Trading Signals: FSLR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 12, 2018

Trading Signals: FSLR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Oct. 26, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(First Solar, Inc.)
FSLR latest price $73.4100 (-3.75%) ($72.3600 - $75.7800) on Fri. Jan. 12, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.78% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $73.4100(-3.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FSLR advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FSLR advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FSLR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ICLN(67%)    TAN(61%)    IWO(51%)    IWM(49%)    IWC(48%)
Factors Impacting FSLR price   FSLR will decline at least -1.89% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-11%)    VIXM(-10%)    TLT(-6%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.89% (StdDev 3.78%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $71.79(2.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $70.61(3.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $69.75(5.25%)
To recent high   -3.7%
To recent low   56.4%
Market Cap   $7.779b

First Solar, Inc. engages in designing, manufacturing, marketing, and distribution of photovoltaic solar power systems and solar modules. It operates through the Modules and Systems segments. The Modules segment involves in the design, manufacture, and sale of cadmium telluride solar modules, which convert sunlight into electricity. The Systems segment offers development, construction, operation, and maintenance of photovoltaic solar power systems. The company was founded by Michael J. Ahearn in 1999 and is headquartered in Tempe, AZ.

$. FSLR price fluctuates within 2.8% (three month std-dev: 3.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 15.92%(50%) Average negative next day return: -6.27%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 11.63%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -14.35%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 9.12%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -12.11%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180212

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_12_2018	56.98	69.75	70.61	71.79	71.69	73.83	73.41(-3.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	51	200	48	58	4.03	78%	0.48	37.5	3.78%	0	1.9	62	INF
2	Jan_11_2018	56.71	69.48	70.09	70.94	70.41	71.44	76.27(9.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3	45	80	45	46	6.34	78%	0.53	41.1	3.74%	0	3.8	72	INF
3	Jan_10_2018	56.41	69.08	69.28	69.52	69.32	69.55	69.64(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	10	3	11	1.45	75%	0.43	85.5	3.57%	0	0.7	52	INF
4	Jan_9_2018	56.17	69.09	69.13	69.55	69.17	69.39	70.02(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	3	10	2	5	1.29	72%	0.45	162.1	3.57%	0	1.2	46	INF
5	Jan_8_2018	55.92	69.08	69	69.63	69.35	69.09	69.62(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	7	-40	6	8	1.07	72%	0.39	223.3	3.6%	0	0.7	53	INF

6	Jan_5_2018	55.7	69.02	68.94	69.21	69.34	68.94	69.17(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-5	-30	-6	0	1.02	72%	0.4	242	3.6%	0	0.2	56	INF
7	Jan_4_2018	55.48	68.75	68.94	69.05	69.1	69.6	69.14(-0.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-1	50	-1	0	3.03	72%	0.38	254.5	3.6%	0	0.5	53	INF
8	Jan_3_2018	55.27	68.4	68.89	68.99	69.09	69.74	69.8(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	70	24	10	1.92	72%	0.38	136.2	3.59%	0	0.9	53	INF
9	Jan_2_2018	55.06	67.82	68.94	68.64	68.51	68.6	70.43(4.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	5	0	7	-0	1.75	74%	0.55	80.3	3.59%	0	1.2	50	INF
10	Dec_29_2017	54.76	67.33	68.78	68.32	68.26	68.43	67.52(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6	10	-4	-11	1.5	72%	0.38	48.2	3.57%	0	0.1	39	INF

11	Dec_28_2017	54.55	67.09	68.84	68.64	68.26	68.42	68.35(-0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	2	-10	4	-5	0.95	72%	0.39	51.1	3.56%	0	0.3	51	INF
12	Dec_27_2017	54.34	66.7	68.86	68.71	68.49	68.08	68.84(1.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-6	-50	-9	2	1.15	72%	0.41	48.5	3.57%	0	0.5	71	INF
13	Dec_26_2017	54.12	66.37	68.87	68.77	68.73	68.56	68.04(-1.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-5	-20	-13	18	0.97	72%	0.48	49.8	3.58%	0	0.4	74	INF
14	Dec_22_2017	53.86	66.07	69.07	69.29	69.14	68.91	68.85(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	-30	-3	57	0.78	66%	0.39	54	3.74%	0	0.7	82	INF
15	Dec_21_2017	53.65	65.67	69.18	69.31	69.46	68.9	69.11(0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	18	-50	-3	80	0.85	66%	0.39	54.6	3.79%	0	0.8	70	INF

16	Dec_20_2017	53.44	65.24	69.12	69.06	69.36	69.36	68.69(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	18	10	-7	91	0.89	66%	0.36	52.9	3.79%	0	0.8	64	INF
17	Dec_19_2017	53.25	64.82	68.64	69.02	69.16	70.02	69.15(-2.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	36	90	11	109	1.41	66%	0.38	51.7	3.79%	0	1	68	INF
18	Dec_18_2017	53.05	64.41	67.91	68.97	68.96	69.36	70.63(2.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	40	40	16	112	1.3	63%	0.42	52.1	3.77%	0	1.5	65	INF
19	Dec_15_2017	52.83	63.87	66.64	68.86	68.83	68.31	68.96(1.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	17	-50	-9	93	2.92	65%	0.48	52.6	3.81%	0	1.3	64	INF
20	Dec_14_2017	52.58	63.43	65.81	69.07	69.36	68.57	67.89(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-70	-13	97	1.53	66%	0.42	56.4	3.83%	0	1.1	65	INF

21	Dec_13_2017	52.36	63.05	65.24	69.18	69.67	69.35	68.48(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	30	-10	3	112	1.85	66%	0.46	58	3.84%	0	1.4	66	INF
22	Dec_12_2017	52.12	62.66	64.4	68.13	68.96	70.15	68.91(-1.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	48	160	27	109	2.52	66%	0.46	53.8	3.85%	0	1.7	67	INF
23	Dec_11_2017	51.88	62.27	63.68	66.59	67.34	69.99	70.05(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	81	310	72	109	3.81	66%	0.48	45.8	3.84%	0	2.4	67	INF
24	Dec_8_2017	51.63	61.8	62.78	64.03	64.51	67.77	70.02(2.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	79	380	78	80	3.63	66%	0.47	31.5	3.83%	0	3	68	INF
25	Dec_7_2017	51.39	61.28	61.77	62.09	61.82	64.68	68.43(8.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.2	62	310	66	48	4.91	66%		22.3	3.84%	0	3.6	66	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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