Trading Signals: FGEN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 16, 2017

Trading Signals: FGEN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(FibroGen Inc.)
FGEN latest price $28.0000 (0.36%) ($27.2000 - $28.0000) on Tue. May. 16, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.3% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $28.0000(0.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FGEN advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FGEN declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FGEN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(34%)    IBB(28%)    IWO(26%)    VT(26%)    XLV(26%)
Factors Impacting FGEN price   FGEN will decline at least -1.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-11%)    VIXM(-9%)    TLT(-7%)    UNG(-2%)    TIP(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.65% (StdDev 3.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.46(1.97%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.72(1.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.61(1.41%)
To recent high   -3.4%
To recent low   22%
Market Cap   $2.526b

FibroGen, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of novel therapeutics. It focuses on the hypoxia-inducible factor and connective tissue growth factor biology to develop medicines for the treatment of anemia, fibrotic disease, and cancer. The company was founded by Thomas B. Neff on September 29, 1993 and is headquartered in San Francisco, CA.

$. FGEN price fluctuates within 3.59% (three month std-dev: 3.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.64%(75%) Average negative next day return: -1.93%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 2.69%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.92%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.65%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.67%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170616

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_16_2017	24.95	27.61	27.72	27.46	27.33	27.67	28(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-1	70	8	-26	0.37	61%	0.12	53.8	3.3%	0	0.4	51	0
2	May_15_2017	24.92	27.48	27.81	27.42	27.16	27.32	27.9(1.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	10	8	-22	0.32	61%	0.28	48.8	3.31%	0	0.4	50	0
3	May_12_2017	24.85	27.37	27.88	27.3	27.17	26.98	27.45(3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-8	-60	-4	-19	0.44	61%	0.32	42.2	3.25%	0	0.1	60	0
4	May_11_2017	24.77	27.27	27.94	27.42	27.32	26.99	26.65(-2.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-14	-100	-16	-8	0.42	61%	0.28	37.9	3.26%	0	-0.5	59	0
5	May_10_2017	24.7	27.18	28.1	27.77	27.58	27.36	27.3(-1.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-6	-80	-13	17	0.75	61%	0.32	48.1	3.26%	0	0.1	62	0

6	May_9_2017	24.62	27.09	28.17	28.02	27.94	27.64	27.8(1.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-80	-10	41	0.52	61%	0.33	56	3.25%	0	0.5	70	0
7	May_8_2017	24.54	26.97	28.2	28.26	28.15	27.8	27.3(-2.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	5	-100	-16	66	0.47	61%	0.29	66.9	3.26%	0	0.2	71	0
8	May_5_2017	24.47	26.92	28.15	28.55	28.44	28.24	28.05(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	19	-60	-5	92	0.34	61%	0.29	78.4	3.22%	0	0.8	76	0
9	May_4_2017	24.4	26.83	27.97	28.54	28.53	28.5	28.4(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	-10	-0	101	0.22	61%	0.37	86.6	3.24%	0	1.1	80	0
10	May_3_2017	24.31	26.57	27.77	28.47	28.45	28.65	28.55(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	50	5	114	0.45	64%	0.33	68.3	3.27%	0	1.3	85	0

11	May_2_2017	24.23	26.34	27.5	28.34	28.34	28.56	29(0.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	38	50	11	117	0.76	64%	0.33	61.7	3.32%	0	1.7	79	0
12	May_1_2017	24.15	26.07	27.13	28.14	28.13	28.25	28.75(2.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	30	14	113	0.62	64%	0.29	54.7	3.33%	0	1.7	74	0
13	Apr_28_2017	24.08	25.85	26.8	27.7	27.88	28.12	28(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	80	14	91	0.96	59%	0.21	49.9	3.4%	0	1.5	63	0
14	Apr_27_2017	24.03	25.69	26.52	27.31	27.47	28.02	28.05(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	160	17	72	0.57	59%	0.25	44.2	3.43%	0	1.7	60	0
15	Apr_26_2017	23.97	25.54	26.17	26.96	26.98	27.64	27.9(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	36	170	24	73	0.67	59%	0.25	42.5	3.43%	0	1.9	77	0

16	Apr_25_2017	23.91	25.4	25.89	26.53	26.52	26.92	28(5.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	35	100	24	66	0.91	59%	0.25	45.5	3.45%	0	2.4	69	0
17	Apr_24_2017	23.85	25.25	25.61	25.99	26.09	26.33	26.55(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	80	11	53	0.44	56%	0.21	39.7	3.39%	0	1.4	66	0
18	Apr_21_2017	23.8	25.16	25.56	25.77	25.79	26.12	26.05(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	90	10	54	0.44	52%	0.25	33.9	3.44%	0	1	58	0
19	Apr_20_2017	23.74	25.1	25.58	25.61	25.54	25.86	26.3(2.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	27	80	16	61	0.31	52%	0.17	29.6	3.47%	0	1.4	58	0
20	Apr_19_2017	23.7	25.03	25.26	25.26	25.26	25.46	25.75(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	60	8	29	0.32	52%	0.13	17.4	3.49%	0	0.9	52	0

21	Apr_18_2017	23.67	24.91	25.08	25.15	25.06	25.23	25.3(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	4	40	1	14	0.27	55%	0.13	1.7	3.49%	0	0.4	52	0
22	Apr_17_2017	23.64	24.9	24.93	25.18	25.09	25.06	25.45(0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-1	-20	-2	4	0.25	51%	0.08	-3.2	3.56%	0	0.6	51	0
23	Apr_13_2017	23.62	24.87	24.85	25.32	25.25	24.9	25.25(2.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-7	-110	-11	4	0.45	51%	0.13	-3.3	3.68%	0	0.5	54	0
24	Apr_12_2017	23.59	24.86	24.8	25.55	25.58	25.12	24.55(-2.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	3	-120	-1	16	0.48	51%	0.13	2.7	3.68%	0	-0.4	49	0
25	Apr_11_2017	23.56	24.9	24.88	25.23	25.8	25.6	25.2(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	5	10	4	8	0.37	51%		-8.3	3.69%	0	0.4	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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