Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 8, 2005

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $18.5500 (0.71%) ($18.5200 - $18.5800) on Tue. Feb. 8, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.06% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $18.5500(0.71%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(88%)    EWY(77%)    SPY(69%)    EWG(67%)    EWJ(65%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -0.53% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-23%)    TIP(-13%)    REMX(-2%)    GLD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.53% (StdDev 1.06%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $18.17(2.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.04(2.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17.8(4.21%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 1.8% (three month std-dev: 1.06%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.08%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.13%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.11%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050308

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_8_2005	17.95	17.8	18.04	18.17	18.21	18.47	18.55(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	49	110	29	110	0.59	62%	0	53.9	1.06%	0	2.3	68	0
2	Feb_7_2005	17.95	17.74	17.94	18.04	18.06	18.23	18.42(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	39	70	24	83	0.69	62%	0.06	35.5	1.06%	0	2.5	64	0
3	Feb_4_2005	17.94	17.68	17.84	17.97	18.06	17.95	18.12(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	-0	11	67	0.81	60%	0	10.3	1.04%	0	1.8	67	0
4	Feb_3_2005	17.94	17.65	17.77	17.97	18.06	17.88	17.85(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-20	-2	52	0.42	60%	0	-16	1.03%	0	1	61	0
5	Feb_2_2005	17.94	17.63	17.75	17.9	17.94	17.92	17.91(0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	13	-0	-1	55	0.51	62%	0	-38.7	1.04%	0	1.3	59	0

6	Feb_1_2005	17.94	17.62	17.73	17.88	17.92	18	17.9(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	40	9	68	0.71	62%	0	-54.6	1.06%	0	1.3	64	0
7	Jan_31_2005	17.94	17.64	17.71	17.82	17.9	17.95	18.06(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	35	30	22	72	0.51	62%	0	-53.1	1.06%	0	1.6	63	0
8	Jan_28_2005	17.94	17.66	17.65	17.69	17.79	17.95	17.77(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	40	9	45	0.46	59%	0	-58.5	1.06%	0	0.4	62	0
9	Jan_27_2005	17.94	17.68	17.61	17.63	17.69	17.85	17.84(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	18	70	12	36	0.46	59%	0	-60.9	1.07%	0	0.5	58	0
10	Jan_26_2005	17.94	17.71	17.58	17.59	17.61	17.74	17.84(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	60	14	32	0.63	59%	0	-58.6	1.07%	0	0.3	58	0

11	Jan_25_2005	17.94	17.74	17.53	17.56	17.56	17.53	17.6(1.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-0	-10	-2	5	0.45	57%	-0.06	-55.7	1.07%	0	-0.3	42	0
12	Jan_24_2005	17.95	17.78	17.53	17.59	17.6	17.48	17.38(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11	-50	-9	-18	0.49	56%	0	-48.6	1.07%	0	-0.9	29	0
13	Jan_21_2005	17.95	17.84	17.53	17.6	17.67	17.6	17.48(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-20	-3	-48	0.91	56%	-0.06	-46.4	1.07%	0	-0.8	29	0
14	Jan_20_2005	17.96	17.89	17.52	17.59	17.63	17.72	17.64(-0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-17	40	1	-72	0.54	56%	-0.06	-44.9	1.07%	0	-0.5	35	0
15	Jan_19_2005	17.97	17.94	17.5	17.57	17.6	17.75	17.7(-0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-11	60	19	-99	0.61	56%	0	-40.3	1.08%	0	-0.5	33	0

16	Jan_18_2005	17.97	17.98	17.51	17.5	17.53	17.54	17.76(2.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-25	10	12	-135	0.91	56%	0	-38	1.08%	0	-0.4	33	0
17	Jan_14_2005	17.97	18	17.56	17.44	17.45	17.46	17.4(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-41	10	-2	-157	0.35	53%	-0.06	-39.2	1.07%	0	-1.2	26	0
18	Jan_13_2005	17.98	18.05	17.66	17.44	17.47	17.52	17.45(-0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-36	30	5	-160	0.66	48%	-0.06	-42.1	1.08%	0	-1.2	25	0
19	Jan_12_2005	17.99	18.1	17.75	17.43	17.43	17.43	17.55(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-39	0	2	-160	0.76	48%	-0.06	-41.9	1.13%	0	-1.1	30	0
20	Jan_11_2005	18	18.14	17.84	17.42	17.42	17.41	17.33(-0.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-53	-0	-13	-174	1.01	48%	-0.06	-49.2	1.12%	0	-1.8	22	0

21	Jan_10_2005	18.01	18.18	17.96	17.53	17.47	17.41	17.47(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-57	-30	-22	-162	1.21	48%	0	-55.4	1.13%	0	-1.7	24	0
22	Jan_7_2005	18.01	18.21	18.07	17.71	17.62	17.43	17.33(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-58	-90	-33	-134	0.68	48%	-0.11	-56.5	1.14%	0	-2.3	32	0
23	Jan_6_2005	18.03	18.26	18.2	17.94	17.88	17.51	17.49(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-51	-150	-37	-94	0.71	48%	0	-55.2	1.14%	0	-2.3	34	0
24	Jan_5_2005	18.03	18.31	18.3	18.11	18.14	17.82	17.47(-2.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-51	-120	-44	-70	1.03	48%	-0.06	-56.9	1.15%	0	-3	31	0
25	Jan_4_2005	18.04	18.36	18.42	18.32	18.33	18.26	17.88(-2.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-23	-30	-24	-18	1.69	52%		-50.9	1.12%	0	-2.3	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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