23%)    TIP(-14%)    REMX(-2%)    GLD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.68% (StdDev 1.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $19.75(0.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.53(1.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.59(1.58%)
To recent high   -9.3%
To recent low   5.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 1.68% (three month std-dev: 1.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.09%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.5%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 2.68%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20051209

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_9_2005	20.22		19.53	19.75	19.73	19.75	19.9(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	0	7	43	0.48	45%	0.05	-38.1	1.36%	0	0.9	62	0
2	Nov_8_2005	20.21	19.59	19.47	19.73	19.74	19.6	19.61(0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-50	-3	27	0.55	45%	0.05	-40.7	1.34%	0	0.1	46	0
3	Nov_7_2005	20.2	19.64	19.47	19.7	19.77	19.71	19.57(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-10	-1	15	0.46	45%	0.05	-45.2	1.36%	0	-0.2	45	0
4	Nov_4_2005	20.19	19.68	19.45	19.63	19.75	19.88	19.75(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	60	17	4	0.56	44%	0.05	-56.8	1.35%	0	0.2	43	0
5	Nov_3_2005	20.18	19.71	19.43	19.48	19.59	19.83	19.9(0.45%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	18	100	29	-16	0.71	43%	0.1	-73.1	1.36%	0	0.4	49	0

6	Nov_2_2005	20.16	19.72	19.43	19.28	19.34	19.62	19.81(1.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	1	110	21	-61	0.85	45%	0.05	-92.9	1.36%	0	0.2	47	0
7	Nov_1_2005	20.15	19.75	19.35	19.18	19.17	19.35	19.47(1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-11	60	12	-80	0.78	45%	0.05	-85.3	1.37%	0	-0.5	41	0
8	Oct_31_2005	20.14	19.83	19.38	19.17	19.13	19.06	19.2(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-31	-30	-6	-105	0.68	43%	0.05	-72	1.37%	0	-0.9	28	0
9	Oct_28_2005	20.13	19.94	19.46	19.26	19.19	18.99	19.04(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-42	-80	-19	-110	0.73	43%	0.05	-60.4	1.36%	0	-1.2	29	0
10	Oct_27_2005	20.12	20.06	19.55	19.36	19.34	19.2	18.88(-2.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-38	-50	-14	-110	0.57	45%	0	-51.3	1.36%	0	-1.6	26	0

11	Oct_26_2005	20.12	20.19	19.66	19.42	19.44	19.39	19.32(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-35	-10	-12	-105	0.61	47%	0.05	-47.7	1.35%	0	-1.2	41	0
12	Oct_25_2005	20.11	20.27	19.73	19.53	19.47	19.47	19.42(-1.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-33	-10	-9	-106	1.71	47%	0.05	-46.9	1.34%	0	-1.3	35	0
13	Oct_24_2005	20.1	20.33	19.85	19.62	19.53	19.49	19.65(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-33	-30	-8	-108	0.64	47%	0.1	-46.9	1.34%	0	-1	31	0
14	Oct_21_2005	20.08	20.39	19.93	19.71	19.65	19.46	19.53(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-40	-80	-13	-122	0.51	50%	0.1	-43.4	1.33%	0	-1.4	27	0
15	Oct_20_2005	20.06	20.45	20.02	19.78	19.79	19.58	19.2(-3.27%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-50	-70	-23	-132	1.23	49%	0.05	-43.3	1.39%	0	-2.1	24	0

16	Oct_19_2005	20.05	20.54	20.12	19.93	19.89	19.85	19.85(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-42	-20	-8	-144	0.81	53%	0.05	-40.7	1.33%	0	-1.3	27	0
17	Oct_18_2005	20.04	20.59	20.19	19.95	19.95	20	19.87(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-45	20	-11	-147	0.31	53%	0	-38.7	1.34%	0	-1.4	41	0
18	Oct_17_2005	20.04	20.64	20.32	20.11	20.03	19.94	20.09(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-36	-40	-8	-120	0.62	53%	0.1	-30	1.33%	0	-1.1	45	0
19	Oct_14_2005	20.02	20.67	20.46	20.19	20.17	19.91	19.87(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-41	-90	-20	-104	0.48	53%	0.1	-28.2	1.33%	0	-1.7	40	0
20	Oct_13_2005	20	20.72	20.61	20.31	20.35	20.11	19.95(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-32	-80	-17	-75	0.96	53%	0.1	-25	1.32%	0	-1.8	44	0

21	Oct_12_2005	19.98	20.76	20.76	20.33	20.47	20.44	19.98(-3.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-26	10	-15	-58	0.76	53%	0.1	-25.9	1.33%	0	-2	43	0
22	Oct_11_2005	19.96	20.76	20.85	20.46	20.46	20.59	20.64(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-16	40	-6	-44	0.4	57%	0.15	-22.5	1.26%	0	-0.4	48	0
23	Oct_10_2005	19.93	20.79	20.86	20.57	20.52	20.5	20.5(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-20	-10	-14	-37	0.6	57%	0.1	-17.3	1.26%	0	-0.8	46	0
24	Oct_7_2005	19.91	20.81	20.9	20.78	20.71	20.34	20.5(2.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-24	-140	-28	-12	0.42	56%	0.1	-1.8	1.26%	0	-0.9	51	0
25	Oct_6_2005	19.89	20.82	20.92	20.96	20.99	20.54	20.02(-2.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.7	-39	-150	-52	2	1.6	53%		11.9	1.24%	0	-2.3	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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