Trading Signals: FGEN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 16, 2017

Trading Signals: FGEN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(FibroGen Inc.)
FGEN latest price $24.4000 (0%) ($23.6500 - $24.7500) on Thu. Feb. 16, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.31% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $24.4000(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FGEN advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FGEN advances 3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FGEN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(34%)    IBB(29%)    IWO(27%)    VT(26%)    XLV(26%)
Factors Impacting FGEN price   FGEN will decline at least -1.655% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-11%)    VIXM(-10%)    TLT(-7%)    UNG(-2%)    TIP(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.655% (StdDev 3.31%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.23(0.7%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.13(1.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.79(2.56%)
To recent high   -4.7%
To recent low   25.1%
Market Cap   $2.202b

FibroGen, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of novel therapeutics. It focuses on the hypoxia-inducible factor and connective tissue growth factor biology to develop medicines for the treatment of anemia, fibrotic disease, and cancer. The company was founded by Thomas B. Neff on September 29, 1993 and is headquartered in San Francisco, CA.

$. FGEN price fluctuates within 3.4% (three month std-dev: 3.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.21%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.91%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.25%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170316

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_16_2017	21.24		24.13	24.23	24.17	24.26	24.4(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	17	20	4	57	0.3	48%	0.09	-9.4	3.31%	0	0.8	58	0
2	Feb_15_2017	21.22	23.79	24.02	24.15	24.1	24.15	24.4(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	10	7	56	0.28	52%	0.09	-8.6	3.35%	0	0.7	59	0
3	Feb_14_2017	21.2	23.81	23.86	23.94	23.97	24.09	24.25(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	40	4	38	0.32	52%	0.14	-10.2	3.41%	0	0.5	52	0
4	Feb_13_2017	21.17	23.78	23.7	23.87	23.8	24.04	24.1(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	60	1	26	0.34	52%	0.09	-13.3	3.45%	0	0.4	51	0
5	Feb_10_2017	21.15	23.83	23.49	23.93	23.81	23.86	24(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	4	-0	1	13	0.29	59%	0.09	-1.3	3.54%	0	0.2	49	0

6	Feb_9_2017	21.13	23.83	23.41	24.03	23.9	23.55	24(2.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	1	-120	0	2	0.42	68%	0.09	10.9	3.61%	0	0.1	40	0
7	Feb_8_2017	21.11	23.86	23.33	23.88	23.95	23.77	23.35(-2.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-4	-40	-2	-11	0.46	68%	0.09	11.8	4.82%	0	-0.5	44	0
8	Feb_7_2017	21.09	23.86	23.37	23.74	23.81	24.24	23.9(-2.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	140	8	-16	0.32	68%	0.09	20.3	4.81%	0	0	44	0
9	Feb_6_2017	21.07	23.89	23.36	23.49	23.44	24.13	24.4(-0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	12	200	21	-17	0.56	68%	0.24	24.7	4.8%	0	0.5	55	0
10	Feb_3_2017	21.02	23.85	23.31	22.97	22.87	23.38	24.48(5.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.6	-2	140	12	-43	0.55	66%	0.19	18.4	4.8%	0	0.7	45	0

11	Feb_2_2017	20.98	23.76	23.38	22.73	22.67	22.74	23.25(2.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-9	10	4	-49	0.5	64%	0.24	20.5	4.83%	0	-0.5	44	0
12	Feb_1_2017	20.93	23.75	23.51	22.72	22.78	22.35	22.65(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-19	-120	-8	-52	0.39	64%	0.19	32.7	4.83%	0	-1.1	46	0
13	Jan_31_2017	20.89	23.7	23.74	22.96	22.98	22.61	22.65(3.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-110	-13	-43	0.99	64%	0.19	38.4	4.83%	0	-1	46	0
14	Jan_30_2017	20.85	23.66	23.85	23.21	23.45	23.2	21.8(-6.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-18	-40	-11	-37	1.42	64%	0.14	54	4.82%	0	-1.7	43	0
15	Jan_27_2017	20.82	23.68	24.23	23.67	23.64	23.36	23.3(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-90	-14	-17	0.41	66%	0.19	73.1	4.73%	0	-0.3	51	0

16	Jan_26_2017	20.78	23.57	24.38	24.13	24.02	23.7	23.2(-2.73%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-6	-110	-10	7	0.6	66%	0.19	83.1	4.76%	0	-0.3	56	0
17	Jan_25_2017	20.74	23.44	24.47	24.41	24.45	23.92	23.85(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-150	-9	21	0.49	66%	0.24	81.8	4.74%	0	0.3	58	0
18	Jan_24_2017	20.69	23.3	24.47	24.63	24.63	24.34	23.9(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	-80	-7	42	0.59	66%	0.19	78.5	4.75%	0	0.4	67	0
19	Jan_23_2017	20.65	23.1	24.49	24.58	24.85	24.97	24.1(-5.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	70	-4	54	0.76	66%	0.29	71.3	4.76%	0	0.6	67	0
20	Jan_20_2017	20.59	22.89	24.46	24.86	24.85	24.93	25.6(4.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	30	5	79	0.72	70%	0.44	72.3	4.69%	0	1.6	72	0

21	Jan_19_2017	20.5	22.61	24.17	24.68	24.77	24.73	24.6(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	25	-0	4	86	0.46	68%	0.34	65.1	4.67%	0	1.2	73	0
22	Jan_18_2017	20.43	22.39	24.01	24.55	24.67	24.6	24.95(5.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	27	-10	3	98	0.78	68%	0.39	57.8	4.69%	0	1.4	77	0
23	Jan_17_2017	20.35	22.16	23.66	24.34	24.4	24.81	23.65(-7.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	26	130	2	98	0.91	66%	0.44	50.4	4.65%	0	0.8	69	0
24	Jan_13_2017	20.26	22.03	23.46	24.37	24.21	24.73	25.5(3.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	44	130	18	123	0.79	71%	0.4	47.1	4.52%	0	1.9	85	0
25	Jan_12_2017	20.18	21.76	23.07	23.99	23.84	23.99	24.7(3.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	40	30	12	123	0.72	66%		40.7	4.51%	0	1.8	80	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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