Trading Signals: FSLR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 23, 2016

Trading Signals: FSLR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Oct. 26, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(First Solar, Inc.)
FSLR latest price $37.0600 (4.63%) ($35.3600 - $37.4500) on Fri. Sep. 23, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.9% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $37.0600(4.63%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FSLR advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FSLR declines -4.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FSLR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ICLN(63%)    TAN(60%)    IWO(47%)    IWM(45%)    IWC(44%)
Factors Impacting FSLR price   FSLR will decline at least -1.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    UUP(-10%)    TLT(-4%)    SHY(-2%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.45% (StdDev 2.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $26.8(-27.68%)
5 Day Moving Average   $34.99(5.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.38(4.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.67(1.06%)
To recent high   -24.7%
To recent low   9%
Market Cap   $3.927b

First Solar, Inc. engages in designing, manufacturing, marketing, and distribution of photovoltaic solar power systems and solar modules. It operates through the Modules and Systems segments. The Modules segment involves in the design, manufacture, and sale of cadmium telluride solar modules, which convert sunlight into electricity. The Systems segment offers development, construction, operation, and maintenance of photovoltaic solar power systems. The company was founded by Michael J. Ahearn in 1999 and is headquartered in Tempe, AZ.

$. FSLR price fluctuates within 4.42% (three month std-dev: 2.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.84%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.36%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.46%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.17%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 5.19%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.84%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161023

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_23_2016	44.58	36.67	35.38	34.99	34.91	35.62	37.06(4.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	5	140	32	-75	4.41	35%	-0.34	-40	2.9%	0	0.2	43	0
2	Sep_22_2016	44.73	36.66	35.35	34.54	34.52	34.54	35.42(4.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-23	0	6	-110	4.03	31%	-0.36	-49.1	2.83%	0	-0.8	32	0
3	Sep_21_2016	44.89	36.76	35.62	34.52	34.53	34.2	34.03(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-39	-70	-12	-118	2.54	27%	-0.44	-49.4	2.77%	0	-1.7	28	0
4	Sep_20_2016	45.09	36.94	36.06	34.72	34.76	34.51	34(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-44	-50	-20	-115	2.84	27%	-0.46	-51.6	2.77%	0	-2	26	0
5	Sep_19_2016	45.3	37.14	36.56	35.21	35.08	34.85	34.42(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-39	-60	-20	-94	2.55	27%	-0.48	-51.3	2.79%	0	-2.1	34	0

6	Sep_16_2016	45.52	37.32	36.94	35.81	35.57	35.01	34.82(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-33	-130	-20	-73	3.23	27%	-0.48	-48.5	2.79%	0	-2.2	36	0
7	Sep_15_2016	45.74	37.47	37.32	36.27	36.1	35.32	35.35(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-40	-170	-34	-58	4.55	27%	-0.61	-51.2	2.78%	0	-2.2	43	0
8	Sep_14_2016	46.02	37.57	37.59	36.9	36.77	36.14	35.03(-3.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-34	-130	-33	-37	5.07	27%	-0.56	-48.2	2.78%	0	-3	39	0
9	Sep_13_2016	46.28	37.72	37.93	37.59	37.4	36.88	36.42(-2.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-20	-110	-24	-7	2.66	29%	-0.54	-64.2	2.75%	0	-2.1	45	0
10	Sep_12_2016	46.53	37.81	38.07	38.1	37.88	37.39	37.43(0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-10	-110	-17	12	2.47	29%	-0.51	-91.6	2.74%	0	-0.7	49	0

11	Sep_9_2016	46.77	37.88	38.1	38.25	38.3	37.91	37.13(-3.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.9	-7	-70	-15	17	2.73	27%	-0.55	-119.6	2.77%	0	-1.3	46	0
12	Sep_8_2016	47.03	37.97	38.11	38.51	38.3	38.37	38.47(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-20	-3	28	2.95	29%	-0.51	-139.2	2.74%	0	0.8	60	0
13	Sep_7_2016	47.27	37.98	38	38.38	38.48	38.68	38.49(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	40	5	30	2.2	29%	-0.46	-216.8	2.75%	0	0.8	66	0
14	Sep_6_2016	47.49	38.11	37.89	38.33	38.24	38.59	38.98(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	60	13	31	3.33	29%	-0.71	-158.9	2.75%	0	0.9	59	0
15	Sep_2_2016	47.83	38.32	37.75	38.06	38.03	38.28	38.18(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	40	12	18	2.5	29%	-0.46	-93.4	2.73%	0	-0.1	47	0

16	Sep_1_2016	48.05	38.59	37.71	37.93	37.84	37.89	38.44(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	0	9	8	2.41	29%	-0.5	-88.9	2.72%	0	-0.1	45	0
17	Aug_31_2016	48.29	38.82	37.61	37.65	37.71	37.89	37.82(-1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	20	4	-11	2.7	29%	-0.45	-71	2.72%	0	-0.3	38	0
18	Aug_30_2016	48.51	39.35	37.52	37.55	37.55	37.79	38.25(1.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-0	40	7	-23	2.31	29%	-0.45	-62.9	2.72%	0	-0.3	45	0
19	Aug_29_2016	48.73	39.79	37.46	37.39	37.44	37.63	37.59(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-8	40	6	-49	2.2	29%	-0.49	-60.4	2.72%	0	-0.6	23	0
20	Aug_26_2016	48.97	40.25	37.52	37.4	37.42	37.31	37.53(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-20	-20	-0	-79	2.97	29%	-0.49	-58.9	2.72%	0	-0.7	17	0

21	Aug_25_2016	49.21	40.69	37.63	37.46	37.44	37.24	37.04(-0.75%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-34	-40	-9	-108	2.58	29%	-0.53	-58.6	2.72%	0	-0.9	13	0
22	Aug_24_2016	49.47	41.19	37.82	37.55	37.59	37.53	37.32(-0.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-33	-10	-1	-127	2.47	32%	-0.5	-57.5	2.72%	0	-0.9	17	0
23	Aug_23_2016	49.72	41.74	37.96	37.47	37.66	37.63	37.45(-0.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-45	10	-1	-177	1.7	32%	-0.6	-57.1	2.75%	0	-1	11	0
24	Aug_22_2016	50.02	42.28	38.35	37.53	37.56	37.66	37.68(-0.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0	-54	20	-4	-203	2.39	32%	-0.6	-56.4	2.77%	0	-1	20	0
25	Aug_19_2016	50.32	42.8	38.92	37.66	37.63	37.69	37.8(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-55	10	-2	-215	2.94	30%		-56.5	2.78%	0	-1.1	22	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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