Trading Signals: FSLR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 25, 2016

Trading Signals: FSLR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Oct. 26, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(First Solar, Inc.)
FSLR latest price $64.1400 (-3.46%) ($63.9300 - $66.5900) on Mon. Jan. 25, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.26% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $64.1400(-3.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FSLR advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FSLR declines -3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FSLR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ICLN(63%)    TAN(61%)    IWO(48%)    IWM(46%)    IVW(41%)
Factors Impacting FSLR price   FSLR will decline at least -1.63% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-9%)    TLT(-6%)    IGOV(-3%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.63% (StdDev 3.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.6%

Resistance Level   $65.12
5 Day Moving Average   $63.31(1.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $63.17(1.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $65.12(-1.5%)
To recent high   -11%
To recent low   30.5%
Market Cap   $6.796b

First Solar, Inc. engages in designing, manufacturing, marketing, and distribution of photovoltaic solar power systems and solar modules. It operates through the Modules and Systems segments. The Modules segment involves in the design, manufacture, and sale of cadmium telluride solar modules, which convert sunlight into electricity. The Systems segment offers development, construction, operation, and maintenance of photovoltaic solar power systems. The company was founded by Michael J. Ahearn in 1999 and is headquartered in Tempe, AZ.

$. FSLR price fluctuates within 4.36% (three month std-dev: 3.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -3.79%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -4.31%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.34%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160225

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_25_2016	59.89	65.12	63.17	63.31	63.42	65.5	64.14(-3.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	15	230	35	-47	1.87	59%	0.12	-16.7	3.26%	0	-0.3	46	0
2	Jan_22_2016	59.82	65.22	63.29	62.75	62.57	64.09	66.44(5.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	37	160	64	-46	3.01	62%	0.18	-21.1	3.25%	0	0.4	51	0
3	Jan_21_2016	59.71	65.14	63.2	61.82	61.23	61.35	63.23(3.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-13	-10	12	-86	2.42	59%	0.1	-22.1	3.22%	0	-0.7	42	0
4	Jan_20_2016	59.65	65.28	63.77	61.45	60.78	61.06	61.27(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-37	-0	-17	-96	3.31	59%	0.05	-15	3.23%	0	-1.4	39	0
5	Jan_19_2016	59.62	65.42	64.79	62.24	61.62	61.12	61.49(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-90	-6	-66	2.24	59%	0.07	5.6	3.26%	0	-1.5	40	0

6	Jan_15_2016	59.58	65.6	65.34	63.02	62.44	60.51	61.32(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-52	-240	-45	-71	2.38	59%	0.05	33.4	3.28%	0	-1.7	38	0
7	Jan_14_2016	59.55	65.84	65.85	63.88	63.76	62.12	61.78(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-57	-190	-55	-63	3.85	59%	0.07	61	3.31%	0	-1.8	41	0
8	Jan_13_2016	59.51	65.8	66.42	64.77	65.2	64.38	61.37(-5.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-38	-70	-38	-39	2.54	59%	0.05	81.6	3.34%	0	-2.1	45	0
9	Jan_12_2016	59.48	65.71	66.98	66.4	66.05	65.4	65.22(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-28	-80	-33	-11	2.31	65%	0.19	95.1	3.26%	0	-0.2	51	0
10	Jan_11_2016	59.37	65.27	67.13	67.76	67.27	66.01	65.42(-0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-15	-150	-26	20	1.74	65%	0.2	84	3.29%	0	0.1	58	0

11	Jan_8_2016	59.25	64.77	67.3	68.02	68.68	66.71	65.62(-0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-12	-170	-26	31	3.04	65%	0.2	61.4	3.32%	0	0.2	55	0
12	Jan_7_2016	59.13	64.46	67.39	68.1	68.46	68.54	66.22(-4.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-16	20	-32	32	4.09	65%	0.24	51.7	3.34%	0	0.4	53	0
13	Jan_6_2016	58.99	64.11	67.3	68.25	68.32	70.65	69.52(-3.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	56	240	48	81	2.95	70%	0.37	52.5	3.29%	0	1.2	73	0
14	Jan_5_2016	58.77	63.59	66.91	67.63	67.44	68.39	72.03(7.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	69	90	59	97	6.39	74%	0.46	52.6	3.26%	0	1.9	81	0
15	Jan_4_2016	58.5	62.95	66.02	66.5	66.23	65.98	66.72(1.11%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	12	-40	-10	79	2.13	70%	0.31	54.5	3.13%	0	0.9	81	0

16	Dec_31_2015	58.32	62.58	65.8	66.54	66.39	65.98	65.99(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	28	0	-1	114	1.52	70%	0.29	60.2	3.16%	0	0.9	81	0
17	Dec_30_2015	58.15	62.26	65.76	66.58	66.5	66.49	66.99(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	-0	9	141	1.34	70%	0.33	66.4	3.18%	0	1.2	67	0
18	Dec_29_2015	57.96	61.81	65.09	66.18	66.32	66.29	66.41(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	0	1	136	1.05	70%	0.33	69.6	3.21%	0	1.2	65	0
19	Dec_28_2015	57.77	61.32	64.34	66.04	65.96	66.51	66.4(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	50	10	137	1.03	70%	0.35	72.3	3.25%	0	1.3	65	0
20	Dec_24_2015	57.57	60.8	63.29	65.45	65.73	66.35	66.92(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	50	80	25	123	0.92	70%	0.4	72.7	3.28%	0	1.6	64	0

21	Dec_23_2015	57.34	60.26	62.07	64.96	65.02	65.42	66.17(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	50	7	96	1.33	70%	0.37	76.7	3.32%	0	1.6	64	0
22	Dec_22_2015	57.13	59.74	61.31	64.85	64.9	65.11	64.99(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	37	20	17	97	1.87	70%	0.35	85.6	3.35%	0	1.5	62	0
23	Dec_21_2015	56.93	59.23	60.69	63.82	64.84	64.62	65.74(3.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	41	20	26	87	2.78	70%	0.41	80.9	3.38%	0	1.9	66	0
24	Dec_18_2015	56.7	58.65	60	62.35	63.35	64.69	63.41(-1.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	200	26	71	3.31	68%	0.3	75.9	3.39%	0	1.5	66	0
25	Dec_17_2015	56.53	58.14	59.6	60.72	61.59	65.07	64.48(-1.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	86	440	88	79	3.33	68%		60.6	3.42%	0	2	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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