Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 12, 2004

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $18.3600 (1.1%) ($18.1600 - $18.3800) on Fri. Nov. 12, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.22% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $18.3600(1.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(88%)    EWY(77%)    SPY(69%)    EWG(67%)    EWJ(65%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -0.61% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-22%)    TIP(-13%)    REMX(-1%)    LQD(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.61% (StdDev 1.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $18.03(1.83%)
10 Day Moving Average   $17.8(3.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17.47(5.09%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   8.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 2.35% (three month std-dev: 1.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.34%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.6%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.12%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20041212

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_12_2004	17.5	17.47	17.8	18.03	18.07	18.19	18.36(1.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	50	50	17	148	1.61	67%	0.17	30.6	1.22%	0	2.2	81	NAN
2	Nov_11_2004	17.47	17.42	17.68	17.91	17.94	18.12	18.16(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	48	80	18	136	1.17	67%	0.17	20.8	1.22%	0	2.1	75	NAN
3	Nov_10_2004	17.44	17.37	17.56	17.82	17.84	17.95	18.15(2.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	43	50	19	114	1.57	67%	0.17	0	1.25%	0	2.4	67	NAN
4	Nov_9_2004	17.41	17.37	17.45	17.73	17.72	17.75	17.79(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	10	9	102	0.66	61%	0.12	0	1.2%	0	1.5	65	NAN
5	Nov_8_2004	17.39	17.33	17.38	17.65	17.68	17.73	17.67(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	20	13	85	0.76	61%	0.06	0	1.22%	0	1	56	NAN

6	Nov_5_2004	17.38	17.33	17.31	17.54	17.62	17.69	17.77(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	40	17	62	0.72	61%	0.12	0	1.25%	0	1.2	60	NAN
7	Nov_4_2004	17.36	17.35	17.23	17.42	17.47	17.64	17.71(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	25	80	22	34	0.56	61%	0.12	0	1.28%	0	1.1	53	NAN
8	Nov_3_2004	17.34	17.35	17.18	17.25	17.34	17.54	17.69(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	19	100	22	9	0.7	61%	0.12	0	1.31%	0	53.6	58	NAN
9	Nov_2_2004	17.32	17.35	17.12	17.14	17.19	17.3	17.41(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	50	14	6	0.46	53%	0.06	0	1.28%	0	52.8	48	NAN
10	Nov_1_2004	17.31	17.35	17.1	17.08	17.1	17.14	17.13(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	20	7	3	0.36	42%	-0.12	0	1.24%	0	50.4	35	NAN

11	Oct_29_2004	17.33	17.35	17.11	17.04	17.07	17.08	17.16(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	4	10	5	2	0.44	42%	-0.06	0	1.28%	0	49	32	NAN
12	Oct_28_2004	17.34	17.35	17.14	17.01	17.02	17.08	16.87(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-7	20	-8	-3	1.72	23%	-0.17	0	1.21%	0	46.9	32	NAN
13	Oct_27_2004	17.37	17.35	17.18	17.01	17.04	17.06	17.12(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	-0	3	1	1.06	32%	-0.12	0	1.22%	0	48.9	50	NAN
14	Oct_26_2004	17.39	17.35	17.21	17.09	17.06	16.97	17.13(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-5	-40	-6	-2	0.7	32%	-0.11	0	1.26%	0	48.9	50	NAN
15	Oct_25_2004	17.41	17.35	17.28	17.13	17.07	17.03	16.92(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-12	-30	-14	-6	0.42	32%	-0.29	0	1.22%	0	47	50	NAN

16	Oct_22_2004	17.46	17.35	17.39	17.2	17.2	17.14	17.03(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-7	-20	-8	-3	0.36	32%	-0.23	0	1.28%	0	50.1	50	NAN
17	Oct_21_2004	17.5	17.35	17.48	17.29	17.23	17.12	17.23(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-5	-60	-6	-2	0.56	32%	-0.17	0	1.33%	0	52.2	50	NAN
18	Oct_20_2004	17.53	17.35	17.48	17.28	17.3	17.25	17.13(-1.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-8	-20	-9	-4	0.69	32%	-0.28	0	1.36%	0	51.9	50	NAN
19	Oct_19_2004	17.58	17.35	17.48	17.34	17.34	17.34	17.35(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-9	0	-10	-4	0.48	32%	-0.17	0	1.42%	0	54.2	50	NAN
20	Oct_18_2004	17.61	17.35	17.48	17.45	17.38	17.34	17.25(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-15	-20	-17	-7	0.56	32%	-0.34	0	1.47%	0	52.3	50	NAN

21	Oct_15_2004	17.67	17.35	17.48	17.63	17.53	17.35	17.47(1.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-9	-90	-11	-4	0.7	32%	-0.23	0	1.58%	0	54.6	50	NAN
22	Oct_14_2004	17.71	17.35	17.48	17.71	17.7	17.42	17.21(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.5	287	-110	337	135	0.36	32%	-0.73	0	1.37%	0	52.2	50	NAN
23	Oct_13_2004	17.84	17.35	17.48	14.27	17.87	17.72	17.44(-2.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	13.2	350	700	412	165	1.11	32%	-0.72	0	1.57%	0	72.7	50	NAN
24	Oct_12_2004	17.97	17.35	17.48	10.78	17.87	17.72	17.9(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	71.2	705	NAN	829	332	0.74	100%	-0.17	0	1.2%	0	179	50	NAN
25	Oct_11_2004	18	17.35	17.48	7.2	17.87	17.72	18.11(1.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	99.2	NAN	NAN	INF	NAN	1.03	100%		0	0%	0	164.6	50	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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