Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 12, 2005

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $17.5500 (1.27%) ($17.4100 - $17.5500) on Wed. Jan. 12, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.13% (three month average)
RSI   30
Latest Price   $17.5500(1.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI declines -3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(88%)    EWY(77%)    SPY(69%)    EWG(67%)    EWJ(65%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -0.565% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-23%)    TIP(-13%)    REMX(-2%)    GLD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.565% (StdDev 1.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $12.48(-28.89%)
Resistance Level   $18.1
5 Day Moving Average   $17.43(0.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $17.75(-1.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.1(-3.04%)
To recent high   -6.8%
To recent low   4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 2.65% (three month std-dev: 1.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_12_2005	17.99	18.1	17.75	17.43	17.43	17.43	17.55(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-39	0	2	-160	0.76	48%	-0.06	-41.9	1.13%	0	-1.1	30	0
2	Jan_11_2005	18	18.14	17.84	17.42	17.42	17.41	17.33(-0.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-53	-0	-13	-174	1.01	48%	-0.06	-49.2	1.12%	0	-1.8	22	0
3	Jan_10_2005	18.01	18.18	17.96	17.53	17.47	17.41	17.47(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-57	-30	-22	-162	1.21	48%	0	-55.4	1.13%	0	-1.7	24	0
4	Jan_7_2005	18.01	18.21	18.07	17.71	17.62	17.43	17.33(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-58	-90	-33	-134	0.68	48%	-0.11	-56.5	1.14%	0	-2.3	32	0
5	Jan_6_2005	18.03	18.26	18.2	17.94	17.88	17.51	17.49(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-51	-150	-37	-94	0.71	48%	0	-55.2	1.14%	0	-2.3	34	0

6	Jan_5_2005	18.03	18.31	18.3	18.11	18.14	17.82	17.47(-2.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-51	-120	-44	-70	1.03	48%	-0.06	-56.9	1.15%	0	-3	31	0
7	Jan_4_2005	18.04	18.36	18.42	18.32	18.33	18.26	17.88(-2.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-23	-30	-24	-18	1.69	52%	-0.06	-50.9	1.12%	0	-2.3	48	0
8	Jan_3_2005	18.05	18.41	18.5	18.45	18.45	18.45	18.38(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	0	-2	29	1	57%	0.06	-31.2	1.07%	0	-0.2	63	0
9	Dec_31_2004	18.04	18.43	18.49	18.48	18.47	18.41	18.49(0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	7	-20	-4	40	0.53	57%	0.06	-23.7	1.08%	0	0.3	66	0
10	Dec_30_2004	18.03	18.45	18.47	18.5	18.48	18.44	18.33(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	4	-20	-9	42	0.7	57%	0	-16.8	1.08%	0	-0.5	51	0

11	Dec_29_2004	18.03	18.45	18.49	18.53	18.48	18.44	18.52(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	13	-0	-1	54	0.44	57%	0.06	-7.7	1.08%	0	0.2	55	0
12	Dec_28_2004	18.02	18.45	18.45	18.54	18.54	18.53	18.55(0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	10	-0	-2	46	0.55	57%	0.06	0	1.09%	0	0.3	49	0
13	Dec_27_2004	18.01	18.47	18.4	18.55	18.55	18.53	18.49(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	9	0	3	28	0.65	57%	0.06	9.6	1.1%	0	0.1	41	0
14	Dec_23_2004	18	18.47	18.36	18.51	18.57	18.53	18.59(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	0	8	3	1.15	57%	0.06	8.9	1.11%	0	0.4	42	0
15	Dec_22_2004	17.99	18.48	18.32	18.45	18.5	18.55	18.48(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-6	30	0	-24	0.71	57%	0.06	8.1	1.11%	0	0	39	0

16	Dec_21_2004	17.98	18.49	18.31	18.44	18.45	18.59	18.6(0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	4	50	16	-32	0.84	57%	0.06	13.3	1.12%	0	0.4	41	0
17	Dec_20_2004	17.97	18.47	18.3	18.35	18.41	18.45	18.59(1.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	4	30	21	-47	3.76	57%	0.11	-2.1	1.13%	0	0.5	49	0
18	Dec_17_2004	17.95	18.45	18.31	18.23	18.29	18.31	18.27(-0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-15	20	4	-70	0.5	54%	0	-17.7	1.12%	0	-0.7	40	0
19	Dec_16_2004	17.95	18.45	18.36	18.23	18.21	18.37	18.31(-0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-14	70	6	-74	0.7	54%	0.06	-19.9	1.13%	0	-0.6	40	0
20	Dec_15_2004	17.94	18.46	18.41	18.18	18.14	18.27	18.44(1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-8	40	12	-69	0.95	54%	0.06	-14.9	1.14%	0	-0.1	40	0

21	Dec_14_2004	17.93	18.45	18.44	18.16	18.1	18.06	18.13(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-24	-30	-7	-75	0.7	51%	0	-10.3	1.12%	0	-1.2	39	0
22	Dec_13_2004	17.93	18.48	18.49	18.24	18.14	18.01	18.01(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.9	-34	-70	-25	-62	0.6	51%	0.06	13.5	1.13%	0	-1.8	46	0
23	Dec_10_2004	17.92	18.5	18.56	18.4	18.29	18.13	18.01(-1.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-26	-80	-26	-26	0.64	51%	0	44.6	1.14%	0	-2	51	0
24	Dec_9_2004	17.92	18.51	18.62	18.56	18.49	18.27	18.31(-0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-14	-90	-21	8	1.08	55%	0.06	78.2	1.13%	0	-0.9	50	0
25	Dec_8_2004	17.91	18.5	18.67	18.66	18.63	18.45	18.33(-1.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-10	-70	-24	31	0.67	55%		98.4	1.14%	0	-0.7	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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