Trading Signals: FGEN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 3, 2017

Trading Signals: FGEN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(FibroGen Inc.)
FGEN latest price $32.7000 (1.24%) ($31.8300 - $32.8500) on Mon. Jul. 3, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.9% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $32.7000(1.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FGEN advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FGEN advances 4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FGEN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(34%)    IBB(28%)    IWO(26%)    VT(26%)    XLV(26%)
Factors Impacting FGEN price   FGEN will decline at least -1.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-11%)    VIXM(-9%)    TLT(-7%)    UNG(-2%)    TIP(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.45% (StdDev 2.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $32.01(2.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.92(2.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.59(6.9%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   42.5%
Market Cap   $2.95b

FibroGen, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of novel therapeutics. It focuses on the hypoxia-inducible factor and connective tissue growth factor biology to develop medicines for the treatment of anemia, fibrotic disease, and cancer. The company was founded by Thomas B. Neff on September 29, 1993 and is headquartered in San Francisco, CA.

$. FGEN price fluctuates within 5% (three month std-dev: 2.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 32 Average positive next day return: 2.42%(41%) Average negative next day return: -1.55%(59%) Sample size 32 Average positive next three day return: 4.63%(44%) Average negative next three day return: -3.5%(56%) Sample size 32 Average positive next weekly return: 5.41%(53%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.38%(47%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170803

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_3_2017	26.88	30.59	31.92	32.01	31.96	32.24	32.7(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	60	8	86	0.17	64%	0.34	80.2	2.9%	0	1.4	75	0
2	Jun_30_2017	26.79	30.39	31.62	31.98	31.85	31.86	32.3(2.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	25	-10	2	94	0.42	64%	0.3	84.6	2.93%	0	1.2	79	0
3	Jun_29_2017	26.71	30.16	31.38	31.97	32.04	31.67	31.6(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	19	-70	-7	98	0.23	64%	0.34	86.3	2.95%	0	0.9	68	0
4	Jun_28_2017	26.62	29.97	31.17	32.12	32.1	31.84	32.05(2.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	20	-60	-9	108	0.28	64%	0.3	84	2.94%	0	1.2	69	0
5	Jun_27_2017	26.54	29.68	30.9	32.03	32.17	32.41	31.4(-3.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	37	70	9	119	0.59	64%	0.26	76.2	2.94%	0	1	69	0

6	Jun_26_2017	26.47	29.41	30.69	31.78	31.9	32.36	32.55(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	51	110	27	122	0.75	68%	0.3	71.4	2.91%	0	1.8	73	0
7	Jun_23_2017	26.39	29.14	30.25	31.19	31.25	31.93	32.25(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	43	160	25	96	0.49	68%	0.34	67.8	2.91%	0	1.9	73	0
8	Jun_22_2017	26.3	28.87	29.9	30.7	30.71	31.45	32.35(2.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	50	170	36	91	0.8	72%	0.38	64.3	2.91%	0	2.2	78	0
9	Jun_21_2017	26.2	28.61	29.56	30.1	30.03	30.58	31.6(4.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	37	120	25	71	0.54	64%	0.38	63.4	3.06%	0	2.2	77	0
10	Jun_20_2017	26.1	28.36	29.25	29.63	29.52	29.98	30.15(1.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	26	100	14	63	0.56	62%	0.31	56.7	3.18%	0	1.5	78	0

11	Jun_19_2017	26.02	28.19	29.13	29.45	29.27	29.48	29.6(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	30	15	78	0.77	62%	0.23	48.7	3.18%	0	1.2	79	0
12	Jun_16_2017	25.96	28.04	29.04	29.15	29	29.07	29.8(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	0	6	75	0.82	62%	0.27	39.9	3.17%	0	1.5	65	0
13	Jun_15_2017	25.89	27.91	28.83	28.97	28.82	29.06	29.35(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	40	3	72	0.37	62%	0.23	40.7	3.17%	0	1.3	64	0
14	Jun_14_2017	25.83	27.77	28.66	28.93	28.83	28.94	29.25(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	26	20	9	77	0.37	58%	0.19	38.5	3.17%	0	1.4	62	0
15	Jun_13_2017	25.78	27.7	28.39	28.81	28.78	28.58	29.25(4.09%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	16	-50	-1	66	0.3	58%	0.23	38.4	3.22%	0	1.5	64	0

16	Jun_12_2017	25.72	27.62	28.05	28.77	28.8	28.72	28.1(-2.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	9	-20	-8	59	0.39	55%	0.08	43.5	3.19%	0	0.5	61	0
17	Jun_9_2017	25.7	27.59	27.97	28.89	28.91	28.98	28.9(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	26	20	9	76	0.58	55%	0.16	45.1	3.17%	0	1.4	65	0
18	Jun_8_2017	25.66	27.47	27.79	28.66	28.7	28.88	29.15(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	50	11	69	0.3	58%	0.2	30.8	3.17%	0	1.9	62	0
19	Jun_7_2017	25.61	27.37	27.59	28.35	28.38	28.84	28.65(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	120	20	64	0.29	55%	0.2	16.6	3.21%	0	1.6	63	0
20	Jun_6_2017	25.56	27.32	27.41	27.88	27.9	28.52	29.05(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	34	160	31	44	0.54	52%	0.12	-6.5	3.26%	0	2.3	54	0

21	Jun_5_2017	25.53	27.22	27.15	27.22	27.18	27.91	28.7(3.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	17	180	20	7	0.81	52%	0.16	-45.6	3.3%	0	2.3	53	0
22	Jun_2_2017	25.49	27.17	26.94	26.93	26.78	27.29	27.75(0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	10	120	16	-10	0.45	53%	0.12	-64.1	3.33%	0	1	52	0
23	Jun_1_2017	25.46	27.2	26.88	26.81	26.68	26.46	27.6(4.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-2	-70	3	-16	0.49	53%	0.16	-63.4	3.34%	0	0.6	57	0
24	May_31_2017	25.42	27.23	26.78	26.75	26.79	26.27	26.3(2.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-19	-130	-15	-30	0.77	50%	0.08	-56.9	3.29%	0	-1.3	45	0
25	May_30_2017	25.4	27.37	26.95	26.87	27.05	26.91	25.75(-5.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-13	-20	-10	-22	0.49	50%		-42.7	3.34%	0	-2.2	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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