Trading Signals: FSLR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FSLR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Mar. 18, 2016

Trading Signals: FSLR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Oct. 26, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(First Solar, Inc.)
FSLR latest price $72.4400 (-1.05%) ($72.3000 - $74.2900) on Fri. Mar. 18, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.12% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $72.4400(-1.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FSLR advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FSLR advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FSLR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ICLN(63%)    TAN(60%)    IWO(48%)    IWM(46%)    IWC(44%)
Factors Impacting FSLR price   FSLR will decline at least -1.56% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-10%)    TLT(-6%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.56% (StdDev 3.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $71.88(0.78%)
10 Day Moving Average   $70.46(2.81%)
20 Day Moving Average   $69.63(4.04%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   18.8%
Market Cap   $7.676b

First Solar, Inc. engages in designing, manufacturing, marketing, and distribution of photovoltaic solar power systems and solar modules. It operates through the Modules and Systems segments. The Modules segment involves in the design, manufacture, and sale of cadmium telluride solar modules, which convert sunlight into electricity. The Systems segment offers development, construction, operation, and maintenance of photovoltaic solar power systems. The company was founded by Michael J. Ahearn in 1999 and is headquartered in Tempe, AZ.

$. FSLR price fluctuates within 4.28% (three month std-dev: 3.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 0.57%(44%) Average negative next day return: -0.63%(56%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 1.59%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -2.23%(33%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 2.82%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.88%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160418

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_18_2016	63.27	69.63	70.46	71.88	71.91	72.91	72.44(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	100	24	41	2.28	55%	0.35	76.9	3.12%	0	0.9	50	INF
2	Mar_17_2016	63.05	69.17	70.15	71.45	71.26	72.03	73.21(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	70	32	37	1.64	55%	0.38	72.5	3.12%	0	1.3	58	INF
3	Mar_16_2016	62.81	68.69	69.76	70.66	70.55	70.91	72.06(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	30	20	14	2.33	59%	0.38	63.8	3.13%	0	1.1	48	INF
4	Mar_15_2016	62.57	68.27	69.45	69.95	69.89	70.49	70.78(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	60	17	1	1.28	59%	0.34	52.2	3.35%	0	0.8	54	INF
5	Mar_14_2016	62.36	67.89	69.26	69.16	69.22	70.18	70.89(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	100	22	8	1.3	61%	0.14	43.8	3.36%	0	0.9	71	INF

6	Mar_11_2016	62.27	67.41	69.31	68.82	68.54	69.29	70.32(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	60	17	19	1.86	61%	0.13	33	3.42%	0	0.8	63	INF
7	Mar_10_2016	62.19	66.98	69.28	68.66	68.4	68.27	69.25(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	-20	4	29	1.67	57%	0.13	23.3	3.42%	0	0.6	65	INF
8	Mar_9_2016	62.11	66.74	69.55	68.75	68.69	67.79	68.49(2.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	-90	-15	42	1.57	57%	0.11	21.8	3.57%	0	0.5	62	INF
9	Mar_8_2016	62.04	66.62	69.67	68.88	69.14	68.53	66.87(-3.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	-50	-22	57	1.73	57%	0.08	23.6	3.56%	0	0.1	60	INF
10	Mar_7_2016	61.99	66.5	69.27	69.31	69.53	69.6	69.18(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	11	20	-8	68	1.36	57%	0.13	20.8	3.54%	0	0.7	65	INF

11	Mar_4_2016	61.91	66.28	68.83	69.85	69.71	69.76	69.52(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	-0	-0	90	1.93	57%	0.13	21	3.54%	0	0.9	69	INF
12	Mar_3_2016	61.83	66.14	68.2	70	70.11	69.46	69.71(0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	-60	-11	94	1.71	57%	0.15	24.6	3.54%	0	1	69	INF
13	Mar_2_2016	61.74	65.96	67.61	70.51	70.56	69.67	69.14(0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	11	-90	-19	100	2.04	57%	0.15	30.9	3.54%	0	0.9	59	INF
14	Mar_1_2016	61.65	65.79	67.06	70.57	70.9	70.76	69.02(-3.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	34	0	9	107	3.35	57%	0.15	30.8	3.55%	0	1	54	INF
15	Feb_29_2016	61.56	65.75	66.47	69.12	70.14	71.45	71.87(2.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	52	180	37	97	3.4	59%	0.2	25.4	3.49%	0	1.8	62	INF

16	Feb_26_2016	61.44	65.54	65.37	67.59	67.98	71.05	70.25(-2.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	64	330	60	75	3.54	59%	0.16	16.8	3.49%	0	1.5	58	INF
17	Feb_25_2016	61.34	65.3	64.46	66.1	66.17	68.82	72.25(4.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	80	280	89	51	5.11	59%	0.21	7.7	3.49%	0	2.4	57	INF
18	Feb_24_2016	61.21	64.92	63.58	64.35	64.18	64.92	69.45(12.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.1	28	70	38	-1	7.96	58%	0.16	-3	3.46%	0	1.9	54	INF
19	Feb_23_2016	61.11	64.78	63.18	63.16	63.38	63.53	61.79(-3.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-11	30	-2	-38	3.26	52%	0.02	-6	3.11%	0	-1.3	39	INF
20	Feb_22_2016	61.1	64.92	63.42	63.41	63.51	63.44	64.23(2.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	0	-0	14	-42	2.37	54%	0.07	2.7	3.06%	0	-0.3	37	INF

21	Feb_19_2016	61.06	65.03	63.48	62.76	63.09	63.24	62.76(-1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-17	30	1	-69	1.72	54%	0.03	3.9	3.06%	0	-1	34	INF
22	Feb_18_2016	61.04	65.08	63.9	62.48	62.68	63.59	63.54(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-7	110	13	-66	1.8	54%	0.05	4.5	3.06%	0	-0.7	45	INF
23	Feb_17_2016	61.01	64.99	64.17	62.66	62.27	62.94	63.47(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	60	10	-63	2.21	54%	0.07	-1.4	3.07%	0	-0.7	46	INF
24	Feb_16_2016	60.97	64.92	64.43	63.26	62.58	61.77	63.05(3.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-120	-5	-64	1.65	54%	0.03	-1.6	3.09%	0	-0.8	41	INF
25	Feb_12_2016	60.95	64.86	65.01	63.48	63.14	61.59	60.99(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-50	-190	-45	-64	2.94	53%		-6.8	3.08%	0	-1.6	46	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.